Author Topic: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator  (Read 585 times)

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Offline rangerrebew

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CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« on: December 26, 2013, 01:49:33 PM »
CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator

mug.steinhauser

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CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser   

Washington (CNN) - Democrats have lost their advantage and Republicans now have a slight edge in the battle for control of Congress, according to a new national poll.

A CNN/ORC International survey released Thursday also indicates that President Barack Obama may be dragging down Democratic congressional candidates, and that the 2014 midterm elections are shaping up to be a low-turnout event, with only three in 10 registered voters extremely or very enthusiastic about voting next year.

 Two months ago, Democrats held a 50%-42% advantage among registered voters in a generic ballot, which asked respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates. That result came after congressional Republicans appeared to overplay their hand in the bitter fight over the federal government shutdown and the debt ceiling.

But the Democratic lead evaporated, and a CNN poll a month ago indicated the GOP holding a 49%-47% lead. The new survey, conducted in mid-December, indicates Republicans with a 49%-44% edge over the Democrats.

The 13-point swing over the past two months follows a political uproar over Obamacare, which included the botched rollout of HealthCare.gov and controversy over the possiblity of insurance policy cancelations due primarily to the new health law.

"Virtually all the movement toward the GOP has come among men," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. "Fifty-four percent of female voters chose the Democratic candidate in October; 53% pick the Dem now. But among male voters, support for Democratic candidates has gone from 46% in October to just 35% now."

Republicans have a 17-seat advantage in the House and Democrats hold a 55-45 majority in the Senate.

While the generic ballot question is one of the most commonly used indicators when it comes to the battle for Congress, the poll results are a long way from predicting what will happen next November.

"There is just under a year to go before any votes are actually cast and the 'generic ballot' question is not necessarily a good predictor of the actual outcome of 435 separate elections," Holland cautioned.

"A year before the 2010 midterms, for example, the Democrats held a 6-point lead on the generic ballot but the GOP wound up regaining control of the House in that election cycle, thanks to an historic 63-seat pickup," he added.

 Lack of enthusiasm

According to the poll, only three in 10 registered voters say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for Congress next year, compared to more than four in 10 who felt that way in late 2009. And 43% say they're not enthusiastic about voting, up from 25% who felt that way four years ago.

Democratic voters seem particularly unenthusiastic about voting, and that is likely to benefit the GOP. Thirty-six percent of Republicans say they're extremely or very enthusiastic about voting. That number drops to 22% among Democrats.

Another GOP advantage is the President's standing with the public: 55% of registered voters say that they are more likely to vote for a congressional candidate who opposes the President than one who supports him and four in 10 say they are likely to vote for a candidate who supports Obama.

"Those kind of numbers spelled early trouble for the Democrats before the 1994 and 2010 midterms, and for the GOP before the 2006 elections," Holland said.

The poll was conducted for CNN by ORC International from December 16-19, with 1,035 adults nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2013/12/26/cnn-poll-gop-has-edge-in-early-midterm-indicator/
« Last Edit: December 26, 2013, 01:51:02 PM by rangerrebew »
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Offline Atomic Cow

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2013, 06:19:42 PM »
They'll find some way to blow it completely, probably by passing amnesty, raising the minimum wage, and some other socialist idea.
"...And these atomic bombs which science burst upon the world that night were strange, even to the men who used them."  H. G. Wells, The World Set Free, 1914

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Offline sinkspur

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2013, 06:40:50 PM »
They'll find some way to blow it completely, probably by passing amnesty, raising the minimum wage, and some other socialist idea.

I don't see raising the minimum wage as a problem.  The Democrats want to paint the GOP as cruel and heartless.  Since only 2% of workers work for the minimum wage, it will affect only a few people.  Plus, even Republicans are in favor of raising the minimum wage.  Raise it, extend unemployment insurance, and get it off the front pages.

We simply can't be diverted from allowing the Democrats to take the focus off Obamacare. THAT is the issue that will put the Senate in the GOP hands.

