Larry Sabato: 'It's Going to Be a Good Republican Year'
Tuesday, March 25, 2014 05:11 PM
By: Bill Hoffmann
There's no question the Republican Party will prosper at the polls this year, according to Dr. Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics.
"It’s going to be a good Republican year, the question is, is it going to be a great Republican year?" Sabato told "The Steve Malzberg Show" on Newsmax TV.
"There's no forecaster on earth who could tell you that precisely right now."
Among the states poised to see the GOP thrive during November's midterm elections to the Senate are Alaska, Louisiana, Michigan, Iowa and Colorado, according to Sabato.
"The Republicans are guaranteed to gain at least three or four seats. It seems to us that the number is increasing as time goes on," he said.
"The reason we don't issue a hard and fast number right now is because you can't predict the results of low-turnout primaries.
"That's the one place where people in my business, election forecasting, are particularly bad. You have to wait until the primaries are finished to put a number on it."
Sabato also has good news for Senate Minority Leader and Sen. Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, who is being challenged from both sides.
"We have bet on McConnell to win the primary handily against [tea party favorite] Matt Bevin and we believe he will defeat the Democratic nominee [and Kentucky Secretary of State] Alison Lundergan Grimes," Sabato said.
"[It's] mainly because in the general, President [Barack] Obama is in the mid-30s in [the polls in] Kentucky.
"How do you get a Democrat elected against a Republican incumbent when the leader of the Democratic party is in the mid-30s?"