NOAA: Above-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this year

[rangerrebew]

NOAA: Above-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this year
Anthony Watts / 20 hours ago May 25, 2017   

‘Weak or non-existent’ El Nino is a factor

 

Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center say the Atlantic could see another above-normal hurricane season this year.

For the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, forecasters predict a 45 percent chance of an above-normal season, a 35 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 20 percent chance of a below-normal season.

“As a Florida resident, I am particularly proud of the important work NOAA does in weather forecasting and hurricane prediction,” said U.S. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross. “These forecasts are important for both public safety and business planning, and are a crucial function of the federal government.”

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/05/25/noaa-above-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season-is-most-likely-this-year/

[Gefn]

Bookmarking.

Please no Sandys. No Katrinas. Nothing over a one.

[driftdiver]

They say this every year.   I think they get paid by the prediction

[catfish1957]

They say this every year.   I think they get paid by the prediction

I'll take the optimist approach and go with that there will be a 55% chance of normal or below normal year

[catfish1957]

They say this every year.   I think they get paid by the prediction

I have watched hurricanes for years, and this is interesting.  In the past Dr. Gray of Colorado State was the leading authoirty on these predictions.  But guess what.....   Dr. Gray casted doubt on the AGW scam, and him and his group have been pretty much blacklisted by the meteorlogical community.  As far as I am concerned his group (He's pretty much retired I understand) have given their 2017 prognostication, and they expect a below normal year.  I trust them more than those numbers fudgers at NOAA.

http://weatherplus.blog.palmbeachpost.com/2017/04/06/what-to-expect-this-hurricane-season-csu-releases-2017-forecast/

[driftdiver]

I'll take the optimist approach and go with that there will be a 55% chance of normal or below normal year

Build and maintain your property as if there will be a storm.   The majority of hurricanes are Cat 3 or weaker.   Those shouldn't cause any major damage unless you live on the beach and the storm surge washed away your home.     Unless of course your home wasn't built well or is in bad shame.

I've lived through quite a number of hurricanes and have found them to be mostly boring and hot once the electric goes off because the electric company failed to build your underground lines properly.

 

[catfish1957]

Build and maintain your property as if there will be a storm.   The majority of hurricanes are Cat 3 or weaker.   Those shouldn't cause any major damage unless you live on the beach and the storm surge washed away your home.     Unless of course your home wasn't built well or is in bad shame.

I've lived through quite a number of hurricanes and have found them to be mostly boring and hot once the electric goes off because the electric company failed to build your underground lines properly.

LOL-   Rita Survivor (2005)