Author Topic: Carville: O-Care a winning bet for Dems  (Read 155 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline mystery-ak

  • Owner
  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 246,270
Carville: O-Care a winning bet for Dems
« on: April 02, 2014, 10:37:31 AM »

 By James Carville - 04/01/14 07:25 PM EDT

Earlier this year I took to the pages of The Hill to encourage Democratic strategists to focus on what conditions would look like in November, and not be demoralized by what they look like in February and March. I pushed them to act like they were running the fast break in the NCAA tournament and to throw the lead pass, and to have some confidence that conditions would improve. And it sure does seem, if you look at the latest ABC/Washington Post poll, that the receiver of that pass has moved somewhat.

Focusing on the biggest issue, ObamaCare, we can see in the ABC/Post poll significant gains in support of the healthcare reform law. Although the electorate is split with 49 percent supporting the healthcare law and 48 percent opposing, those are much better numbers than what we saw in November, when an ABC/Washington Post survey found only 40 percent in support of the law and 57 percent in opposition.

Just like two weeks ago, the current numbers are probably going to change, so you have to continue to focus on the trajectory and the destination, which is November. How mobilized will Democratic support be for ObamaCare then?

While the numbers in the ABC/Post poll are looking up and the trajectory is looking better, let’s not get too optimistic without seeing the defense when we throw that lead pass.

After Alex Sink was sunk in the Florida special congressional race in February, my fellow Democratic strategists went back to their get-out-the-vote strategy and feared another 1994 or 2010 landslide election for the GOP. Well, Democratic voters might now be motivated to stand by the administration’s top legislative achievement more than ever — the same ABC/Post poll found that Democratic support for ObamaCare has reached 76 percent, which is up 11 percentage points from January. My fellow Democrats feared we didn’t have a motivating issue ... well, Republican opposition to the law, to no one’s surprise, is at 78 percent.

I like being on the side of healthcare consumer. I think that is a winning argument for Democrats.

This past weekend was the Louisiana Derby, and with the Kentucky Derby on the horizon, I have been making some bets lately. One bet I made recently was with my friend Bill O’Reilly at Fox News, about the future and fate of ObamaCare. He gave the reform law a 25 percent chance of success, and among his colleagues, that might make him the most optimistic. Even on his show I was a critic of the Affordable Care Act rollout. I even called it a “disaster,” which it was. But I took that bet. And now, could somebody say the Congressional Budget Office, the federal government, and administration healthcare officials got the number of enrollees pretty right?

Well, here is a shout-out to those who don’t often get a shout-out: great job.

Support the USO

Offline Relic

  • Hero Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 4,967
Re: Carville: O-Care a winning bet for Dems
« Reply #1 on: April 02, 2014, 10:47:29 AM »
More of the full court press, to stay with the basketball metaphor.

The turn out in November will be the same as any other off year, lots of older people, and the takers will be too busy to be bothered. There will be modest Republican gains.

Republicans aren't inspiring, nor do they have a coherent message.
The most damaging parts of Obamacare have been pushed off until after the election to avoid irritating those who do vote.
Obamacare is here to stay, the ignorant little twit in the White House is right when it comes to that.

Offline Oceander

  • Technical
  • Hero Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 42,739
  • #NeverTrumpForever
Re: Carville: O-Care a winning bet for Dems
« Reply #2 on: April 02, 2014, 03:05:45 PM »

Offline mountaineer

  • Member
  • Hero Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 33,057
Re: Carville: O-Care a winning bet for Dems
« Reply #3 on: April 02, 2014, 03:49:00 PM »
I wonder what type of health insurance ol' Serpenthead has for his family.
The skeptic is never for real. There he stands, cocktail in hand, left arm draped languorously on one end of the mantelpiece, telling you that he can't be sure of anything, not even of his own existence. I'll give you my secret method of demolishing universal skepticism in four words. Whisper to him: "Your fly is open." If he thinks knowledge is so all-fired impossible, why does he always look? — James Sire (from, The Universe Next Door)

Online EC

  • Shanghaied Editor
  • Member
  • Hero Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 17,731
  • Conspiracy engineer. Low rates.
Re: Carville: O-Care a winning bet for Dems
« Reply #4 on: April 02, 2014, 03:58:34 PM »
I wonder what type of health insurance ol' Serpenthead has for his family.

You raise an interesting thought in my mind.

We know the Worm did a symbolic sign-up, even though his health care for life is covered by the military. Yet he is decimating, insulting and emasculating the military every chance he gets. Has he thought this through?
The fastest way to a man's heart? Inch to the right of the breastbone, between the fourth and fifth rib.

Every time I start to feel boring, I remember there is a monthly magazine devoted to elevators.

Avatar courtesy of Oceander

I've got a website now: Smoke and Ink

Offline Right_in_Virginia

  • Hero Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 16,476

Share me

Digg  Facebook  SlashDot  Delicious  Technorati  Twitter  Google  Yahoo