Author Topic: Rasmussen and Gallup Daily Tracking Poll....updates daily  (Read 46852 times)

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Online mystery-ak

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Rasmussen and Gallup Daily Tracking Poll....updates daily
« on: August 10, 2012, 08:10:15 AM »
per mnjg

Quote
1. First, the most reliable poll is Rasmussen because it is a daily tracking poll, it is based on likely voters, and it is based on much more realistic party id breakdown.

2. Second, the second most reliable poll, although less than Rasmussen is the Gallup polls because it is a daily tracking poll but it is based on the less accurate registered voters it gives Obama on average 3 points advantage due to this but still vastly more accurate than all other media polls except Rasmussen.

3. All the other media polls are practically junk compared to Rasmussen and Gallup because each of these media organization poll once a month, they poll 1/30 ( one over thirty) of the sample that both Rasmussen and Gallup each poll each month, they are insanely oversampling democrats, and they use registered voters in the vast majority of cases.

So based on the above it would be extremely unwise to even worry about the media polls. Just follow Rasmussen and Gallup daily tracking polls because they are vastly more accurate than any other media polls that are plain bias...
« Last Edit: October 19, 2012, 01:03:35 PM by mysteR²y-ak »

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Offline aligncare

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2012, 08:21:41 AM »

Campaign dynamics always ebb and flow.  Romney weathered the last few weeks of attacks moderately well.  The impact on his polls was to be expected. 

But I remain confident that after the convention and start of the general election season, after his life story is widely known, after his campaign resources are released for ad buys, Romney's polls will not just edge up--they will jump up.

America is not lost--yet.   :patriot:
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Online mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #2 on: August 10, 2012, 08:49:21 AM »

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Online massadvj

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #3 on: August 10, 2012, 09:26:42 AM »
The tracking polls may give us a picture of the national electorate, but they do very little to predict the outcome, unless it is going to be a landslide, and Aligncare not withstanding, this has no chance of becoming a landslide.  This is decided on a state-by-state basis, and in order to understand the dynamic, it has to be evaluated on that basis.  On that basis, the deck is clearly stacked in OPapaDoc's favor.  Romney has to just about run the table of battleground states to win.
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Offline mnjg

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #4 on: August 10, 2012, 10:43:35 AM »
The tracking polls may give us a picture of the national electorate, but they do very little to predict the outcome, unless it is going to be a landslide, and Aligncare not withstanding, this has no chance of becoming a landslide.  This is decided on a state-by-state basis, and in order to understand the dynamic, it has to be evaluated on that basis.  On that basis, the deck is clearly stacked in OPapaDoc's favor.  Romney has to just about run the table of battleground states to win.
I agree that it all comes down to STATES... however the daily tracking poll by Rasmussen is a strong indicator of the overall mood of the electorate. Anyone who will be ahead by 5 points or more in Rasmussen daily tracking poll in the two weeks of the campaign is certainly going to win the elections. There is no way for a candidate to be ahead by 5 points nationally and is going to lose the electoral vote by states...

Offline mnjg

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #5 on: August 10, 2012, 10:44:56 AM »
Thank you very much for making Rasmussen Daily Tracking poll as a sticky thread. Good or Bad for our side, Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll is the most accurate poll of all...

Offline mnjg

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #6 on: August 10, 2012, 10:46:53 AM »
From Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll August 10 2012:

"Friday, August 10, 2012

 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 43%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. See tracking history.
 
Republicans continue to show a much higher level of interest in the presidential campaign than Democrats or unaffiliated voters do. Rasmussen Reports Platinum Members can now get this information and more on a daily basis. Check out the new enhanced look of our Presidential Tracking data available to Platinum Members only.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update)."


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Online mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #7 on: August 10, 2012, 10:56:18 AM »
Romney holding steady...of course he always loses a few points on the weekend...

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Online mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #8 on: August 10, 2012, 03:24:40 PM »

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Online mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2012, 02:09:19 PM »
Rasmussen Tracking
Obama (D) 44
Romney (R) 46

Gallup Tracking
Obama (D) 46
Romney (R) 46

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #10 on: August 13, 2012, 10:33:44 AM »
What're the polls like today?

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #11 on: August 13, 2012, 03:41:59 PM »

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #12 on: August 14, 2012, 11:04:11 AM »

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #13 on: August 14, 2012, 11:15:27 AM »
Thanks for keeping the poll data updated.

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #14 on: August 14, 2012, 01:42:20 PM »

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Offline aligncare

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #15 on: August 14, 2012, 03:18:35 PM »
http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx


Election 2012 Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney

Romney 47%

OBama 45%

Among registered voters


Wow.  Except for the registered voters part, this poll indicates Obama's gonna have to do a lot better at distracting from the economy in order to pull this rabbit out of the hat.  Which has become considerably more difficult for him since Romney chose Ryan.  Thank god--now the conversation is shifting inexorably to economic issues.  It would seem choosing Ryan is turning out to be a stroke of genius.  (I know--don't count my chickens)
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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #16 on: August 15, 2012, 10:24:03 AM »

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Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #17 on: August 15, 2012, 04:02:33 PM »
Trend is our friend, surprised Romney didn't get a larger bounce naming Ryan.

Offline Lando Lincoln

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #18 on: August 15, 2012, 05:43:42 PM »
Trend is our friend, surprised Romney didn't get a larger bounce naming Ryan.

That will take a little more time, I think.  A lot of people really don't know him and are in summer mode. 
For the progressive, there is very little to love about the United States. Washington, Jefferson, Madison? A bunch of rotten slaveholders, hypocrites, and cowards even when their hearts were in the right places. The Declaration of Independence? A manifesto for the propertied classes. The Constitution? An artifact of sexism and white supremacy. The sacrifices in the great wars of the 20th century? Feeding the poor and the disenfranchised into the meat-grinder of imperialism. The gifts of Carnegie, Rockefeller, Vanderbilt, Morgan, Astor? Blood money from self-aggrandizing robber barons. Nat Rev

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #19 on: August 15, 2012, 10:46:54 PM »
That will take a little more time, I think.  A lot of people really don't know him and are in summer mode. 

Indeed.

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #20 on: August 16, 2012, 03:54:43 PM »

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #21 on: August 16, 2012, 04:10:46 PM »
Rass not a fluke:

The CNN WI poll has Romney fav/unfav at 45/42, Ryan at 50/32

Offline Lando Lincoln

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #22 on: August 16, 2012, 04:19:41 PM »
Rass not a fluke:

The CNN WI poll has Romney fav/unfav at 45/42, Ryan at 50/32

I am so proud of my fellow Cheeseheads!!!
For the progressive, there is very little to love about the United States. Washington, Jefferson, Madison? A bunch of rotten slaveholders, hypocrites, and cowards even when their hearts were in the right places. The Declaration of Independence? A manifesto for the propertied classes. The Constitution? An artifact of sexism and white supremacy. The sacrifices in the great wars of the 20th century? Feeding the poor and the disenfranchised into the meat-grinder of imperialism. The gifts of Carnegie, Rockefeller, Vanderbilt, Morgan, Astor? Blood money from self-aggrandizing robber barons. Nat Rev

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #23 on: August 17, 2012, 06:20:24 PM »

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Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
« Reply #24 on: August 18, 2012, 11:23:03 AM »

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