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General Category => National/Breaking News => Topic started by: 240B on August 31, 2017, 04:44:01 pm

Title: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on August 31, 2017, 04:44:01 pm
The Daily Caller
TIM PEARCE
11:59 AM 08/31/2017


Hurricane Irma is gaining strength in the Atlantic as it moves toward the Gulf of Mexico, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) announced Thursday.


Irma was upgraded from a tropical storm to a hurricane with winds from 74 to 110 miles per hour at 11 a.m. Thursday morning.


Irma is “expected to be an extremely dangerous hurricane for the next several days,” an NHC public advisory said.


(more)
http://dailycaller.com/2017/08/31/hurricane-irma-is-heading-toward-the-gulf-of-mexico/
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: dfwgator on August 31, 2017, 04:49:03 pm
I am seeing some forecast tracks having it hitting South Florida.   
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Elderberry on August 31, 2017, 04:55:02 pm
Quote
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/311448.shtml (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/311448.shtml)

000
WTNT31 KNHC 311448
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112017
1100 AM AST Thu Aug 31 2017

...HURRICANE IRMA RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 33.8W
ABOUT 650 MI...1050 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1845 MI...2975 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 33.8 West. Irma is moving toward
the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  This general motion is
forecast through early Friday, followed by a generally westward
motion on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Irma is forecast to become a major hurricane by
tonight and is expected to be an extremely dangerous hurricane for
the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: kevindavis007 on August 31, 2017, 05:01:15 pm
Well sooner or later the luck had to run out.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on August 31, 2017, 05:05:33 pm
I am seeing some forecast tracks having it hitting South Florida.   

A CAT 4 would be scary
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on August 31, 2017, 06:43:34 pm
A CAT 4 would be scary

What was our last Cat4?  Charley?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on August 31, 2017, 06:45:46 pm
(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_5day.gif)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on August 31, 2017, 06:50:27 pm
(https://s.w-x.co/wu/irma-cfan-aug31.png)

(http://www.everyjoe.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/will-ferrell-boy-that-escalated-quickly.gif)

Seems it was just a TD yesterday....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Oceander on August 31, 2017, 06:52:10 pm
This is going to be an ugly storm season.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on August 31, 2017, 06:53:12 pm
I'm going to go ahead and send my request up that that thing makes a big ol turn to the north like so many of them do.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on August 31, 2017, 06:54:42 pm
People.   They do call it"Hurricane Season" for a reason.  This shit has been going on since the !st Monkey in Florida decided to throw a coconut instead of his own Poop at his neighbor.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on August 31, 2017, 07:11:41 pm
What was our last Cat4?  Charley?

Wiki says it was matthew in 2016 hitting Brevard but I dont remember that.   So yes Charley
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on August 31, 2017, 07:15:15 pm
Oh my ^%+*%}+*^#|*%

It's being predicted as a catagory 4.

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Bigun on August 31, 2017, 07:17:11 pm
IMHO it is much more likely that Irma will track up the East coast.  Perhaps a glancing blow to Florida.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on August 31, 2017, 07:23:36 pm
IMHO it is much more likely that Irma will track up the East coast.  Perhaps a glancing blow to Florida.

If you look at the history of "similar" storms that is what has happened.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: jpsb on August 31, 2017, 07:25:53 pm
Irma has a long way to go. Early model runs are often wrong on the storm track. Texas does not need a second hit.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on August 31, 2017, 07:26:19 pm
Wiki says it was matthew in 2016 hitting Brevard but I dont remember that.   So yes Charley

Oh yeah, I forgot about Matthew.  My mom is about a 1/2 mile from the intracoastal in Jupiter and with that monster coming in she decided to go to a friend of her's house further west.  The friend lost power for several hours.  My mom's place never did.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on August 31, 2017, 07:31:54 pm
IMHO it is much more likely that Irma will track up the East coast.  Perhaps a glancing blow to Florida.

That is the track I predict.    :beer:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Bigun on August 31, 2017, 07:35:21 pm
If you look at the history of "similar" storms that is what has happened.

Yes  and taking a look at where the track controling high pressure sytems will be located as it moves this way.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on August 31, 2017, 07:39:51 pm
Yes  and taking a look at where the track controling high pressure sytems will be located as it moves this way.

