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Offline mystery-ak

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Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« on: October 23, 2018, 04:25:13 pm »
Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
By Juliegrace Brufke - 10/23/18 09:43 AM EDT

Cook Political Report on Tuesday shifted eight House races toward Democrats and two in favor of Republicans with 14 days to go before the midterm elections.

The nonpartisan election forecaster projected Democrats will have an edge in key swing districts following the party's massive fundraising haul in the third quarter of this year.

Rep. Don Young (R-Alaska), who is facing off against independent candidate Alyse Galvin, moved from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican” after a recent poll showed the challenger within 2 points of the incumbent.

Florida's 6th, 15th and 27th congressional districts — all are open seats — shifted toward Democrats, moving from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican," "lean Republican" to "toss-up" and "toss-up" to "lean Democrat," respectively.

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https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/412700-cook-shifts-8-house-races-toward-dems
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Offline ConstitutionRose

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2018, 07:18:22 pm »
So they think its about the money?
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Online catfish1957

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2018, 07:25:19 pm »
Quote from: mystery-ak on October 23, 2018, 04:25:13 pm
Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems


I didn't read the Article, so I am not sure this is their estimate of  entire net change....

IF so....

+8 to dim, + 2 the GOP  Net +6 to dims

That will make the next HR   235 GOP 200 dims.

I'll take that.
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Online mountaineer

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2018, 07:32:15 pm »
Quote
The nonpartisan election forecaster projected Democrats
Heard about this on Rush's show today. He said this group isn't the least bit nonpartisan.
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Offline 240B

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2018, 07:36:42 pm »
See the source image
Yeah, sure. And Hillary will win with 98% of the vote.
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Offline bilo

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2018, 10:52:08 pm »
Quote from: 240B on October 23, 2018, 07:36:42 pm
See the source image
Yeah, sure. And Hillary will win with 98% of the vote.

 :rolling:

I really don't want to believe that America wants the Rats to have control of the House. The Rats are lunatics. They have no decency in them and they don't even like the USA. They want to transform the USA into a totalitarian socialist state. It just makes no sense.
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Offline Free Vulcan

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2018, 11:11:17 pm »
Quote from: 240B on October 23, 2018, 07:36:42 pm
See the source image
Yeah, sure. And Hillary will win with 98% of the vote.

Nothing in the article seems to point to the WHY for the shift, so for now I think you're closer to the truth.
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Offline 240B

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2018, 01:05:58 am »



Miss Cleo says, "The Democrats will win, mon. Call me now and I'll tell you how Hillary will be elected President in the midterms, ja!"
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You cannot "COEXIST" with people who want to kill you.
If they kill their own with no conscience, there is nothing to stop them from killing you.
Rational fear and anger at vicious murderous Islamic terrorists is the same as irrational antisemitism, according to the Leftists.

Offline Formerly Once-Ler

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2018, 04:06:42 am »
Quote from: catfish1957 on October 23, 2018, 07:25:19 pm
I didn't read the Article, so I am not sure this is their estimate of  entire net change....

IF so....

+8 to dim, + 2 the GOP  Net +6 to dims

That will make the next HR   235 GOP 200 dims.

I'll take that.

Will you take a GOP gain of a couple Senate seats, losing the majority in the House, losing the majority of governor seats, losing the majority of state legislators, and losing the majority of state legislatures, because those people will decide redistricting after the census...or as voters call it gerrymandering.

Enjoy
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Offline Frank Cannon

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2018, 04:08:41 am »
Quote from: Once-Ler on October 24, 2018, 04:06:42 am
...because those people will decide redistricting after the census...or as voters call it gerrymandering.

Enjoy

No they don't. Courts decide districts now, but thanks for playing.
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Online catfish1957

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2018, 04:17:58 am »
Quote from: Once-Ler on October 24, 2018, 04:06:42 am
Will you take a GOP gain of a couple Senate seats, losing the majority in the House, losing the majority of governor seats, losing the majority of state legislators, and losing the majority of state legislatures, because those people will decide redistricting after the census...or as voters call it gerrymandering.

Enjoy

WTF are you talking about?  I was responding specifically to this article about the House.
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Offline Formerly Once-Ler

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2018, 04:22:02 am »
Quote from: catfish1957 on October 24, 2018, 04:17:58 am
WTF are you talking about?  I was responding specifically to this article about the House.
@Frank Cannon figured it out OK.  yymouse
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Offline Formerly Once-Ler

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2018, 04:22:46 am »
Quote from: Frank Cannon on October 24, 2018, 04:08:41 am
No they don't. Courts decide districts now, but thanks for playing.
We will know soon.
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Offline TomSea

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2018, 04:25:31 am »
I don't think the Democrats will gain that much per Governors and State legislatures.
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Offline Frank Cannon

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2018, 04:28:55 am »
Quote from: TomSea on October 24, 2018, 04:25:31 am
I don't think the Democrats will gain that much per Governors and State legislatures.

Shhh Tommy. Don't ruin his hate fueled rage.
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Offline Formerly Once-Ler

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2018, 04:43:49 am »
Quote from: Frank Cannon on October 24, 2018, 04:28:55 am
Shhh Tommy. Don't ruin his hate fueled rage.
Yes.  Let me dream if just for 2 more weeks.  Soon the STORM !!!!!! will be upon us.
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Offline dfwgator

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2018, 04:59:34 am »
I think the role of money in campaigns these days is vastly overrated.
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Offline Gefn

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2018, 06:22:53 am »
Quote from: 240B on October 23, 2018, 07:36:42 pm
See the source image
Yeah, sure. And Hillary will win with 98% of the vote.

I miss Johnny Carson
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Offline Night Hides Not

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2018, 11:37:10 am »
Quote from: dfwgator on October 24, 2018, 04:59:34 am
I think the role of money in campaigns these days is vastly overrated.

Phil Gramm and John Connally heartily agree with your sentiment.
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Offline ConstitutionRose

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Re: Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems
« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2018, 01:35:01 pm »
Quote from: dfwgator on October 24, 2018, 04:59:34 am
I think the role of money in campaigns these days is vastly overrated.

I wondered if the "shift" was being predicted based on how much money was being raised.  That's what the article seems to indicate.  My observation is that money in local races is no longer strictly "local" and thus not necessarily an indication of local support for a candidate.
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