2018 Midterm: Polls, Voting Data & Stats, Maps, Debates, News

[Free Vulcan]

Florida Guy
‏ @floridaguy267
1h1 hour ago

Minnesota Senate Race.  GOP Housley 46%, DEM Smith 45%.

Minnesota Senate Race DEM Klobuchar 48%, GOP Newberger 44%.

[MajorClay]

Definitely seeing a 'Kavenaugh' effect.  I am a precinct chair and all republicans I talk to are spitting mad. I wish the election were tomorrow, I do not want them to cool off.

[austingirl]

Cruz vs Beatoff on C-SPAN 8pm CST Tuesday, October 16th final debate.

C-SPAN is not carrying the debate after all. KENS5.com has viewing options.

FACEBOOK: The debate will be on Facebook Live. Go to facebook.com/kens5.
•TWITTER: The debate will be live on Periscope. Go to twitter.com/kens5.
•YOUTUBE: The debate will be live on our YouTube page. Go to youtube.com/kens5eyewitnessnews

[Free Vulcan]

RED WAVE: Arizona Early Voting Shows Republicans 15 Points Ahead



Arizona’s public records show Republicans have outnumbered Democrats in the number of returned early ballots by a 15-point lead in the week since early voting began.

Early voting began in Arizona on October 10, and in the last week the state has received more than 200,000 returned early voting ballots. Of them, 45.3 per cent have been returned by registered Republicans, 31.9 per cent have been returned by Democrats, and 22.3 per cent were returned by unaffiliated or independent voters.

In just one week of early voting, almost 100,000 Arizona Republicans have returned their ballots, compared to only 65,000 Democrats.

Arizona has been heavily monitored by Democrats and Republicans alike as we approach the 2018 midterm election. Arizona Senator Jeff Flake announced he would not run for reelection last year, amid rumors that his internal polling showed him struggling to beat likely Democrats fielded against him.

https://bigleaguepolitics.com/red-wave-arizona-early-voting-shows-republicans-15-points-ahead/

[Free Vulcan]

#ThePersistence
‏Verified account @ScottPresler
11h11 hours ago

FLORIDA NEWS:

Republicans increased their lead to 43,000 votes in vote-by-mail.

301,825 (R)
258,727 (D)

[Free Vulcan]

Turnout soars on the first day of early voting in Georgia



Voters across Georgia rushed to the polls on the first day of in-person early voting Monday, with 69,049 people casting their ballots.

That’s a sharp increase from the last midterm election in 2014, when 20,898 people showed up on the first day of in-person early voting, according to numbers from the Georgia Secretary of State’s Office.

Some early voters in Cobb County had to wait in lines for more than two hours, and others in Fulton County encountered delays because of technical difficulties.

But early voting has become increasingly popular in Georgia because it allows voters to decide what day they want to cast their ballots, and they can avoid lines if they arrive during low-traffic times.

https://politics.myajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/turnout-soars-the-first-day-early-voting-georgia/LDzDZ7TrzQjqtFSascOJ5M/

[Free Vulcan]

Texas Dems ask noncitizens to register to vote, send applications with citizenship box pre-checked



The Texas Democratic Party asked non-citizens to register to vote, sending out applications to immigrants with the box citizenship already checked “Yes,” according to new complaints filed Thursday asking prosecutors to see what laws may have been broken.

The Public Interest Legal Foundation alerted district attorneys and the federal Justice Department to the pre-checked applications, and also included a signed affidavit from a man who said some of his relatives, who aren’t citizens, received the mailing.

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/oct/18/texas-democrats-ask-noncitizens-register-vote/

[TomSea]

Cook Political Report (claim Non-Partisan):

https://www.cookpolitical.com

[cato potatoe]

Scott is still running a couple of points ahead of DeSantis, but either race is up for grabs in FL.  The St. Pete poll had twice the sample size of the absurd CNN result.  Independents continue to be a problem in every poll I see.