Oh, and raise the debt ceiling.  No more shutdowns.
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Offline Scottftlc

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #3 on: December 26, 2013, 06:48:09 PM »
I don't see raising the minimum wage as a problem.  The Democrats want to paint the GOP as cruel and heartless.  Since only 2% of workers work for the minimum wage, it will affect only a few people.  Plus, even Republicans are in favor of raising the minimum wage.  Raise it, extend unemployment insurance, and get it off the front pages.

We simply can't be diverted from allowing the Democrats to take the focus off Obamacare. THAT is the issue that will put the Senate in the GOP hands.

Oh, and raise the debt ceiling.  No more shutdowns.

Well, Hell, might as well give them amnesty along with minimum wage, endless unemployment insurance and endless debt...make it a hat trick...give them all their issues.

Because, we all know, the only thing that ever matters is the upcoming election.
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Offline Rapunzel

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #4 on: December 26, 2013, 11:24:15 PM »
I don't see raising the minimum wage as a problem.  The Democrats want to paint the GOP as cruel and heartless.  Since only 2% of workers work for the minimum wage, it will affect only a few people.  Plus, even Republicans are in favor of raising the minimum wage.  Raise it, extend unemployment insurance, and get it off the front pages.

We simply can't be diverted from allowing the Democrats to take the focus off Obamacare. THAT is the issue that will put the Senate in the GOP hands.

Oh, and raise the debt ceiling.  No more shutdowns.

Want to know what is wrong with the GOP.......... this post sums it up perfectly....... not a whiff of difference between this thinking and the Democrats.
“The time is now near at hand which must probably determine, whether Americans are to be, Freemen, or Slaves.” G Washington July 2, 1776

Offline sinkspur

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #5 on: December 26, 2013, 11:31:41 PM »
Want to know what is wrong with the GOP.......... this post sums it up perfectly....... not a whiff of difference between this thinking and the Democrats.

Bullshit.  Put whipped cream on it if you want, but your post is still bullshit.

Do you care to refute anything I said?  Or are you engaged in your usual hit-and-run smearing?
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Offline sinkspur

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #6 on: December 26, 2013, 11:33:50 PM »
Well, Hell, might as well give them amnesty along with minimum wage, endless unemployment insurance and endless debt...make it a hat trick...give them all their issues.

Because, we all know, the only thing that ever matters is the upcoming election.

What matters is being in a position to affect change.  Republicans can't do that from the House alone.

Winning the Senate is important.  Raising the minimum wage and unemployment insurance is going to happen anyway.  Why not do it and take it off the front pages?
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Offline Rapunzel

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #7 on: December 26, 2013, 11:38:24 PM »
Bullshit.  Put whipped cream on it if you want, but your post is still bullshit.

Do you care to refute anything I said?  Or are you engaged in your usual hit-and-run smearing?

Raise min wage, raise debt ceiling (again and again and again) hip, hip hooray Obamacare is crushing everyone... keep returning those old farts to the senate no matter how many times they have run because heavn forbid we give some new blood a try.....   

Everything you stand for is what is wrong with the GOP and why they are about as popular as the plague they have nothing that makes the voters think they are better and would make things better - they stand for status-quo just a different color of lipstick on the pig... it's still a DC pig with the same old political consultants who haven't a clue what most American's want or think.
“The time is now near at hand which must probably determine, whether Americans are to be, Freemen, or Slaves.” G Washington July 2, 1776

Offline sinkspur

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #8 on: December 26, 2013, 11:44:28 PM »
Raise min wage, raise debt ceiling (again and again and again) hip, hip hooray Obamacare is crushing everyone... keep returning those old farts to the senate no matter how many times they have run because heavn forbid we give some new blood a try.....   

Everything you stand for is what is wrong with the GOP and why they are about as popular as the plague they have nothing that makes the voters think they are better and would make things better - they stand for status-quo just a different color of lipstick on the pig... it's still a DC pig with the same old political consultants who haven't a clue what most American's want or think.

You do know that Republican voters, in every survey, are in favor of raising the minimum wage, don't you?

And the debt ceiling is going to be raised; it has to be.

I'm all for new blood if it's not crazy blood.  Too many of the Tea Party candidates have been crazy blood.

I notice you avoid all mention of Obamacare, the one issue that voters overwhelmingly indicate will be a voting issue and the major issue that works against the Democrats.