Landfall around Baltimore would be nice.  And Just.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on August 31, 2017, 07:41:14 pm
Landfall around Baltimore would be nice.  And Just.

Karma?  Are you an associate assistant professor and bottle-washer by chance?   888high58888
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Bigun on August 31, 2017, 07:43:11 pm
Landfall around Baltimore would be nice.  And Just.

 :thumbsup: :thumbsup: :thumbsup:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on August 31, 2017, 07:47:29 pm
Karma?  Are you an associate assistant professor and bottle-washer by chance?   888high58888

:thumbsup: :thumbsup: :thumbsup:

I believe that into everyones life a little rain should fall...or a lot. or a hell of a whole lot.   

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on August 31, 2017, 08:41:09 pm
Praying it makes a hard right before nearing land- any land.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on August 31, 2017, 09:48:17 pm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/312031.shtml

000
WTNT31 KNHC 312031
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112017
500 PM AST Thu Aug 31 2017

...IRMA BECOMES A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 34.8W
ABOUT 720 MI...1160 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1780 MI...2865 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 34.8 West.  Irma is moving
toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  This motion is
expected to continue today, followed by a westward turn on Saturday,
and a west-southwestward motion by Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Fluctuations in strength,
both up and down, are possible, but Irma is expected to remain a
powerful hurricane for several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on August 31, 2017, 11:01:12 pm
Continuing to escalate.  This is my favorite place to watch developments, WeatherUnderground:

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane

I see we have "Lidia" on the west coast.  It's going out to sea.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on August 31, 2017, 11:14:36 pm
Continuing to escalate.  This is my favorite place to watch developments, WeatherUnderground:

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane

I see we have "Lidia" on the west coast.  It's going out to sea.




Lydia, oh! Lydia, say have you met Lydia
Oh! Lydia, the tattooed lady
She has eyes that folks adore so
And a torso even more so
Lydia, oh! Lydia, that "Encyclopedia"
Oh! Lydia, the Queen of tattoo
On her back is the Battle of Waterloo
Beside it the Wreck of the Hesperus too
And proudly above the waves
The Red, White and Blue
You can learn a lot from Lydia
She can give you a view of the world
In tattoo if you step up and tell her where
For a dime you can see Kankakee or Paree
Or Washington crossing the Delaware
Oh! Lydia, oh! Lydia, say have you met Lydia
Oh! Lydia, the tattooed lady
When her muscles start relaxin'
Up the hill comes Andrew Jackson
Lydia, oh! Lydia, that "Encyclopedia"
Oh! Lydia, the champ of them all
For two bits she will do a Mazurka in Jazz
With a view of Niag'ra that no artist has
And on a clear day you can see Alcatraz
You can learn a lot from Lydia.
La la la La la la La la la La la la
Come along and see Buff'lo Bill with his lasso
Just a little classic by Mendel Picasso
Here is Captain Spaulding exploring the Amazon
And Godiva, but with her pajamas on
La la la La la la La la la La la la
Here is Grover Whalen unveilin' the Trylon
Over on the west coast we have Treasure Islan'
Here's Nijinsky a doin' the Rhumba
Here's her Social Security numba
La la la La la la La la la La la la
Lydia, oh! Lydia, say have you met Lydia
Oh! Lydia, the champ of them all
She once swept an Admiral clear off his feet
The ships on her hips made his heart skip a beat
And now the old boy's in command of the fleet
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on August 31, 2017, 11:21:15 pm



Lydia, oh! Lydia, say have you met Lydia
Oh! Lydia, the tattooed lady


LOL  My son sings this part.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on August 31, 2017, 11:24:45 pm
LOL  My son sings this part.
888high58888
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on August 31, 2017, 11:26:26 pm