[Free Vulcan]

Free Press poll: Schuette and GOP gaining ground on Whitmer, Dems

LANSING —The Democratic leads over Republicans in the Michigan races for governor and secretary of state have shrunk to 5 and 4 points respectively, and the attorney general's race is now a dead heat, according to a new poll commissioned by the Free Press and its media partners.

Even in the U.S. Senate race, where the Democratic incumbent, U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow, has been widely expected to enjoy a double-digit victory over Republican challenger John James, her lead is down to 7 points, the poll found. Stabenow led James by 23 points in a September poll by the same firm, EPIC-MRA of Lansing.

https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/10/25/free-press-poll-whitmer-lead-over-schuette-shrinks-5-points/1748709002/

[jafo2010]

When the RED TSUMANI hits the shores of the USA, it will prove decidedly that everyone's vote does indeed count when they vote, and doesn't count when they don't.

[Hoodat]

Scott is still running a couple of points ahead of DeSantis, but either race is up for grabs in FL.  The St. Pete poll had twice the sample size of the absurd CNN result.  Independents continue to be a problem in every poll I see.

Florida elections are won and lost along the I-4 corridor from Tampa to Daytona.

[Free Vulcan]

Republican Voters Outpace Democrats With 2 Million Ballots Cast in Florida

At least 2 million voters have cast their ballots in the Florida mid-term elections, and according to the Division of Elections, Republicans have the edge.

The Associated Press reported that nearly 560,000 people have voted early this week, and about 1.48 million people voted via mail.

Around 870,000 Republican voters cast their ballots, compared to 808,000 Democrats. There are about 13 million registered voters in Florida.

Floridians are voting between the hotly contested race between Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum or former U.S. Rep. Ron DeSantis for governor. Outgoing Gov. Rick Scott, a Republican, is challenging U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson for the U.S. Senate seat.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/republican-voters-outpace-democrats-with-2-million-ballots-cast-in-florida_2700846.html

[Free Vulcan]

Florida Guy
‏ @floridaguy267
8h8 hours ago

BREAKING: DEMOCRATS take money out of Tennessee,  North Dakota, and Missouri to shift to New Jersey.
74 replies 603 retweets 698 likes

[catfish1957]

"BREAKING: DEMOCRATS take money out of Tennessee,  North Dakota, and Missouri to shift to New Jersey.
74 replies 603 retweets 698 likes"

I love a morning feel good story.

[Free Vulcan]

Florida Guy
‏ @floridaguy267
7h7 hours ago

MSM MEDIA POLLSTERS WARN THEIR POLLS COULD BE OFF THIS YEAR due to GOP Heavy Turnout.   Here are the estimates.  FLORIDA add +6% to GOP, Georgia add +9%, Texas add 10%, Arizona +11%, Montana +17%, Indiana +12%, and Tennessee +33%.

TENNESSEE ESTIMATED EARLY VOTING GOP 63%, DEM 30%.

TEXAS ESTIMATED EARLY VOTING GOP 53%, DEM 43%.

MONTANA ESTIMATED EARLY VOTING GOP 46%, DEM 29%.

INDIANA ESTIMATED EARLY VOTING. GOP 51%, DEMOCRAT 39%.

GEORGIA EASTIMATED EARLY VOTING TURNOUT. GOP 52%, DEM 43%. GOP maintains a 4% turnout advantage over Democrats based on 2016 turnout pace.

NEBRASKA EARLY VOTING. GOP +5% over 2016 turnout pace. DEMOCRATS -1%.

HOUSE RACES.   Currently we are seeing in States that early vote GOP turnout is up 5% above normal and Democrats are 1% below.  House Races are more difficult to poll and have greater errors.   Anyone predicting Democrats take over House at this point is an idiot.

NORTH CAROLINA EARLY VOTING. GOP maintains a 6.2% turnout advantage over Democrats based on 2016 pace.

SOUTH CAROLINA EARLY VOTING. GOP maintains a 8.8% turnout advantage over Democrats based on 2016 pace.