Obamacare's the issue.   Let's unite and win on that.
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Offline Rapunzel

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #9 on: December 26, 2013, 11:48:11 PM »
You do know that Republican voters, in every survey, are in favor of raising the minimum wage, don't you?

And the debt ceiling is going to be raised; it has to be.

I'm all for new blood if it's not crazy blood.  Too many of the Tea Party candidates have been crazy blood.

I notice you avoid all mention of Obamacare, the one issue that voters overwhelmingly indicate will be a voting issue and the major issue that works against the Democrats.

Obamacare's the issue.   Let's unite and win on that.

Oh I did mention Obamacare - still can't believe you are cheering that so many people are suffering because of it....... 6 million who had insurance now don't have insurance, more working part time, more with no jobs because of it... I see nothing to cheer about... the GOP is not going to kill it off - especially if they elect Chris Christie as the presidential nominee in 2016 - not to mention that by three years time we will be on single payer and Obamacare will be written in stone just like ever other entitlement... the time to fight Obamacare has come and gone and we lost.
“The time is now near at hand which must probably determine, whether Americans are to be, Freemen, or Slaves.” G Washington July 2, 1776

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #10 on: December 27, 2013, 12:10:19 AM »
Want to know what is wrong with the GOP.......... this post sums it up perfectly....... not a whiff of difference between this thinking and the Democrats.
Saying there is no difference is ridiculous, in view of the FACT no Republicans voted for Obamacare.
#NeverHillary

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #11 on: December 27, 2013, 12:37:31 AM »
Saying there is no difference is ridiculous, in view of the FACT no Republicans voted for Obamacare.

And they've done nothing but give it lip service sense.. use it for election purposes and nothing more. They have no intention of rolling it back, plus its too late..
“The time is now near at hand which must probably determine, whether Americans are to be, Freemen, or Slaves.” G Washington July 2, 1776

Offline 240B

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #12 on: December 27, 2013, 01:01:42 AM »
Saying there is no difference is ridiculous, in view of the FACT no Republicans voted for Obamacare.

They are all part of the same cesspool that is D.C.
 
Why is it that the majority of America is hoping that some wacko Muslim will nuke Washington?
 
It would be the best thing that could ever happen to what used to be America.
 
We need to just erase all of this crap, and start over from the beginning.
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Offline Scottftlc

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #13 on: December 27, 2013, 01:30:52 AM »
What matters is being in a position to affect change.  Republicans can't do that from the House alone.

Winning the Senate is important.  Raising the minimum wage and unemployment insurance is going to happen anyway.  Why not do it and take it off the front pages?

Well, Republicans don't have much of a record of affecting change when they have the entire government under control.  Entitlements are going to happen anyway, nationalized healthcare is going to happen anyway, amnesty is going to happen anyway...there isn't much on the gigantic government left that isn't inevitable...so why take a stand anywhere? Yer gonna lose in the end.
Well, George Lewis told the Englishman, the Italian and the Jew
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Offline raml

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #14 on: December 27, 2013, 03:30:46 AM »
The democrats and a great majority of the republicans are one and the same. When salaries and perks are as high as they now are they only care about number one themselves and making the American people slaves to their whims by using their money to buy citizens votes that will keep them in office and part of the rip off. They keep giving the middle class the finger and are taking them down to poverty while they use a  lot of their hard earned money to keep their under the table money coming in.
« Last Edit: December 27, 2013, 03:31:05 AM by raml »

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #15 on: December 27, 2013, 01:09:42 PM »
And the solution popular with a faction on the right:

Replace an incumbent Republican in the primary with somebody that will lose the general election to the democrat.

Brilliant.
#NeverHillary

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: CNN Poll: GOP has edge in early midterm indicator
« Reply #16 on: December 27, 2013, 01:49:43 PM »
And the solution popular with a faction on the right:

Replace an incumbent Republican in the primary with somebody that will lose the general election to the democrat.

Brilliant.


You and Sink would prefer the corrupt status quo to actually trying yo effect change in DC and save the Republic ... if it's e enough impossible at this point.  I certainly don't call that wise.
“The time is now near at hand which must probably determine, whether Americans are to be, Freemen, or Slaves.” G Washington July 2, 1776


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