Lydia, oh! Lydia, say have you met Lydia
Oh! Lydia, the tattooed lady
She has eyes that folks adore so
And a torso even more so
Lydia, oh! Lydia, that "Encyclopedia"
Oh! Lydia, the Queen of tattoo
On her back is the Battle of Waterloo
Beside it the Wreck of the Hesperus too
And proudly above the waves
The Red, White and Blue
You can learn a lot from Lydia
She can give you a view of the world
In tattoo if you step up and tell her where
For a dime you can see Kankakee or Paree
Or Washington crossing the Delaware
Oh! Lydia, oh! Lydia, say have you met Lydia
Oh! Lydia, the tattooed lady
When her muscles start relaxin'
Up the hill comes Andrew Jackson
Lydia, oh! Lydia, that "Encyclopedia"
Oh! Lydia, the champ of them all
For two bits she will do a Mazurka in Jazz
With a view of Niag'ra that no artist has
And on a clear day you can see Alcatraz
You can learn a lot from Lydia.
La la la La la la La la la La la la
Come along and see Buff'lo Bill with his lasso
Just a little classic by Mendel Picasso
Here is Captain Spaulding exploring the Amazon
And Godiva, but with her pajamas on
La la la La la la La la la La la la
Here is Grover Whalen unveilin' the Trylon
Over on the west coast we have Treasure Islan'
Here's Nijinsky a doin' the Rhumba
Here's her Social Security numba
La la la La la la La la la La la la
Lydia, oh! Lydia, say have you met Lydia
Oh! Lydia, the champ of them all
She once swept an Admiral clear off his feet
The ships on her hips made his heart skip a beat
And now the old boy's in command of the fleet

That reminds me.  I have to backtrack that stupid music game thread and delete my posts so it will stop showing in my Latest Posts.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on August 31, 2017, 11:29:15 pm
That reminds me.  I have to backtrack that stupid music game thread and delete my posts so it will stop showing in my Latest Posts.

Are you kidding?  That's one of the most worthwhile threads we have here. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on August 31, 2017, 11:36:33 pm
Are you kidding?  That's one of the most worthwhile threads we have here. :)

Not to me.  I was a DJ during those years, and I'd rather die.  Seriously.  Imagine listening to something you love, again and again, until it tore your soul from you.

I was paid to execute this music.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Fishrrman on September 01, 2017, 01:10:19 am
An interesting graphic showing global winds:
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=297.61,41.35,459

You can turn it around to see the other side of the world, too.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 01, 2017, 08:30:57 am
Can't sleep, went to DrudgeReport

He's reporting it's going to a catagory five very possibly when it hits the East Coast.


https://mobile.twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/903357153582481410


http://mashable.com/2017/08/31/hurricane-irma-intensifying-looms-in-atlantic/#zaVKlz4TDaqa
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 01, 2017, 10:19:40 am
Ever-worsening Hurricane Irma is upgraded AGAIN to Category 3 a day ahead of schedule as forecasters warn it will be 'extremely dangerous' - and may hit the Carolinas in TEN DAYS

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4841040/Irma-category-2-hurricane-winds-100mph.html#ixzz4rQAXHhXa (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4841040/Irma-category-2-hurricane-winds-100mph.html#ixzz4rQAXHhXa)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 01, 2017, 11:40:56 am
Bookmark
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: rangerrebew on September 01, 2017, 11:54:43 am
Tropical Storm Irma is gaining attention as it moves across the Atlantic — and could become a hurricane by Friday

    Kevin Loria

    Aug. 30, 2017, 1:05 PM 56,168

 

Tropical Storm IrmaNational Hurricane Center

Update: As of August 31 at 11 a.m., Hurricane Irma is now a Category 2 storm. See this post for the latest.

Original story: Texas and parts of Louisiana are still dealing with catastrophic flooding from Harvey, which is still dumping rain in many areas. But forecasters are also starting to keep an eye on a new storm that may become the next threat: Tropical Storm Irma.

http://www.businessinsider.com/tropical-storm-irma-atlantic-hurricane-2017-8
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 01, 2017, 12:03:31 pm
Dup thread of

http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,279220.0/topicseen.html

Mods, please merge
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: MOD4 on September 01, 2017, 12:53:35 pm
Topics merged.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 01, 2017, 01:02:08 pm
What was our last Cat4?  Charley?

Harvey.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 01, 2017, 01:05:08 pm
(https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_11)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Bigun on September 01, 2017, 01:10:02 pm
Harvey.