NEVADA EARLY VOTING. GOP maintains a 5.2% Turnout Advantage over Democrats based on 2016 pace. Democrats held to 5K lead. GOP goal is no more than -30K by election day.

COLORADO VOTING. GOP opens up 7K lead as GOP hits 1.1% turnout above 2016 pace. Democrats are. .1%

FLORIDA EARLY VOTING. GOP gains an amazing 13K votes over the last 24 hours to extend lead over Democrats to +74K. GOP leads in Absentee ballots and Early Voting.

ARIZONA EARLY VOTING. GOP with 94K lead is on pace to smash 2016 record of 105K. GOP IS LEADING 94K votes. GOP goal is +70K by Election Day.

Louisiana Early Voting. GOP is up 8% over 2016 turnout pace. DEMOCRATS down 7%. GOP has a 15% turnout advantage.

[Sanguine]

Looking good!

[Right_in_Virginia]

Poll: McSally has 7-point lead on Sinema in Arizona Senate race
The Hill, Nov 1, 2018

GOP Rep. Martha McSally has a 7-point lead over Democratic Rep. Krysten Sinema in their battle for an Arizona Senate seat, according to a new poll released Thursday.

The ABC15 Arizona and OH Predictive Insights shows McSally with the support of 52 percent of likely voters, compared to Sinema's 45 percent. Only 2 percent of voters remain undecided.

The ABC15 poll surveyed 600 likely voters between Oct. 22 and 23. The margin of error for the sample is 4 percentage points.

The poll differs from several others that have been released in recent days that showed Sinema with an edge over McSally.

A CNN poll released Wednesday, which interviewed voters Oct. 24-29, gave Sinema a 4-point lead, right at the edge of the margin of error for the sample (4 percentage points).

A poll by NBC News/Marist conducted Oct. 23-27 showed Sinema with a 6-point lead, and a poll by CBS News/You Gov conducted Oct. 23-26 showed Sinema with a 3-point edge.

A New York Times poll earlier this month had McSally up by 2 points.

OH's chief pollster Mike Noble noted in his survey that independent support for McSally was key to her advantage.


More:  https://thehill.com/campaign-polls/414270-poll-mcsally-has-7-point-lead-on-sinema-in-arizona-senate-race

[Cyber Liberty]

We've been assured...this is not possible. 

[Right_in_Virginia]

POTUS is in MO for a rally right now .... campaigning for and with Josh Hawley, GOP candidate for the Senate.  I think the President was a little overwhelmed by the welcome.   

[XenaLee]

Looks like.... it's shaping up to be a blowout for the GOP this election.  And yeah.... Trump can and should take a huge chunk of credit for that.

[Frank Cannon]

Looks like.... it's shaping up to be a blowout for the GOP this election.  And yeah.... Trump can and should take a huge chunk of credit for that.

Of course he should. He is GOD!!!!!!

[XenaLee]

Of course he should. He is GOD!!!!!!

That's blasphemy!!!!  (not that I'm surprised, mind you)   

[Right_in_Virginia]

Looks like.... it's shaping up to be a blowout for the GOP this election.  And yeah.... Trump can and should take a huge chunk of credit for that.

Just watch the first 5 minutes or so of tonight's rally in MO ....  the enthusiasm is contagious!

https://www.c-span.org/video/?453797-1/president-trump-campaigns-republicans-missouri

[XenaLee]

Just watch the first 5 minutes or so of tonight's rally in MO ....  the enthusiasm is contagious!

https://www.c-span.org/video/?453797-1/president-trump-campaigns-republicans-missouri

The enthusiasm... (and other emotions) on both sides is off the charts...lol.   But yeah, he definitely has energized voters to go to the polls this election.  Despite the BS from the left... I predict a GOP blowout.  I am looking forward to enjoying the same wailing, screeching and gnashing of teeth by the left that occurred in 2016....only better.  (stocking up on popcorn and champagne)