Author Topic: Why Demography Does Not Equal Destiny  (Read 439 times)

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Offline Sanguine

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Re: Why Demography Does Not Equal Destiny
« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2017, 02:30:23 pm »
From the article:
Quote
Takeaways

Democrats cannot simply rely on demographic change to deliver inevitable victories.

    Demographic change is not evenly dispersed in states and voting districts throughout the country.
    Voting behavior is not static. Voters more readily change which party they support than the demography-is-destiny models anticipated.
    Despite the large change in the demographic composition of the electorate, most voters still do not self-identify as liberals. In fact, liberals remain bronze medalists in the ideological breakdown of the electorate—ever since the question was first asked decades ago.



Offline Sanguine

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Re: Why Demography Does Not Equal Destiny
« Reply #2 on: February 25, 2017, 02:31:49 pm »
Interesting site: 
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Why Third Way?

Highly allergic to the orthodoxies of both the left and right, we believe America is best led from the center.

Makes me wonder.

Offline TomSea

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Re: Why Demography Does Not Equal Destiny
« Reply #3 on: February 25, 2017, 03:10:50 pm »
You have good people everywhere and individuals that have their own views; but voting blocs remain that are for big government and the like.


Offline skeeter

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Re: Why Demography Does Not Equal Destiny
« Reply #4 on: February 25, 2017, 03:17:12 pm »
The fact that the democrat party now resembles what it does, hard left neo-marxist identity politics, and still represents a higher percentage of every group except whites, does not bode very well in spite of the theme of this essay.

Offline jmyrlefuller

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Re: Why Demography Does Not Equal Destiny
« Reply #5 on: February 25, 2017, 04:44:46 pm »
There's one fatal flaw in this author's logic.

He uses self-identification as the arbiter of what is considered liberal and conservative. Yet those numbers are largely static. If the country as a whole moves left, the perceived "center" moves with it. So, consider 20 years ago someone who embraces the entire alphabet soup lobby agenda would be considered a hardcore leftist back then; now, that's considered normal and even personally objecting to taking part in it is considered "discrimination."

There are some other issues, too, but that's the one that most easily sticks out.
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Offline Emjay

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Re: Why Demography Does Not Equal Destiny
« Reply #6 on: February 25, 2017, 04:46:16 pm »
The fact that the democrat party now resembles what it does, hard left neo-marxist identity politics, and still represents a higher percentage of every group except whites, does not bode very well in spite of the theme of this essay.

Fortunately, whites are still the majority and still have the most money and power ... maybe because actually working is not an anathema to most white people.

I realize sticking up for white people is wrong so don't bother to inform me of that.
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