I infered that they meant "to hit Florida".
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cripplecreek on September 01, 2017, 02:07:50 pm
Joe Bastardi is predicting a South Carolina landfall.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 01, 2017, 02:20:21 pm
(https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_11)

I like those tracking models! 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 03, 2017, 03:22:20 pm
Quote
Irma to brush northern Caribbean as it tracks toward the US this week
AccuWeather, Sep 3, 2017, 10:58:32 AM EDT, Renee Duff, AccuWeather meteorologist

Hurricane Irma will skirt across the northern Caribbean islands with flooding rain, damaging winds and dangerous seas before eyeing the East Coast of the United States this week.

“Irma is a serious threat for the Caribbean islands and United States,” AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok said.

Irma, currently a Category 3 hurricane, poses an imminent risk to the northernmost Leeward Islands. Preparations for the storm should already be taking place in these areas.

“Rain and gusty winds may start as early as Tuesday,” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Rob Miller said.


Video report at link:  https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/irma-to-brush-northern-caribbean-as-it-tracks-toward-the-us-this-week/70002631
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: kevindavis007 on September 03, 2017, 03:26:39 pm
This is going to be an ugly storm season.


I think so.. All of the years of Hurricanes not hitting landfall is catching up.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 03, 2017, 04:28:17 pm

I think so.. All of the years of Hurricanes not hitting landfall is catching up.

Must be Trumps fault.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Oceander on September 03, 2017, 04:29:12 pm
Must be Trumps fault.

If you say so :shrug:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: kevindavis007 on September 03, 2017, 04:35:42 pm
Must be Trumps fault.


Trump stole Karl Rove's weather machine.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 03, 2017, 04:45:01 pm
If you say so :shrug:

There really is no other explanation.  :pondering:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 03, 2017, 11:43:01 pm

I think so.. All of the years of Hurricanes not hitting landfall is catching up.

Every update I see on this storm bends the track a little further toward Florida and the gulf.  I hope people aren't writing it off too soon.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 03, 2017, 11:50:53 pm
Every update I see on this storm bends the track a little further toward Florida and the gulf.  I hope people aren't writing it off too soon.

I see that too.   **nononono*

(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_model.gif)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 03, 2017, 11:52:58 pm
I see that too.   **nononono*

(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_model.gif)

You see wrong.  That thing is not going to the gulf.  Trust me.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 03, 2017, 11:56:29 pm
You see wrong.  That thing is not going to the gulf.  Trust me.

Looks like an East-Coaster.  Joe Bastardi predicted SC.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 03, 2017, 11:58:43 pm
(https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_11)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 03, 2017, 11:59:42 pm


Seems it was just a TD yesterday....
They blow up so fast....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 04, 2017, 12:00:00 am
You see wrong.  That thing is not going to the gulf.  Trust me.
I hope so I have family on both sides of the gulf.  The current models are not saying its going into the gulf, its just every update moves it a little closer to doing so.  My Florida family is telling me they hear it will hit Carolinas or be a fish storm.  I certainly hope it is a fish storm, but wouldn't be so quick to totally write it off for Fla. Just think it bears watching.  And Carolinas should definitely be on alert.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: ABX on September 04, 2017, 12:01:12 am
This is going to be an ugly storm season.

Yep. Atlantic temperatures seem to be trending several degrees above average. That is going to kick up some big storms.

https://www.nodc.noaa.gov/dsdt/cwtg/satl.html
https://www.nodc.noaa.gov/dsdt/cwtg/all_meanT.html
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 04, 2017, 12:04:14 am
Yep. Atlantic temperatures seem to be trending several degrees above average. That is going to kick up some big storms.

https://www.nodc.noaa.gov/dsdt/cwtg/satl.html
https://www.nodc.noaa.gov/dsdt/cwtg/all_meanT.html

Blah blah blah.  Just fear mongering.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 04, 2017, 12:05:03 am
Looks like an East-Coaster.  Joe Bastardi predicted SC.

The Bastard is right more than he is wrong.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: endicom on September 04, 2017, 12:13:44 am
The Bastard is right more than he is wrong.


He's not afraid to admit when he's wrong.


Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 04, 2017, 12:20:04 am

He's not afraid to admit when he's wrong.

That's why I tend to believe the unfortunately named one.  He's one of, if not THE, best in the business.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 04, 2017, 12:21:03 am
That's why I tend to believe the unfortunately named one.  He's one of, if not THE, best in the business.

