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Offline Mechanicos

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Trump Is Right on Trade
« on: July 13, 2016, 10:17:21 pm »
Trump Is Right on Trade
Pat Buchanan Posted: Feb 19, 2016

Republican hawks are aflutter today over China's installation of anti-aircraft missiles on Woody Island in the South China Sea.

But do these Republicans, good free-traders all, realize their own indispensable role in converting an indigent China into the mighty and menacing power that seeks to push us out of Asia?

Last year, China ran up the largest trade surplus in history, at our expense, $365 billion. We exported $116 billion in goods to China. China exported $482 billion worth of goods to us.

Using Census Bureau statistics, Terry Jeffrey of CNSNEWS.com documents how Beijing has, over decades, looted and carted off the greatest manufacturing base the world had ever seen.

In 1985, China's trade surplus with us was a paltry $6 million. By 1992, when some of us were being denounced as "protectionists" for raising the issue, the U.S. trade deficit with China had crossed the $10 billion mark.

In 2002, it crossed the $100 billion mark. In 2005, the $200 billion mark. In each of the last four years, Communist China has run an annual trade surplus at the expense of the United States in excess of $300 billion.

Total trade deficits with China in the Bush-Clinton-Bush-Obama era? $4 trillion. Total U.S. trade deficit in 2015 -- $736 billion, 4 percent of our GDP.

To understand why Detroit look as it does, while the desolate Shanghai Richard Nixon visited in '72 is the great and gleaming metropolis of 2016, look to our trade deficits.

They also help explain America's 2 percent growth, her deindustrialization, her shrinking share of the world economy, and the stagnation of U.S. wages as manufacturing jobs are replaced by service jobs.

Those trade deficits also explain the rise of Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump.

Yet, with the exception of Trump, none of the GOP candidates seems willing to debate, defend or denounce the policies that eviscerated America -- and empowered the People's Republic.

Workers, however, know what our politicians refuse to discuss.

They are being sold out for the benefit of corporate elites who pay off those politicians with the big cash contributions that keep the parties flush.

Politicians who play ball with Wall Street and K Street know they will be taken care of, if they are defeated or when they retire from public office, so long as they have performed.

Free trade is not a zero-sum game. The losers are the workers whose jobs, factories and futures are shipped abroad, and the dead and dying towns left behind when the manufacturing plants shut down.

America is on a path of national decline because, while we have been looking out for what is best for the "global economy," our rivals have been looking out for what is best for their own nations.

Consider OPEC, which is reeling from the oil price collapse. Russia is colluding with Saudi Arabia and Iraq to cut production to firm up the market and prevent prices from falling further.

This is pure price fixing, but we all understand self-interest.

What might a U.S. national-interest-based trade policy look like?

Controlling the largest market on earth, we might impose on foreign producers a cover charge, an admissions fee, a tariff, to get into our market.

Example: Impose a 20 percent tariff on foreign cars entering the USA. This might raise the cost of a Lexus or Mercedes produced and assembled abroad from $50,000 to $60,000.

However, if Lexus or Mercedes buys or makes all their parts in the USA and assembles all their cars here, no tariff. Their cars could still sell for $50,000. This would be a powerful incentive to shift production here. As an added incentive, all tariff revenue could be used to reduce or eliminate corporate taxes in the USA.

Between the Civil War and World War I, under Republicans, the U.S. became the world's greatest industrial power and a wholly self-sufficient nation. How? We taxed foreign goods entering the United States, but did not tax the profits of U.S. companies or the incomes of U.S. workers.

The difference between economic patriots and globalists who inhabit corporate-funded think tanks and public policy institutes is that the latter think of what is best for their corporate benefactors and the global economy. The former put America and Americans first.

Academics revere Adam Smith, David Ricardo and Richard Cobden.

But none of them ever built a great nation. Patriots look to Alexander Hamilton and those post-Civil War Republicans who built the greatest national industrial powerhouse the world had ever seen.

Indeed, what great nation did free trade ever build?

As father of a united Germany, Chancellor Bismarck said, when he decided to build Germany on the American and not the British model, "I see that those countries which possess protection are prospering, and that those countries which possess free trade are decaying."

So it is true today. Unfortunately, it is America, now wedded to the fatal dogma of free trade, that is decaying.
[More]

http://townhall.com/columnists/patbuchanan/2016/02/19/trump-is-right-on-trade-n2121449
Trump is for America First.
"Crooked Hillary Clinton is the Secretary of the Status Quo – and wherever Hillary Clinton goes, corruption and scandal follow." D. Trump 7/11/16

Did you know that the word ‘gullible’ is not in the dictionary?

