Author Topic: Larry Sabato: GOP has 50-50 Chance at Controlling Senate in November  (Read 265 times)

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Larry Sabato: GOP has 50-50 Chance at Controlling Senate in November
Thursday, January 23, 2014 11:33 PM

By: Greg Richter

Republicans will definitely pick up seats in the Senate in November's midterm elections, says political scientist Larry Sabato, with the chances of gaining control of the body at 50-50.

Democrats currently control the Senate by a 55-45 margin, which means Republicans need to win six seats in November to take control. The GOP already has a majority in the House of Representatives.

Appearing Thursday on Fox News Channel's "The Kelly File," Sabato said he considers West Virginia and South Dakota locks for Republicans, while they have the edge in Montana.

That leaves three more states they must win, and the most competitive seats are in deep red Republican states with Democratic incumbents, such as Arkansas, Louisiana, North Carolina, and Alaska, he said.

"This is the six-year election of a two-term Democratic administration, and we have a phenomenon we call the sixth-year itch," Sabato told host Megyn Kelly. "Usually it's a bad year for the incumbent White House party. Well, guess what? We're starting to see a little drift in the direction of Republicans."

Early readings show Republicans are on the cusp of picking up the Senate, he said.

"They may fall just short; they may fall over the line. But they're going to pick up seats."

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Re: Larry Sabato: GOP has 50-50 Chance at Controlling Senate in November
« Reply #1 on: January 24, 2014, 09:18:27 AM »
Quote
Appearing Thursday on Fox News Channel's "The Kelly File," Sabato said he considers West Virginia and South Dakota locks for Republicans, while they have the edge in Montana.
The Repubs should take the Senate seat being vacated by John D. Rockefeller IV in W.Va., but I wouldn't take anything for granted. The Dem candidate is the inept W.Va. Secretary of State Natalie Tennant, and she will get a lot of union and progressive financial backing. Soros gave her money when she first ran for SoS, and the unions will pull out the stops, I suspect. On the R side, frontrunner Rep. Shelley Moore Capito, a moderate, is being challenged by a few "true conservatives," but I don't think they'll get traction.
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