Author Topic: A GOP “dam ready to break” in West Virginia  (Read 240 times)

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Offline Rapunzel

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A GOP “dam ready to break” in West Virginia
« on: December 29, 2013, 04:14:00 PM »

A GOP “dam ready to break” in West Virginia
posted at 3:31 pm on December 29, 2013 by Jazz Shaw

Democrats in West Virginia have pretty much taken their two Senate seats for granted for a long time now. (And with good reason, since the last time the GOP held those spots, Ike was still president.) They’ve also had a fair bit of success in hanging on to at least some of their three congressional seats in the modern era. This stands in contrast to a seemingly constant ideological shift to the right among voters, demonstrated by the fact that no Democrat presidential candidate has carried the state since Bill Clinton. This shift may be setting the stage for some very interesting events in the 2014 cycle, with the retirement of Senator Jay Rockefeller and two spirited House races shifting into high gear. Specifically in WV-02, Roll Call recently rated that contest on their list of the most fascinating races to watch.

For some reason, they seem to think this is good news for Democrats, but the district still leans Red and the Dems have hooked their wagon to Nick Casey. Casey looks like a terrible choice, given the current frame of mind of West Virginia’s voters. He’s a former lobbyist for progressive groups such as and is well known to voters from his time as the incendiary chairman of the state Democratic Party. His long standing support for the President, Obamacare, gun control and a raft of other liberal touchstones doesn’t seem as if it will play well with the more socially conservative base in his district. Further, he’s sharing a media market with the 3rd district and may have a negative impact on their Democratic candidate, Nick Rahall.

In terms of filling the Senate seat, even the Paper of Record is seeing some hard times coming for the Democrats this time around

An accelerating rightward tilt here was reflected recently in an awkward two-step by the Democratic nominee for an open seat, Natalie Tennant, as she distanced herself from the White House after a fund-raising trip to New York.

    In a Sheraton ballroom, Ms. Tennant, West Virginia’s secretary of state, listened to Michelle Obama urge donors to write “a big old fat check” to her and other women running for the Senate.

    But back home, where President Obama is deeply unpopular, Ms. Tennant’s campaign quickly sought to wriggle out of the embrace of the White House, insisting to the local news media that “what the first lady said is not an endorsement.”

Running away from an endorsement by the First Lady is one thing, but this little slip of the lip about her husband was a doozy.

In an interview, Ms. Tennant even seemed to downgrade the president’s title. “I don’t answer to Senator Obama,” she said. “I answer to the people of West Virginia.” (A spokeswoman later said that was an unintentional slip of the tongue.)

Charleston Democrat leaders are already tossing out statements saying that the GOP can’t “run against Obama” in these races, and if voters want to vote against the President they should, “wait until he runs for school board in Illinois.” It’s obvious at this point that the entire Democrat Party in West Virginia is in full speed retreat away from Barack Obama and all things related to him, but it’s going to be hard for their candidates to erase their combined records of previous support.

West Virginia would be an excellent pick-up opportunity in the GOP’s efforts to take the Senate majority next fall, and solidifying their hold on their House seats would just be icing on the cake. Only a year or so ago I’d have not even listed this race on the radar, but it’s looking extremely competitive now.
“The time is now near at hand which must probably determine, whether Americans are to be, Freemen, or Slaves.” G Washington July 2, 1776

Offline mountaineer

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Re: A GOP “dam ready to break” in West Virginia
« Reply #1 on: December 29, 2013, 04:40:47 PM »
Poor ol' Natalie, trying desperately not to act like a leftist stooge - except that her original campaign for secretary of state was funded by George Soros. Nat's only claim to fame is serving as WVU's only female mascot. She wore buckskin and fired the musket whenever the Mountaineers scored a touchdown. Whoop-de-doo.

The race for the U.S. Senate (John D. Rockyfailure IV's old seat) consists of at least two Republican contenders - current 2d District congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito and constitutionalist/libertarian Air Force Academy alum Patrick McGeehan. Pat's a personal friend of mine, but I believe he's making a big mistake in tossing his hat into this ring. He and his supporters see Shelley as a RINO, GOPe, all the usual epithets, but I see her as the "80% friend" Reagan described. She's not perfect, but she is popular. On the other hand, Pat doesn't stand a chance. He couldn't even win a state senate race in 2012 (I did better than he did when I ran for state house of delegates, and my district was much more heavily weighted toward the Dems).

It's my understanding that the Republican hoping to take Shelley's to-be-vacated seat in the House of Representatives has a good shot, and it might cause an earthquake when WV has at least two of its three congresscritters with an "R" after their names.
“Let each citizen remember at the moment he is offering his vote that he is not making a present or a compliment to please an individual – or at least that he ought not so to do; but rather he is executing one of the most solemn trusts in human society for which he is accountable to God and his country.” Samuel Adams, April 16, 1781.

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