Isaiah 54:17

Offline Mechanicos

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Re: Trump Is Right on Trade
« Reply #1 on: July 13, 2016, 10:20:16 pm »
Trump’s Got It Right on Trade
by Peter Morici 28 Jan 2016

Donald Trump has been savaged by economists and the media aligned with establishment candidates for tough positions on trade—including a 45 percent tariff on imports to force China to the negotiating table.

Actually, he’s got it right.

Establishment Democrats and Republicans embrace free trade because it puts free markets first with benefits any decently trained economist should extoll. Unfortunately, trade with China and many nations is hardly market-driven.

It hurts U.S. growth and victimizes America’s families.

Obama’s six-year expansion has averaged 2.2 percent annual economic growth and added 13.6 million jobs. Coming off a similar bout with double-digit unemployment, Reagan delivered 4.6 percent growth and, in a smaller economy, added 18.1 million jobs.

Now conditions in China threaten to derail the U.S. recovery. Beijing’s statisticians report China’s growth slowed to  6.9 percent in 2015, down from double digits a few years ago. Western estimates are as low as 4 percent, and much of that is decadent.

Building apartments and office complexes that attract no tenants, and entire ghost cities, count in China’s GDP tally but add little to productivity. Wasteful outlays have boosted debt to 260 percent of GDP.

Nervous about a looming credit crisis, Chinese investors are heading for the doors—selling yuan for dollars to invest in overseas real estate and securities. This panics global stock markets and pushes down the yuan against the dollar—making Chinese goods artificially more price competitive against American-made products than underlying costs warrant.

For all the talk of a faltering dragon, U.S. imports from China were up, exports down, and the bilateral trade deficit increased nearly $25 billion in 2015—killing 200,000 American jobs.

Crippling debt is epidemic among emerging economies, as many borrowed in a mad race to expand manufacturing. Like Japan and the European Union, they now seek to cope with excess capacity and crushing interest payments by cheapening their currencies to juice exports and ship unemployment to America.

Those strategies have pushed U.S. manufacturing into recession—employment in export-focused durable goods is down 35,000 since June.

Trade should work better for America. We have a highly productive workforce and generate most of the world’s cutting edge innovations, but commerce doesn’t happen in a vacuum. Governments put up tariffs, impose tough regulations on foreign goods and investment, and offer businesses subsidies to export more.

That’s why American automobile and electronics manufacturers locate in China, and the same goes in other Asian venues.

How tough conditions are for U.S.-based industry is strongly determined by international trade agreements—those administered by the World Trade Organization and deals struck with individual countries.

The Obama Administration heralded the U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement as creating “countless new opportunities for U.S. exporters to sell more Made-in-America goods, services and agricultural products to Korean customers – and to support more good jobs here at home.” Since implemented in 2012, imports from Korea have risen much more than exports, and the bilateral trade deficit is up about $16 billion—destroying 130,000 good-paying American jobs.

Now the Obama Administration is making similarly fanciful claims to win congressional approval for a Trans-Pacific Partnership . It would establish free trade with 11 other nations, including Japan, without cleaning up subsidies and currency manipulation.

Overall, the U.S. trade deficit exceeds $500 billion a year and kills about 4 million jobs. Lost manufacturing takes a big bite out of R&D spending and that goes a long way toward explaining why growth is so disappointing and median family incomes are down $4000 since 2000.

Trump’s proposals for fixing trade—starting with China—address the salient issues of currency, trade barriers and subsidies. Those echo Mitt Romney’s 2012 platform—and candidate Obama in 2008—but threaten entrenched interests in both the Republican and Democratic parties.

Trump is hardly reckless on trade—just a long needed agent for change.
[More]
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/01/28/trumps-got-it-right-on-trade/
Trump is for America First.
"Crooked Hillary Clinton is the Secretary of the Status Quo – and wherever Hillary Clinton goes, corruption and scandal follow." D. Trump 7/11/16

Did you know that the word ‘gullible’ is not in the dictionary?

Isaiah 54:17

Offline INVAR

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Re: Trump Is Right on Trade
« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2016, 10:22:23 pm »
Trump is in concert with with both Bernie Sanders and Hillary on Trade.

Interesting that Buchanan (the darling of the Ron Paul mob zombies) trumpets Trump.