 888high58888
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 04, 2017, 12:30:54 am
888high58888
:beer:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on September 04, 2017, 12:53:28 am
Whoever in the National Hurricane Center who made this news should be fired for such blatant fear-mongering.

How in the hell does he know it is headed to the Gulf of Mexico?

Most of the news stations I have seen say it is going into the Atlantic or it is uncertain where it will land up.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: kevindavis007 on September 04, 2017, 12:57:13 am
Whoever in the National Hurricane Center who made this news should be fired for such blatant fear-mongering.

How in the hell does he know it is headed to the Gulf of Mexico?

Most of the news stations I have seen say it is going into the Atlantic or it is uncertain where it will land up.


I see that they say it is going to be a Cat 6 storm.. Which is not going to be.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 04, 2017, 01:00:47 am
Whoever in the National Hurricane Center who made this news should be fired for such blatant fear-mongering.

How in the hell does he know it is headed to the Gulf of Mexico?

Most of the news stations I have seen say it is going into the Atlantic or it is uncertain where it will land up.

As I understand it, they said "heading towards", not "heading to".
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 04, 2017, 01:16:18 am
Fer Chrissakes, it's barely out of the Azores.  Nobody knows where it's going.  Get a grip!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 04, 2017, 01:30:49 am
Fer Chrissakes, it's barely out of the Azores.  Nobody knows where it's going.  Get a grip!

Tell me about it.  When it gets to the Areola's.  Someone had better wake me because that is when the sucking starts.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 04, 2017, 02:00:28 am
Tell me about it.  When it gets to the Areola's.  Someone had better wake me because that is when the sucking starts.

I'm pretty sure only you can make a boob joke out of a hurricane.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Oceander on September 04, 2017, 02:00:56 am
I'm pretty sure only you can make a boob joke out of a hurricane.

:bigsilly:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 04, 2017, 02:05:21 am
I'm pretty sure only you can make a boob joke out of a hurricane.

For years they only Named them hurricanes after girls.  Why was that you ask?  Well because
they arrive quietly, act wildly, make you wet, AND when they leave they take your house and car away.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 04, 2017, 02:06:36 am
For years they only Named them hurricanes after girls.  Why was that you ask?  Well because
they arrive quietly, act wildly, make you wet, AND when they leave they take your house and car away.

I cannot argue with any of that.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 04, 2017, 02:26:10 am
Fer Chrissakes, it's barely out of the Azores.  Nobody knows where it's going.  Get a grip!

@Cyber Liberty

For those of us who have homes in the path are concerned.  Not to mention that I'm supposed to be in Canada bear hunting and may have to cancel if it hits Florida.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 04, 2017, 02:35:02 am
@Cyber Liberty

For those of us who have homes in the path are concerned.  Not to mention that I'm supposed to be in Canada bear hunting and may have to cancel if it hits Florida.

Of course you are correct.  I certainly did not mean to make light if it, I was just saying we where don't know where this dagger is pointing yet.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 04, 2017, 02:42:28 am
@Cyber Liberty

For those of us who have homes in the path are concerned.  Not to mention that I'm supposed to be in Canada bear hunting and may have to cancel if it hits Florida.
Bear hunt or no, I have lots of Kin in MD and VA tidewater, and can understand your concern. I have been through a couple of smaller hurricanes when I was younger, and they were no fun.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 04, 2017, 02:53:58 am
Landfall around Baltimore would be nice.  And Just.
I wouldn't wish that on kinfolk well within that envelope. Besides, it'd have to hit Delaware first, coming in from the ocean. No way it's take a hard right at Cape Charles and go up the Bay.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on September 04, 2017, 02:59:19 am
As I understand it, they said "heading towards", not "heading to".
With that stupid logic, you could say it is 'heading towards' California as well.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 04, 2017, 03:08:20 am
With that stupid logic, you could say it is 'heading towards' California as well.
Yep. Parsing words, you could. California is west of there, and so is China.

(Yes the headline is misleading in that it pushes panic where there is no just cause to do so. Hurricanes almost always head west from that part of the ocean.)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 04, 2017, 02:18:44 pm
Quote
Hurricane Irma strengthens as it heads toward Leeward Islands
CNN, Sep 5, 2017, 9:53 AM ET

The newest hurricane that could threaten North America intensified Monday morning, though its future path remains uncertain.

