Author Topic: McAuliffe poll shock: Democrat up by only 4 points in Virginia governor’s race  (Read 1421 times)

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Offline happyg

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Democrat Terry McAuliffe leads Republican Kenneth T. Cuccinelli II by 4 percentage points in the Virginia governor’s race, according to a Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday — a considerably narrower margin than other recent public polling has shown.

Mr. McAuliffe, a businessman and former chairman of the Democratic National Committee, leads Mr. Cuccinelli, the state’s attorney general, 45 percent to 41 percent, the poll showed, with 9 percent of likely voters opting for Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis. That lead is down from a 46 percent to 39 percent advantage for Mr. McAuliffe in a Quinnipiac poll last week, when Mr. Sarvis was at 10 percent.

“State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli is nipping at Terry McAuliffe’s heels as the race to be Virginia’s next governor enters the final week of the campaign,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “It goes without saying that turnout is the key to this race and the harshly negative tone of the campaign is the kind that often turns off voters.”

If Mr. Sarvis were not in the race, the poll shows, Mr. McAuliffe would have a razor-thin 2-point edge, 47 percent to 45 percent. In the three-way contest, 4 percent are undecided, and 7 percent of those who make a choice say there’s a good chance their mind could change by election day.

“For the past several weeks, political pundits have written off Ken Cuccinelli well before any polls have opened or closed, but we have consistently maintained that we know this is a margin race as exhibited in today’s Quinnipiac University poll,” said Cuccinelli strategist Chris LaCivita. “The experts can say what they will, but our campaign intends to deliver its message on Election Day.”

McAuliffe leads 91 percent to 2 percent among Democrats, with 4 percent opting for Mr. Sarvis, while Cuccinelli leads 86 percent to 5 percent among Republicans, with 7 percent choosing Mr. Sarvis. Independent voters break for Mr. McAuliffe, 46 percent to 31 percent, with 16 percent for Mr. Sarvis.

“Only six in 10 Sarvis supporters say they definitely will vote for him. Almost nine in 10 McAuliffe and Cuccinelli backers are committed,” Mr. Brown said. “Cuccinelli seems to be benefiting from Republicans coming home, but McAuliffe still does a little better among Democrats than Cuccinelli does among GOPers. And, McAuliffe leads among independents, perhaps the key voting group. It is difficult to see Cuccinelli winning if he can’t run at least even or slightly ahead among independents. Here, too, Sarvis’ voters matter greatly since the Libertarian is getting 16 percent of independents, but only 9 percent overall.”

Mr. McAuliffe leads among women, 50 percent to 37 percent, with 7 percent choosing Mr. Sarvis. Mr. Cuccinelli leads among men, 45 percent to 39 percent, with 11 percent opting for the Libertarian.


Both of the major-party candidates are still underwater on favorability. Mr. McAuliffe has a negative 41 percent to 46 percent favorable-unfavorable split, and Mr. Cuccinelli has a negative 40 percent to 52 percent split. Three-quarters of voters don’t know enough about Mr. Sarvis to have formed an opinion about him.

For Mr. McAuliffe’s part, his campaign released a new ad Wednesday touting endorsements from various newspapers around the state, such as The Virginian-Pilot in Norfolk and the Daily Press of Newport News.

“Virginians of both parties and major Virginia newspapers continue to put their support behind Terry because they know he will keep Virginia open and welcoming to all and encourage job creation across the Commonwealth,” said McAuliffe spokesman Josh Schwerin.

Virginia voters do not register by party, but 31 percent of respondents self-identified as Republicans, 29 percent said they were Democrats, and 31 percent said they were independents.

The poll of 1,182 likely voters, taken from Oct. 22-28, has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.

by Taboola


Read more: http://p.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/oct/30/terry-mcauliffe-4-points-virginia-governors-race-p/#ixzz2jD71oIkU
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Offline GourmetDan

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I'm thinking that the voting machines are already programmed for a McAuliffe victory.

This is just theatre to show that the Clintoons can still 'deliver' the vote...