Oh look, the concerted talking points memo has gone out to the propaganda machines for Il Douche.
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...Obsta principiis—Nip the shoots of arbitrary power in the bud, is the only maxim which can ever preserve the liberties of any people. When the people give way, their deceivers, betrayers and destroyers press upon them so fast that there is no resisting afterwards. The nature of the encroachment upon [the] American constitution is such, as to grow every day more and more encroaching. Like a cancer, it eats faster and faster every hour." - John Adams, February 6, 1775

Offline Mechanicos

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Re: Trump Is Right on Trade
« Reply #3 on: July 13, 2016, 10:26:52 pm »
Why Trump Is Right On Trade

Donald Trump’s trade speech this week was an eye-opener for me. It was the first time a politician spoke realistically about trade policy, instead of the globalist nostrums we’ve heard from both parties for decades. Plus: he spoke knowledgeably about using enforcement tools that are already available under U.S. law – tools that, frankly, administrations of both parties have avoided using.

Here’s an example: in the Clinton Administration I was a career civil servant and a member of a panel convened by the U.S. Trade Representative to compile an annual report on countries that were violating our intellectual property rights. This could range from pirating software, technology, high-end designer goods and more. Under U.S. law (nicknamed ‘Special 301’), the president could take punitive action by imposing tariffs on imported goods from the bad-actor country.

Why was Special 301 important? Knowledge workers and fashion designers, including entrepreneurs in the high tech sector can make money only if they are paid for what they produce. Intellectual property violators adopt a more Marxist view that ‘property is theft’ and freeload off of other’s work. Because the freeloaders aren’t paying royalties to the developers and designers, they can charge less for Product X than a firm that’s producing the same product but is playing by the rules.

The annual report our group issued ranked countries by the severity of their violations. China was regularly at the top of the list (China had not yet been admitted to the World Trade Organization). Did the Clinton Administration ‘pull the trigger’ and invoke Special 301 sanctions against China? Never.

China always received a vigorous tut-tut, and could expect more tuts in the next year’s report. This pattern continued in the George W. Bush and Barack Obama administrations.

Imagine the China’s reaction to the report: can you hear the laughter?

The pushback to pulling the trigger always arose from trade groups and their friends at the State Department who believed the overall negative impact of limiting imports from China outweighed the protection of intellectual property. A President Trump would change that mindset, obviously.

Trump also was right to propose having the Commerce Department research existing trade laws with a view to finding the enforcement tools that would be at his disposal. 

Part of getting trade legislation passed on the Hill involves inserting enforcement provisions in the bill. The provisions are to help the Member of Congress sell the legislation back home — ‘if they cheat, we can go after them!’ However, as we’ve seen with Special 301, there was always a reason, usually arising from the State Department, why punitive action could not be taken this year or next year and so on.
[More]
http://dailycaller.com/2016/07/01/why-trump-is-right-on-trade/
Trump is for America First.
"Crooked Hillary Clinton is the Secretary of the Status Quo – and wherever Hillary Clinton goes, corruption and scandal follow." D. Trump 7/11/16

Did you know that the word ‘gullible’ is not in the dictionary?

Isaiah 54:17

geronl

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Re: Trump Is Right on Trade
« Reply #4 on: July 13, 2016, 10:32:21 pm »
high tariffs and new taxes and more regulatory on business


is not right

it's wrong in every way

Offline thackney

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Re: Trump Is Right on Trade
« Reply #5 on: July 14, 2016, 08:39:13 pm »
Consider OPEC, which is reeling from the oil price collapse. Russia is colluding with Saudi Arabia and Iraq to cut production to firm up the market and prevent prices from falling further.

Saudi Arabia, Russia and Iraq have been increasing their oil production to record numbers.  Is the rest of the article the same level BS?

Russian Oil Exports Set for Record as Europe Competition Grows
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-07-03/russian-oil-exports-set-for-record-as-europe-competition-grows

IEA Sees Record Middle East Oil Supply as U.S. Output Slumps
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-07-13/iea-sees-record-middle-east-oil-supply-while-u-s-output-slumps

Opec sees rising oil demand in 2017 as Saudi Arabia pumps near-record output
http://www.thenational.ae/business/energy/opec-sees-rising-oil-demand-in-2017-as-saudi-arabia-pumps-near-record-output

Iraq Boosts Oil Production to Record Before Output Cap Talks
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-10/iraq-boosts-oil-production-to-record-before-talks-to-cap-output
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Offline sinkspur

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Re: Trump Is Right on Trade
« Reply #6 on: July 14, 2016, 08:45:56 pm »
Buchanan never met a tariff he didn't like, and Morici is a protectionist who obviously chooses to ignore Smoot-Hawley.

Dumb.
Roy Moore's "spiritual warfare" is driving past a junior high without stopping.