Author Topic: Brexit Vote Live Thread  (Read 9804 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Wingnut

  • Guest
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #25 on: June 24, 2016, 01:01:45 am »
Should I cool it or should I blow?

Offline Suppressed

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12,921
  • Gender: Male
    • Avatar
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #26 on: June 24, 2016, 01:03:42 am »
Which is a huge pity - I'd have paid good money to see Farage and BoJo on the same stage.

 :beer:
+++++++++
“In the outside world, I'm a simple geologist. But in here .... I am Falcor, Defender of the Alliance” --Randy Marsh

“The most effectual means of being secure against pain is to retire within ourselves, and to suffice for our own happiness.” -- Thomas Jefferson

“He's so dumb he thinks a Mexican border pays rent.” --Foghorn Leghorn

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #27 on: June 24, 2016, 01:13:51 am »
Leave is now winning on Betfair.

Yikes!
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #28 on: June 24, 2016, 01:15:45 am »
Laura Kuenssberg

@bbclaurak

Senior labour figure tells me 'this has gone, Leave to win' - Don't jump up and down with joy or in despair, it's early and it's one source
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline EC

  • Shanghaied Editor
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 23,804
  • Gender: Male
  • Cats rule. Dogs drool.
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #30 on: June 24, 2016, 01:17:05 am »
EU Referendum results, counting under way
Leave
Votes
1,357,827

Remain
Votes
1,220,024

Scotland is skewing the Remain camp quite heavily at the moment. Bloody sweaties, wanting to leave the UK but to stay in Europe.  :tongue2:

This is one fight that's going to come down to the suburbs, so look for large sudden swings as they start to report in.
The universe doesn't hate you. Unless your name is Tsutomu Yamaguchi

Avatar courtesy of Oceander

I've got a website now: Smoke and Ink

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #31 on: June 24, 2016, 01:17:21 am »
Pound dives as City reckons with Leave probability

Sterling is heading ever lower against the dollar - on track for its worst losses against the US currency in at least the last three decades.

It is currently trading down more than 4.2pc as traders contemplate the likelihood of a Brexit victory. That puts the pound on track for a greater fall than that of "Black Wednesday", when the UK left the ERM in 1992. On that day, the pound dropped by just 4.1pc.

Meanwhile, Asian markets are waking up and reckoning with the consequences. Expect to see some fall out in bourses there once they open up for trading.
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #32 on: June 24, 2016, 01:18:45 am »

Latest forecast: Leave to win

Another forecast just in from the experts at the University of East Anglia - things are definitely shifting in favour of Leave:

    Predicted probability of Britain Remaining: 0.03
    (33 of 382 areas reporting.)
    Predicted vote share for Remain: 47.5 percent.
    (90% prediction interval: 45.5 to 49.6 percent)

(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #33 on: June 24, 2016, 01:21:16 am »
What is your sense from the polls today?

Sources in London say the floods will hurt remain.  What do you think?

EU Referendum results, counting under way
Leave
Votes
1,357,827

Remain
Votes
1,220,024

Scotland is skewing the Remain camp quite heavily at the moment. Bloody sweaties, wanting to leave the UK but to stay in Europe.  :tongue2:

This is one fight that's going to come down to the suburbs, so look for large sudden swings as they start to report in.
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline EC

  • Shanghaied Editor
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 23,804
  • Gender: Male
  • Cats rule. Dogs drool.
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #34 on: June 24, 2016, 01:22:26 am »
Turn out is being reported as around 70% - which is almost unheard of for an election.

In my polling station (3700 voters registered to it) we returned under 100 unused ballots. Working class, "trades" suburb. Though considering the state of some of the late voters (there was a darts match at the local pub) I'm betting that several of those are returned as invalid/spoiled ballots.  :tongue2:
The universe doesn't hate you. Unless your name is Tsutomu Yamaguchi

Avatar courtesy of Oceander

I've got a website now: Smoke and Ink

Offline EC

  • Shanghaied Editor
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 23,804
  • Gender: Male
  • Cats rule. Dogs drool.
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #35 on: June 24, 2016, 01:23:24 am »
I think leave will take it by under 10,000 votes.
The universe doesn't hate you. Unless your name is Tsutomu Yamaguchi

Avatar courtesy of Oceander

I've got a website now: Smoke and Ink

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #36 on: June 24, 2016, 01:31:02 am »
Bad for me in the short run, but good in the long run.

Also a YUGEE! proxy vote FOR TRUMP.
« Last Edit: June 24, 2016, 01:31:28 am by LonestarDream »
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #37 on: June 24, 2016, 01:32:11 am »
I think leave will take it by under 10,000 votes.