"The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left." - Ecclesiastes 10:2

"The sole purpose of the Republican Party is to serve as an ineffective alternative to the Democrat Party." - GourmetDan

Offline Relic

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I'm thinking that the voting machines are already programmed for a McAuliffe victory.

This is just theatre to show that the Clintoons can still 'deliver' the vote...

If it's close, a Democrat will "win".

Offline jmyrlefuller

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The only shock here is that the Democrat is even competitive. Yet too many zombie voters, after all this, still exist.
"Just because people in positions of authority are stupid, it doesn’t mean you have to go along with it." —Arlo Guthrie

"In the excitement of great popular elections, deciding the policy of the country, and its vast patronage, frauds will be committed, if a chance is given for them." —Richard Henry Dana, Jr.

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Offline GourmetDan

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The only shock here is that the Democrat is even competitive. Yet too many zombie voters, after all this, still exist.

Polls are simply tools crafted to prepare the electorate for the inevitable Democrat 'victory'...


"The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left." - Ecclesiastes 10:2

"The sole purpose of the Republican Party is to serve as an ineffective alternative to the Democrat Party." - GourmetDan

Offline DCPatriot

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Polls are simply tools crafted to prepare the electorate for the inevitable Democrat 'victory'...

I sincerely doubt the Dems will use a trump card....cheating with rigged machines...on the Virginia Governor race.

That's 'pitching backwards'.

Better to save that for the mid-terms.   

After all....those Conservative SCOTUS justices can't live forever....[/s]

I understand that Obama is NOT going anywhere near McAuliffe...with the lead in low single digits.  He can't be seen attached to a loser, even a 'loyal' soldier.

It's the SAME reason he's NOT going to New Jersey...to endorse the Dem. woman running against Christie.  He can't even risk a whiff of being attached to failure.
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

"I am responsible for what I say.  I am not responsible for what you understand."  ...me

Offline GourmetDan

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I sincerely doubt the Dems will use a trump card....cheating with rigged machines...on the Virginia Governor race.

How will you know if the machines are rigged or not?


"The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left." - Ecclesiastes 10:2

"The sole purpose of the Republican Party is to serve as an ineffective alternative to the Democrat Party." - GourmetDan

Offline DCPatriot

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How will you know if the machines are rigged or not?

My POV is that they're already skeptical after the 2012 result, so they're already being watched.  I would expect that line-of-sight will be followed to a tee...right up until the tallies are added.

Now it could be rigged electronically to activate the fraudulent tallies...don't know, but we should expect that at least somebody's watching.

My point is that if it's too obvious that the election was stolen, they will demand going back to paper ballots and purple fingers.

We all know Cuccinelli should beat McAuliffe by double digits.   This is Virginia....not Michigan or California.
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

"I am responsible for what I say.  I am not responsible for what you understand."  ...me

Offline jmyrlefuller

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How will you know if the machines are rigged or not?
You know as much as I.
"Just because people in positions of authority are stupid, it doesn’t mean you have to go along with it." —Arlo Guthrie

"In the excitement of great popular elections, deciding the policy of the country, and its vast patronage, frauds will be committed, if a chance is given for them." —Richard Henry Dana, Jr.

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Offline GourmetDan

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You know as much as I.

That's my point.  We can't know if the voting machines are rigged or not.

That's why the 'polls' are merely tools for preparing a sleepy electorate for another Democrat 'victory'...


"The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left." - Ecclesiastes 10:2

"The sole purpose of the Republican Party is to serve as an ineffective alternative to the Democrat Party." - GourmetDan

Offline GourmetDan

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My point is that if it's too obvious that the election was stolen, they will demand going back to paper ballots and purple fingers.

It won't be 'obvious'.

That what the 'polls' are for... to prepare an unthinking electorate for the 'official' results.

Nobody is going to demand anything.  Anyone who does will quickly be marginalized as tin-foil hat extremists...


"The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left." - Ecclesiastes 10:2

"The sole purpose of the Republican Party is to serve as an ineffective alternative to the Democrat Party." - GourmetDan

Offline DCPatriot

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It won't be 'obvious'.

That what the 'polls' are for... to prepare an unthinking electorate for the 'official' results.