As of 8 a.m. ET, Hurricane Irma was about 610 miles (980 kilometers) east of the Leeward Islands, the National Hurricane Center said. It's packing maximum sustained winds of 120 mph (195 kph) as it headed west-northwest at 14 mph (22 kph).

The islands of Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Saint Martin and Nevis, at the eastern edge of the Caribbean, are now under hurricane watches. More hurricane or tropical storm watches could follow for the British and US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.

Irma is expected to remain a "dangerous major hurricane" through the week and could directly affect the British and US Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Turks and Caicos, and the Bahamas, the agency said.

Puerto Rico Gov. Ricardo Rossello warned the public on Sunday that the island could feel Irma's wrath around noon Wednesday.
 
Florida governor says be prepared

It's too soon to know the impact Irma could have on the continental United States, where no warnings or watches are currently in effect.

"Regardless, everyone in hurricane-prone areas should ensure that they have their hurricane plan in place, as we are now near the peak of the season," the National Hurricane Center said.

Florida Gov. Rick Scott urged the state's residents to ensure their disaster supply kits were ready.


More: http://www.cnn.com/2017/09/04/us/hurricane-irma-puerto-rico-florida/
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 04, 2017, 02:23:06 pm
Hurricane Irma a Growing Concern For the United States; Potential Serious Threat to Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Bahamas and Cuba
Weather.com; Sep 4, 2017

(https://dsx.weather.com/util/image/map/DCT_SPECIAL45_1280x720.jpg?v=ap&w=1280&h=720&api=7db9fe61-7414-47b5-9871-e17d87b8b6a0)


More: https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/irma-major-hurricane-atlantic-ocean-leeward-islands
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 04, 2017, 02:53:34 pm
As I understand it, they said "heading towards", not "heading to".

Every forecast track I see bends it closer to Florida and now even in the gulf.  My southern Florida family is bugging out on a day or two.  People can make fun of those of us watching the trends and after it hits they will be the same ones disparaging the folks who did not pay attention and protect themselves days ahead of time.  I for one am happy my somewhat elderly parents won't be  aught in a last minute panic evac of south Florida.   If nothing happens they will have had a nice visit with family for a week.  If the worst happens they will be 2 less people needing rescue
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 04, 2017, 02:56:23 pm
https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?p=geographic&l=VIIRS_SNPP_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,Reference_Labels(hidden),Reference_Features(hidden),Coastlines&t=2017-09-02&z=3&v=-165.31863839285705,-45.38599330357143,-5.990513392857068,60.70630580357143 (https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?p=geographic&l=VIIRS_SNPP_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,Reference_Labels(hidden),Reference_Features(hidden),Coastlines&t=2017-09-02&z=3&v=-165.31863839285705,-45.38599330357143,-5.990513392857068,60.70630580357143)

The slider at the bottom lets you back up a day at a time and see progress. Yes, for those who want to, you can see satellite images of Harvey by doing that, too. Each satellite pass is a band of imagery, currently, the latest posted ends in mid atlantic, but more will be added as it is available and the image updated.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 04, 2017, 03:09:08 pm
Every forecast track I see bends it closer to Florida and now even in the gulf.  My southern Florida family is bugging out on a day or two.  People can make fun of those of us watching the trends and after it hits they will be the same ones disparaging the folks who did not pay attention and protect themselves days ahead of time.  I for one am happy my somewhat elderly parents won't be  aught in a last minute panic evac of south Florida.   If nothing happens they will have had a nice visit with family for a week.  If the worst happens they will be 2 less people needing rescue

@Mom MD

Anyone who dismisses a storm that brings 150mph winds is a fool.  They are usually the ones that die or will look to the govt to beg for help after.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 04, 2017, 03:14:36 pm
@Mom MD

Anyone who dismisses a storm that brings 150mph winds is a fool.  They are usually the ones that die or will look to the govt to beg for help after.

Bastardi now has storm as a cat 4 making landfall over sw fla Naples/ft Meyers area
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 04, 2017, 03:15:55 pm
Bastardi now has storm as a cat 4 making landfall over sw fla Naples/ft Meyers area

That s 1 1/2 hours from my house.  About 100 miles.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 04, 2017, 03:27:01 pm
That s 1 1/2 hours from my house.  About 100 miles.

