Author Topic: Democrats Are Running Out of States to Flip  (Read 369 times)

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Online jmyrlefuller

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Democrats Are Running Out of States to Flip
« on: July 11, 2014, 12:01:50 PM »
http://www.nationaljournal.com/against-the-grain/democrats-are-running-out-of-states-to-flip-20140708

by Josh Kraushaar
July 8, 2014

In assessing the future of politics, former Obama campaign manager David Plouffe offered an eye-catching prediction in The Wall Street Journal's op-ed page Monday: The Republican strongholds of Arizona, Georgia, and, yes, Texas, are poised to become swing states over the next couple of decades. His projection shouldn't be too surprising: When looking at the booming minority growth across the country, it's easy to see how the political composition of certain states can change dramatically, even in once-partisan strongholds.

But it's also worth taking a closer look at what's currently happening in those three states, through the prism of the races taking place there this year. If anything, recent elections suggest that the states aren't turning more favorable for Democrats, but instead are becoming more racially polarized. Mitt Romney improved his performance over John McCain in all three states from 2008 to 2012, even in McCain's home state. Since Obama's election in 2008, Republicans won every gubernatorial and Senate race in the trifecta, with a perfect 9-0 record. White voters in these diversifying Southern states are becoming overwhelmingly Republican, while Hispanic turnout continues to lag well behind their racial counterparts.

By the time Texas has enough registered Hispanic voters to make a political difference, it's possible that many second-generation Latinos will be assimilated and less reliably Democratic than their parents. Already, researchers are finding that a sizable number of Hispanics later self-identify as white, dampening the trajectory of steady Hispanic growth into the future.

(excerpt)

Offline GourmetDan

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Re: Democrats Are Running Out of States to Flip
« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2014, 12:04:09 PM »

He's a 'white Hispanic'...

"The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left." - Ecclesiastes 10:2

"The sole purpose of the Republican Party is to serve as an ineffective alternative to the Democrat Party." - GourmetDan

Offline Fishrrman

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Re: Democrats Are Running Out of States to Flip
« Reply #2 on: July 11, 2014, 10:49:41 PM »
From the article:
[[ White voters in these diversifying Southern states are becoming overwhelmingly Republican, while Hispanic turnout continues to lag well behind their racial counterparts. ]]

I've been posting about this here for some time.

If there is any future for the Republican party, is it with -white- voters, and not with Hispanics or other "minorities".

This why the southern states remain under Republican control -- because even though the black populations of those states are higher than anywhere else in the United States, whites retain control by adopting "identity politics". That is to say, they are aware that if they don't "vote white (i.e., vote Republican), they will lose control of their states to the blacks/democrats. Hence, we see Republicans winning in the deep south with 70% or more of "the white vote".

For every Hispanic that casts a Republican vote, there are two or three more who will vote for the democrats. There is nothing complicated about this to understand. The greater the Hispanic portion of the population, the more "tipped" a state will be towards the democrats and the left. This isn't going to change, any more than "the black vote" is going to change (even though the democrats will soon throw blacks under the bus in favor of pandering to Hispanics).

This is also why there can never be "amnesty" of ANY kind. ANY move to "normalize" the population of illegals in this country will eventually lead to citizenship and THE VOTE.

Keeping them illegal and "in limbo" assures that even if their population grows, they will not quickly gain voting power as a constituency (I realize that their American-born children -will- automatically become voters some twenty years down the line).

Call this "voter suppression" if you wish.
It is all that stands between some states still being competitive for Republicans, and having those same states tip completely over "to the blue" prematurely.

Online Oceander

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Re: Democrats Are Running Out of States to Flip
« Reply #3 on: July 11, 2014, 10:52:06 PM »
racism raises its ugly head.  maybe hispanics and other non-whites don't vote republican because too many republicans have been way too successful in convincing the world that the GOP is for whites only.

Offline Once-Ler

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Re: Democrats Are Running Out of States to Flip
« Reply #4 on: July 12, 2014, 02:29:34 AM »
"Racism is evil. And those who cause violence in its name are criminals and thugs including the KKK, neo-Nazis, white supremacists, and other hate groups that are repugnant to everything we hold dear as Americans."  -  President Donald J Trump

Does anybody really want to throw out good, educated and accomplished young people who have jobs, some serving in the military? Really!.....
...They have been in our country for many years through no fault of their own - brought in by parents at young age. Plus BIG border security
       Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump 5:35 AM - Sep 14, 2017

Offline olde north church

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Re: Democrats Are Running Out of States to Flip
« Reply #5 on: July 12, 2014, 06:07:58 AM »
Why?  Well, because I'm a bastard, that's why.

Online DCPatriot

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Re: Democrats Are Running Out of States to Flip
« Reply #6 on: July 12, 2014, 08:27:02 AM »
How remarkable would it have been had Rand said, "Let's start this conversation by saying 'We aren't going to force 280 MILLION AMERICANS to change their health insurance.'"?

 :beer:
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

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