Nobody is going to demand anything.  Anyone who does will quickly be marginalized as tin-foil hat extremists...

I submit that if the election was guaranteed fixed in favor of McAuliffe, Barack Obama would take an opportunity to publicly endorse him with a visit to Virginia.  Anything to appear relevant.

He ain't going. 
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

"I am responsible for what I say.  I am not responsible for what you understand."  ...me

Offline GourmetDan

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I submit that if the election was guaranteed fixed in favor of McAuliffe, Barack Obama would take an opportunity to publicly endorse him with a visit to Virginia.  Anything to appear relevant.

He ain't going.

Nope, that's just part of the act to make the 'politics' appear 'real'.

Bambi has his minders too...


"The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left." - Ecclesiastes 10:2

"The sole purpose of the Republican Party is to serve as an ineffective alternative to the Democrat Party." - GourmetDan

Offline GourmetDan

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I submit that if the election was guaranteed fixed in favor of McAuliffe, Barack Obama would take an opportunity to publicly endorse him with a visit to Virginia.  Anything to appear relevant.

He ain't going.

Think about it, DC.  It is to your enemy's advantage for you to think that the process is 'real'.  This gets you to focus your energies into ineffective strategies that are easily thwarted.  To help them by making rationalizations that validate their handiwork is of benefit to them, not to you.

There is a huge conservative base that has been consistently sold-out for decades.  That isn't mere happenstance.  It is deliberate, consistent manipulation on many levels.

Politics isn't real.  Likely it never has been...


"The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left." - Ecclesiastes 10:2

"The sole purpose of the Republican Party is to serve as an ineffective alternative to the Democrat Party." - GourmetDan

Offline Rapunzel

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Never fear.. Obama is going to VA to campaign for him....the ADS is as unpopular in VA as anywhere.


BTW Cutchinelli has come from behind to win every race he's run in VA. Won one in a recount....

Did you know one of McCauliffs many scandals which should have sent him to prison was buying insurance on people about to die and the. Collecting hundreds of thousands of dollars when they died shortly thereafter.
“The time is now near at hand which must probably determine, whether Americans are to be, Freemen, or Slaves.” G Washington July 2, 1776

Offline DCPatriot

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Never fear.. Obama is going to VA to campaign for him....the ADS is as unpopular in VA as anywhere.


BTW Cutchinelli has come from behind to win every race he's run in VA. Won one in a recount....

Did you know one of McCauliffs many scandals which should have sent him to prison was buying insurance on people about to die and the. Collecting hundreds of thousands of dollars when they died shortly thereafter.

No...he would "cash out" the value of the policy at a steep discount....like purchasing 2nd Trusts.

Everybody involved 'sees' the finality of life and the insured elects to accept 70% of the face value in cash.  Betting the 'end' is 24/36/48 months in the future, but needing the cash now.
"It aint what you don't know that kills you.  It's what you know that aint so!" ...Theodore Sturgeon

"I am responsible for what I say.  I am not responsible for what you understand."  ...me

Offline Rapunzel

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No...he would "cash out" the value of the policy at a steep discount....like purchasing 2nd Trusts.

Everybody involved 'sees' the finality of life and the insured elects to accept 70% of the face value in cash.  Betting the 'end' is 24/36/48 months in the future, but needing the cash now.

It's still sleezy.
“The time is now near at hand which must probably determine, whether Americans are to be, Freemen, or Slaves.” G Washington July 2, 1776

Offline GourmetDan

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It's still sleezy.

He'd likely have better luck trading cattle futures...


"The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left." - Ecclesiastes 10:2

"The sole purpose of the Republican Party is to serve as an ineffective alternative to the Democrat Party." - GourmetDan

Offline Once-Ler

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I submit that if the election was guaranteed fixed in favor of McAuliffe, Barack Obama would take an opportunity to publicly endorse him with a visit to Virginia.  Anything to appear relevant.

He ain't going.
A logical deduction.
Jeff B/DDHQ‏@EsotericCD More 6mo into 1st year of Trump's term & he's already looking into pardoning himself & his family We bought this ticket, we're takin' this ride.


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