Author Topic: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll  (Read 741 times)

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Offline mystery-ak

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Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
By Emily Birnbaum - 10/21/18 09:41 AM EDT

Democrats have a 9-point lead over Republicans in the battle for the congressional control, according to a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.

Fifty percent of likely voters told pollsters they prefer Democratic control of Congress after the midterm elections, compared to 41 percent who want Republicans to stay the majority.

Much of the enthusiasm for Democrats is being driven by women, Latinos and young voters, with each group reporting much higher levels of interest in the midterms than previous NBC/WSJ polls have showed this year, NBC reported.

Democrats are leading with wide margins among African Americans at 81 to 11 percent, Latinos at 66 to 26 percent, white women with college degrees at 61 to 28 percent, and people between the ages of 18 and 34 at 58 to 32 percent.

Democrats hold a 25-point lead among all women at 57 to 32 percent.

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https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/412425-democrats-hold-9-point-lead-over-republicans-in-battle-for-house-poll
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Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2018, 02:07:33 pm »

Offline edpc

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2018, 03:23:22 pm »
These wide ranging polls are skewed by areas where the results will be heavily one-sided, much like the overall total votes were weighted by CA in the 2016 election.  It’ll matter most in tight suburban district races around the country.  That said, retention of the House still appears thusly....


I disagree.  Circle gets the square.

Offline truth_seeker

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2018, 04:29:10 pm »
Alinskey. Continual chaos.

Invasion from Hispania.

Possible implication in Saudi affair.

Obama-DNC- Community organizing and money.

Where is intelligentinves stigative journalism uncovering aspects beyond the narratives which favor the Left?



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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2018, 05:07:10 pm »
"Oh noes!  The Rats have a massive lead in an outlier poll!  That's it, I give up.  I'm not voting next month!"  {/what the press thinks we believe}

Don't open fire until we see the whites of their eyes.
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2018, 06:05:28 pm »
"Oh noes!  The Rats have a massive lead in an outlier poll!  That's it, I give up.  I'm not voting next month!"  {/what the press thinks we believe}

Don't open fire until we see the whites of their eyes.
http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php?action=unreadreplies

I be thinking there is no rat lead at all.   They always under sample pubs and indies. 
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Offline DCPatriot

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2018, 06:09:56 pm »
Lest we forget... at 5PM, November 8th, 2016....Election Day....at 5PM, all polls had Hillary Clinton ahead by 40 points.
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2018, 06:13:09 pm »
Lest we forget... at 5PM, November 8th, 2016....Election Day....at 5PM, all polls had Hillary Clinton ahead by 40 points.

Today's pollsters couldn't predict a fart after a baked bean supper.
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2018, 06:31:18 pm »
Today's pollsters couldn't predict a fart after a baked bean supper.

 :rolling:    :amen:
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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2018, 06:42:56 pm »
http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php?action=unreadreplies

I be thinking there is no rat lead at all.   They always under sample pubs and indies.

This is a NBC/WSJ poll.  I don't believe any poll done by the press, and not many that aren't done by the press either.  They don't poll to tell us what's what with whom, they poll to try to influence the vote and make Rats win.
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Offline Free Vulcan

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2018, 06:52:12 pm »
I have no doubt they've oversampled Dems and Indies v. Reps, undersampled rural, oversampled Millennials, minorities, etc etc, like most of the others do.

Hate to tell the Dems, but anything less than a +10 isn't positive for them.
The Republic is lost.

Offline Wingnut

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #11 on: October 21, 2018, 07:12:25 pm »
This is a NBC/WSJ poll.  I don't believe any poll done by the press, and not many that aren't done by the press either.  They don't poll to tell us what's what with whom, they poll to try to influence the vote and make Rats win.

I can't find fault with your spot on analysis.
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Offline edpc

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #12 on: October 21, 2018, 08:02:37 pm »
Whether anyone buys this poll or not, there are other tangible signs loss of the House is a serious possibility, without media input.  The party has gone into a prevent defense, pulling or limiting funding, so losses can remain below the 23 seat threshold.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/11/us/politics/republican-house-races.html


During the winter Camp David meeting, the Kochs pledged $400M for the midterms.  By summer, they had entertained the idea of supporting Dems in certain races.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2018/07/29/midterms-billionaire-koch-brothers-threaten-to-support-democrats-pushing-open-borders-free-trade/


This morning, on FNS, former WH legislative affairs director Marc Short said the House would be lost by a narrow margin.  He followed that by saying having Pelosi and Schiff in majority leadership would propel Trump to 2020 re-election. 
I disagree.  Circle gets the square.

Offline Wingnut

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #13 on: October 21, 2018, 08:34:55 pm »






This morning, on FNS, former WH legislative affairs director Marc Short said the House would be lost by a narrow margin.  He followed that by saying having Pelosi and Schiff in majority leadership would propel Trump to 2020 re-election.

Well like Carl Spackler once said after the Dali Lama (a big hitter btw) stiffed him: "At least I/we will have that to fall back on"
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Offline edpc

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #14 on: October 21, 2018, 08:41:13 pm »
If the House is lost, we will receive total consciousness?
I disagree.  Circle gets the square.

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2018, 08:54:36 pm »
If the House is lost, we will receive total consciousness?

I'd rather cut my ear off.... :whistle:
For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #16 on: October 21, 2018, 08:57:39 pm »
If the House is lost, we will receive total consciousness?

No dummy.... your worst nightmare....4 more years of trump.  :)
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Offline edpc

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #17 on: October 21, 2018, 09:16:01 pm »
With the combination of endless investigations, little chance of passing legislation, and the 'crazy Fed,' don't be surprised if he takes his ball and goes home.
I disagree.  Circle gets the square.

Offline jafo2010

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Re: Democrats hold 9-point lead over Republicans in battle for House: poll
« Reply #18 on: October 23, 2018, 04:28:27 am »
Pure nonsense.  The media cannot be trusted on any poll.  They are an active contingent of the Democommie Party.

Even certain independent polling groups are corrupt these days.  Remember, they all said HR Clinton would win easily.

PURE NONSENSE!  The media is totally corrupt and an embarrassment.