Author Topic: Proof: concealed carry means fewer murders  (Read 248 times)

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Offline rangerrebew

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Proof: concealed carry means fewer murders
« on: January 07, 2014, 11:50:28 AM »
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Offline Oceander

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Re: Proof: concealed carry means fewer murders
« Reply #1 on: January 07, 2014, 11:58:57 AM »
My nagging question with these studies is this:  did they control for the general differences in crime rates among the various states?  For example, it is possible that a state with strict gun control laws nonetheless still has a higher murder rate than a state with no gun control laws simply because the first state has a population that is more likely to commit any sort of crime (that propensity could, itself, be caused by any number of other factors unrelated to guns).  If that were the case, then the mere correlation of tighter gun control laws and a higher rate of murder would be an example of the adage that correlation does not imply causation.

A first-order stab at controlling for different crime rates (pardon the pun) might be to use the overall rates of violent crimes - including assault, robbery, etc - to weight the actual rates of murder to see what the results show.  If a nuanced method to control for the differences in crime rates due to other causes were used, then these sorts of studies would have more veracity if they still showed a positive correlation between strict gun control laws and higher rates of murder.


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