RUSI Briefing Examines Possible Russian Military Strategies Against Ukraine

[SPQR]

By Dr Igor Sutyagin, Research Fellow, Russian Studies; Professor Michael Clarke, Director General


With elections set to be held in Ukraine in May, the relationship between Russia and Ukraine is about to enter a critical, and perhaps more dangerous period. Russian military planners may take the opportunity to intervene before further erosion of the combat effectiveness of their troops.

Based on current knowledge, expert insight and research, RUSI has published a briefing setting out four military scenarios that now have to be factored into the political calculations for both sides.

They are not predictions nor are they a complete picture of a complex and dynamic situation. Nevertheless, the military dispositions of Ukrainian and Russian forces are becoming more relevant to the political equation, and for a range of reasons they may reduce the time in which politics and negotiation can mitigate the effects of this crisis.

LiNKS
https://www.rusi.org/news/ref:N533EEE036731B/#.U2tYXNrn-Ul
https://www.rusi.org/downloads/assets/UKRANIANMILITARYDISPOSITIONS_RUSIBRIEFING.pdf

[SPQR]

By Dr Igor Sutyagin, Research Fellow, Russian Studies; Professor Michael Clarke, Director General



With elections set to be held in Ukraine in May, the relationship between Russia and Ukraine is about to enter a critical, and perhaps more dangerous period. Russian military planners may take the opportunity to intervene before further erosion of the combat effectiveness of their troops.

Based on current knowledge, expert insight and research, RUSI has published a briefing setting out four military scenarios that now have to be factored into the political calculations for both sides.

They are not predictions nor are they a complete picture of a complex and dynamic situation. Nevertheless, the military dispositions of Ukrainian and Russian forces are becoming more relevant to the political equation, and for a range of reasons they may reduce the time in which politics and negotiation can mitigate the effects of this crisis.

LINKS
https://www.rusi.org/downloads/assets/UKRANIANMILITARYDISPOSITIONS_RUSIBRIEFING.pdf
https://www.rusi.org/news/ref:N533EEE036731B/#.U2tYXNrn-Ul

I think that they will do the classic pincer movement. This is the classic pincer movement. I would choose this method because tt is quick and very fast. It seems that they all the forces in line for that. I can tell on the far left that they will use the Dnieper River to cut the country in half.They are also going to use the Crimea as a jumping off point to link up with those two pockets at the Sea of Azov and Odessa. It is something that the Russians have perfected since World War II.