BREAKING=> TRUMP Camp Releases List of 9 of 15 States In-Play This Cycle Including NY and California

[Mechanicos]

BREAKING=> TRUMP Camp Releases List of 9 of 15 States In-Play This Cycle Including NY and California


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njyKxF2yWbs

he states include:
— Ohio
— Florida
— Virginia
— Minnesota
— Michigan
— Pennsylvania
— Wisconsin
— New York
— Maine
— California

** Plus Donald Trump is beating Hillary Clinton in the latest Oregon poll and is essentially tied with Hillary in New Hampshire -two more traditional blue states.

And Hillary Clinton hasn’t even been indicted yet!

    Wow! Trump camp announces 15 in play states for general – plus @realDonaldTrump is beating #CrookedHillary in Oregon pic.twitter.com/gYiFkghHZy

    — Jim Hoft (@gatewaypundit) May 29, 2016

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/05/breaking-trump-camp-releases-map-15-states-play-cycle-including-ny-california/

[sinkspur]

Trump has NO CHANCE in New York or Calfornia. Hillary leads in California by 17 points and New York by 15 points.

Maine? Four electoral votes? 

He will not win Michigan nor Wisconsin.

All Hillary needs is Ohio OR Florida OR Virginia and she's got it.

Plus, Georgia is turning purple and may be in play for the Democrats.

[sinkspur]

http://predictwise.com/

Hillary 66%, Trump 34%

David's Musings

TUESDAY, MAY 24, 2016 | 9:23AM

Polling: Clinton is up 43.6 to 42.0 on Pollster and Trump is up 43.4 to 43.2 on Real Clear. Markets: Clinton is 66%. How do these match?

1) Trump has already benefited from the end of the Republican primary. Prior to the end of the primary strategic or upset party voters will state they will not vote for the other possible nominees. That is helpful to their candidate! (i.e., Cruz supporters may say they will vote for Cruz v. Clinton, but not vote or vote for Clinton v. Trump.) Expect a similar bounce for Clinton when Sanders drops out of the race.

2) Recent polling in the states still has Clinton with a strong lead in many key states. Starting with the 2012 map, Clinton just needs to hold VA, OH, or FL. Pollster averages have her up by 12 pp in VA, 3 pp in OH, and 2 pp in FL. Real Clear has her up 13 pp in VA, 1.4 pp in OH, 2 pp in FL.

3) Markets consider fundamentals. While income growth has been slow, Obama’s Approval numbers are strong. This tends to have some predictive power, in addition to polls, at this early point.

4) Markets consider idiosyncratic data. Clinton has more money in the bank and will likely out raise Trump by a lot. She will have a more unified GOTV game. And, she is extremely vetted. Trump, while in the public spotlight has not been vetted as closely (no one has).

[cato potatoe]

I see ten states.  Can Trump count to 15? 

[cato potatoe]

And LOL at Trump competing in California.  The electorate will be 23% latino, 12% asian, 8% black, 3% mixed race.  He would need around 75% of the white vote. 

[RoosGirl]

This is a compilation of the latest polls of Trump V Clinton

http://www.270towin.com/2016-polls/2016-general-election-matchups/#US_Clinton_Trump

[Oceander]

Is from all 57 states?

[RedHead]

Minnesota, Wisconsin, New York and California?  Their delusions know no bounds.

[Fishrrman]

RedHead wrote:
"Minnesota, Wisconsin, New York and California?  Their delusions know no bounds."

Umm.... Scott Walker has won 3 consecutive times in Wisconsin (2 elections plus the recall). With his support, Trump has a chance there. Pick Walker as the VP candidate, and the chances get better.

I agree about Minnesota and California. Both are lost causes to the Republicans. The Pubbies aren't even going to be on the ballot in the 2016 California Senate election. Looks like the choice there is gonna be between two... democrats!

New York? Hard to say. Hillary isn't as popular there as you might think, other than "downstate" and in NYC. Trump could make it a close one. Whether he can pull that off, who knows. But of one thing I'm certain -- NONE of the other candidates would have had the chances that Mr. Trump has in New York, and perhaps in Connecticut and maybe even New Jersey.

[sinkspur]

RedHead wrote:
"Minnesota, Wisconsin, New York and California?  Their delusions know no bounds."

Umm.... Scott Walker has won 3 consecutive times in Wisconsin (2 elections plus the recall). With his support, Trump has a chance there. Pick Walker as the VP candidate, and the chances get better.

I agree about Minnesota and California. Both are lost causes to the Republicans. The Pubbies aren't even going to be on the ballot in the 2016 California Senate election. Looks like the choice there is gonna be between two... democrats!

New York? Hard to say. Hillary isn't as popular there as you might think, other than "downstate" and in NYC. Trump could make it a close one. Whether he can pull that off, who knows. But of one thing I'm certain -- NONE of the other candidates would have had the chances that Mr. Trump has in New York, and perhaps in Connecticut and maybe even New Jersey.

Cruz stomped Trump in Wisconsin.  And with Charlie Sykes, a statewide talk show host firmly in the #NeverTrump camp, Trump will not win Wisconsin.  Republicans remember what Trump said about Scott Walker when he ran in the primary.

Walker would never agree to serve with Trump.  He's got a future in the GOP and can't risk the debacle that Trump is going to suffer in November.

[austingirl]

Minnesota, Wisconsin, New York and California?  Their delusions know no bounds.

In the minds of his supporters, it's true just because Trump said it.

[RedHead]

RedHead wrote:
"Minnesota, Wisconsin, New York and California?  Their delusions know no bounds."

Umm.... Scott Walker has won 3 consecutive times in Wisconsin (2 elections plus the recall). With his support, Trump has a chance there. Pick Walker as the VP candidate, and the chances get better.

Complete nonsense.  Walker won three non-presidential year elections with low turnouts.  Turnout for the 2012 election in Wisconsin was over a million voters higher than any of the Walker elections.  With Ryan on the ticket Obama still took the state by seven percentage points.

I agree about Minnesota and California. Both are lost causes to the Republicans. The Pubbies aren't even going to be on the ballot in the 2016 California Senate election. Looks like the choice there is gonna be between two... democrats!

Agreed.

New York? Hard to say. Hillary isn't as popular there as you might think, other than "downstate" and in NYC. Trump could make it a close one. Whether he can pull that off, who knows. But of one thing I'm certain -- NONE of the other candidates would have had the chances that Mr. Trump has in New York, and perhaps in Connecticut and maybe even New Jersey.

New York is  solid Democrat state and Trump isn't going to change that.  It generally goes for the Democrat by over 25 points. 

[libertybele]

Kasich may be able to bring Trump Ohio.  Trump's problem is going to be Florida; he asked Gov. Scott to be his VP and he declined.  Trump wants Rubio to consider running again for Senate hopefully to bring him some votes.  With Florida's huge Latino population, especially  Miami-Dade county he will lose. I think Wisconsin and Minnesota could go either way.  Michigan, California and New York are Hillary's.

The importance of the selection of their running mates will determine the race. Castro or Warren will win for the DEMS.  As for Trump ... Gingrich isn't going to do it.  Newt won't bring in the female vote or the Hispanic vote. The couple of people who could have handed us the oval office, he's insulted and attacked and aren't interested.

[TomSea]

Iowa is often close and though has gone blue in recent elections; they could be considered.

Minnesota elected Jesse; Trump could have a good showing but winning is a question. I guess Ventura won in a 3 way race, running 3rd party if I have that correct.