Here's a different interpolation of the data
More On Shock Cruz Poll: The THREE POINTS Problem
Posted at 4:00 pm on April 19, 2018 by Carl Arbogast Washington, D.C. and Texas are abuzz this morning with news of the new Quinnipiac poll showing Sen. Ted Cruz winning re-election by a mere 3 points.
But the biggest shock may be that private polling commissioned by an entity that is neither Democratic nor Republican and undertaken over a month ago now showed the same rough result– a narrow victory for Cruz, in which he would probably be pulled across the finish line not by his own record or campaigning, but by Texas Gov. Greg Abbott’s very high popularity.
Abbott, who will also be on the ticket this fall, boasts a net +35 approval rating, according to January Morning Consult data.
According to Quinnipiac, “Sen. Cruz gets lackluster grades, including a 47 – 45 percent job approval rating and a 46 – 44 percent favorability rating.†The same basic problem– Cruz is not well-liked– was at the root of his poor numbers in the private poll showing similarly lackluster performance by Cruz.
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https://www.redstate.com/arbogast/2018/04/19/shock-cruz-poll-three-points-problem/