Consumer spending had its best quarter in almost four years, with PCE growth at 4%, up from last quarter’s 3.8%. If consumer confidence remains high, business confidence is out of this world, with a 12% leap in private domestic investment. The biggest growth category was intellectual property, but there was a little bit of inventory expansion the numbers too, as final sales to domestic purchasers lagged slightly at 3.1%.
On the negative side, the trade balance looks seriously off in Q3. Last quarter, exports grew at a rapid 9.3% pace while imports tailed off at -0.6%. This time, imports grew at a 9.1% rate while exports dropped more dramatically to -3.5%. Business investment seems to have saved the quarter, but that may not last long unless those trade numbers get back into better balance.
For now, though, the economy keeps demonstrating sustained growth and strength, exhibiting more dynamism than Donald Trump’s critics argued was possible.