Labour getting its clock cleaned in the North East...
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

geronl

  • Guest
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #38 on: June 24, 2016, 01:33:13 am »
I thought Scotland wanted independence!!

So much for that, I guess

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #39 on: June 24, 2016, 01:34:35 am »
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

geronl

  • Guest
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #40 on: June 24, 2016, 01:35:02 am »

Also a YUGEE! proxy vote FOR TRUMP.

That is ridiculous

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #41 on: June 24, 2016, 01:35:15 am »
I thought Scotland wanted independence!!

So much for that, I guess

Independence from UK but PRO EU.
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #42 on: June 24, 2016, 01:36:18 am »
That is ridiculous

Pure analysis.  The same demos voting for Trump are voting for Brexit.
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #43 on: June 24, 2016, 01:46:10 am »
EU REFERENDUM

Results after 77 of 382 areas declared

    Remain:2,598,582 votes(50.43%)
    Leave:2,553,809 votes(49.57%)



Dont worry EC, Cook County, IL will save Remain just like it did JFK!!

-lol
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Online kevindavis007

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12,414
  • Gender: Male
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #44 on: June 24, 2016, 01:47:59 am »
Sorry for the delay. Last minute rush at the polling station - trying to get over 100 people checked and vote completed with 6 minutes to go to close of polls. Wore me out, so when I got home I just corked out.  :laugh:

Nigel Farrage is one I'm never sure what the hell he's on about. His ability with mixed messages makes Trump look a model of concise speech.

However, I think what your friend meant was that UKIP ran their own exit campaign in isolation, rather than doing as the others did and linking in with the general campaign for exit. Which is a huge pity - I'd have paid good money to see Farage and BoJo on the same stage.


@EC Thank you for the clarification..
Join The Reagan Caucus: https://reagancaucus.org/

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #45 on: June 24, 2016, 01:50:37 am »
That is ridiculous

MP Simon Danczuk, who is currently suspended from the Labour Party​, ​placed the blame for the low Remain vote in the party’s heartlands on Jeremy Corbyn.

Rochdale MP Mr Danczuk said:

    “I think the leadership of the party – Jeremy primarily – struggles to communicate with our people in the north.

    “Many of them think he’s a very principled person but don’t believe what he has to say.

    “They don’t listen to him.

    “He just doesn’t get his message across and that is a real problem not just for this referendum but for a future general election.

    Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn speaks at a Labour EU rally in Kings Cross, London, the day before what promises to be a knife-edge vote on Britain's EU membership. PRESS ASSOCIATION Photo. Picture date: Wednesday June 22, 2016. See PA story POLITICS EU Labour. Photo credit should read: Gareth Fuller/PA Wire

    “If your core vote aren’t listening then you’re not going to win a future general election.

    “I think there’s some anti-politics – large swathes of people across the north who believe, rightly, that the Conservatives don’t care for their towns and cities in the north and believe the Labour Party is led by a north London elite who, not so much don’t care for them, but don’t understand them.

    “That’s quite corrosive. It hasn’t happened overnight, it’s been happening over a few years now.”

Mr Danczuk warned the leadership it doesn’t understand traditional supporters’ concerns over immigration.

“I don’t think they do get it at all – Jeremy talks about wanting more immigration, not less,” said the MP.


He urged Mr Corbyn to get out and meet “real people .. not just doing rallies talking to the faithful, the Corbynites”.
« Last Edit: June 24, 2016, 01:51:51 am by LonestarDream »
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Online kevindavis007

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12,414
  • Gender: Male
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #46 on: June 24, 2016, 01:50:44 am »
Well, someone is posting results from @britainelects and it looks like EU leave is winning..
Join The Reagan Caucus: https://reagancaucus.org/

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #47 on: June 24, 2016, 01:53:09 am »
Not supposed to happen.   :smokin:

Leave up 50.02%
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #48 on: June 24, 2016, 01:55:36 am »

Wales is heading for Leave

All seven areas in Wales to declare so far have backed Leave - four by over 56 per cent. This will be concerning for Remain, as this nation was supposed to be the closest in the UK - and YouGov had predicted a small Remain win here overall.

Ashley Kirk, Data Reporter
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?

Offline LonestarDream

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3,061
Re: Brexit Vote Live Thread
« Reply #49 on: June 24, 2016, 01:57:25 am »
McDonnell: 'Bank of England will intervene'

John McDonnell, the shadow chancellor, says he expects the Bank of England to intervene in the morning. He told the BBC:

    "That is exactly the sort of shock we were expecting so I would expect the Bank of England to intervene in the morning.
(?) Trump Realist    (*) Trump believer   (?) Never Trump,   Which are you ?