JoNova
[excerpt]
http://joannenova.com.au/2017/12/welcome-to-renewables-world-australia-plans-for-blackouts-throws-billions-of-dollars-but-it-will-get-cheaper/The fear is palpable
How much fun can you have living in a global experiment? In Australia, peak summer is about to hit in a post-Hazelwood-electricity-grid. There’s a suite of committee reports as summer ramps up. Everyday there’s another Grid story in the press, and a major effort going on to avoid a meltdown. Minister Josh Frydenberg announced today that “we’ve done everything possible to prevent mass blackoutsâ€. Or as he calls it, a repeat of the South Australian Horror Show. Politicians are so afraid of another SA-style-system-black that they are throwing money: The “Snowy Hydro Battery†will be another $2 billion. Whatever. It’s other people’s money.
This is what they are afraid of:
The red bars mean “Reserve Shortfallâ€. The dark blue matter is “Generationâ€. The graph covers two years (sorry about the quality) so the two red bursts are summer 2018 and summer 2019.
Oddly we are headed for a critical time, but this’s the most recent graph I can find — thanks to Wattclarity – from November 16th, 2017. (Here’s an earlier version from March 2017. and from Dec 2016). Perhaps there is a newer kinder forecast, but curiously the AEMO Medium Term Outloook page isn’t working “til early 2018″. Hmm? Odd time to take it down.
