Author Topic: Romney would lead if data were accurate  (Read 1413 times)

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Offline pjohns

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Romney would lead if data were accurate
« on: September 11, 2012, 12:57:33 AM »
Before anyone (on either side of the political fence) decides to make too much of the most recent CNN/ORC poll, showing President Obama with an impressive six-point lead over Mitt Romney, one might want to consider its methodology.

From The Washington Examiner:

The latest CNN/ORC poll released today shows a wider lead for President Obama than the previous CNN/ORC poll but it is doubly skewed. It massively under-samples independents while it also over-samples Democratic voters. The CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll official reports Obama at 52 to percent and Mitt Romney at 46 percent. Unskewed, the data reveals a 53 percent to 45 percent lead for Romney.

This new CNN/ORC survey, unlike many other analyzed, not only over-samples Democratic voters, but also massively under-samples independent voters, to produce a result more favorable to Barack Obama. This survey's sample includes 397 registered Republicans and 441 registered Democrats. But the survey included a total of 822 registered voters, leaving only 37 independent voters at most. The survey clearly under-sampled independent and Republican voters.

Here is the link to the full article:  Mitt Romney would lead eight in unskewed data from newest CNN/ORC poll - Arlington Conservative |

Offline R4 TrumPence

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Re: Romney would lead if data were accurate
« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2012, 01:22:03 AM »
Pjohns I am so glad you are here! I am sick of the naysayers on Fox news in particular!!! :beer:

I am Repub4Bush on FR '02

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Romney would lead if data were accurate
« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2012, 01:37:47 AM »

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