 Be safe and Godspeed   My parents live in Naples.  Bugging out tomorrow
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 04, 2017, 03:32:25 pm
Be safe and Godspeed   My parents live in Naples.  Bugging out tomorrow

I'm in Canada bear hunting.  Have wifi but limited travel options to get back.  Where are they going?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 04, 2017, 03:41:17 pm
I'm in Canada bear hunting.  Have wifi but limited travel options to get back.  Where are they going?

Jax to stay with my  either initially   If it looks like it may hit there they will go to my son in St. Louis or can stay with me in Denver.  Prepared to be out of house for 4 weeks
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 04, 2017, 04:20:25 pm
Bastardi now has storm as a cat 4 making landfall over sw fla Naples/ft Meyers area


*Yawn*

Wake me when the know for sure. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 04, 2017, 04:38:00 pm
Bastardi now has storm as a cat 4 making landfall over sw fla Naples/ft Meyers area

I just got up, and saw the new models.  This is not good news for the Gulf.  Rule of thumb is if a storm like this hits the Gulf, somebody's going to get hurt.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: starstruck on September 04, 2017, 04:55:25 pm
Cool site. You can zoom in and out and move around the globe.
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/overlay=temp/orthographic=-83.49,28.48,945/loc=-87.058,17.296 (https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/overlay=temp/orthographic=-83.49,28.48,945/loc=-87.058,17.296)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 04, 2017, 06:50:08 pm
Puerto Rico declares state of emergency for Hurricane Irma
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/puerto-rico-declares-state-of-emergency-for-hurricane-irma/article/2633343
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 04, 2017, 06:54:21 pm
Every forecast track I see bends it closer to Florida and now even in the gulf.  My southern Florida family is bugging out on a day or two.  People can make fun of those of us watching the trends and after it hits they will be the same ones disparaging the folks who did not pay attention and protect themselves days ahead of time.  I for one am happy my somewhat elderly parents won't be  aught in a last minute panic evac of south Florida.   If nothing happens they will have had a nice visit with family for a week.  If the worst happens they will be 2 less people needing rescue

I'm slowly making preparations and watching.  I don't need to leave yet, but when I do I'll be ready.  I want to be out of FL before everybody else decides what to do.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 04, 2017, 07:00:12 pm
Jax to stay with my  either initially   If it looks like it may hit there they will go to my son in St. Louis or can stay with me in Denver.  Prepared to be out of house for 4 weeks

@Mom MD be safe. I'm thinking of you.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 04, 2017, 07:02:10 pm
@Mom MD be safe. I'm thinking of you.

Thanks @Freya
My folks will be out of SW fla by Wednesday noon.  Let's pray for those who do t have the option to leave
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 04, 2017, 07:26:30 pm
Bastardi now has storm as a cat 4 making landfall over sw fla Naples/ft Meyers area

Looks like we may be packing up pretty soon. The models show the it could hit all the way up into Sarasota.  We made it through Charley, but Charley was unique as it wasn't a very wide hurricane and the storm surge was minimal; we experienced more tornadoes than storm surge.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 04, 2017, 08:40:29 pm
Prayers for all having to leave their homes. Still hoping it makes a hard right and doesn't hit land.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 04, 2017, 08:48:33 pm
If you look at the history of "similar" storms that is what has happened.

It's looking like Donna back in the '60's.  She went through the Antilles, made landfall in Marathon (Keys) Fl with sustained winds of 145 mph; a strong Cat 4  went out in Gulf and came back and made another landfall at the same intensity in Naples/Ft. Myers Beach/Ft. Myers, went out in Gulf and re-emerged in the Carolina's as a Cat. 2.

I've heard more stories about Donna for those that have been in the area than Charley; it battered FL twice with the same intensity and the storm surge was much worse.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 04, 2017, 08:52:25 pm
Prayers for all having to leave their homes. Still hoping it makes a hard right and doesn't hit land.

I'm praying it makes a hard right too as we are sitting on the water (sigh) and most importantly, I'm hoping that the forecasters are correct that it will be this weekend and not earlier.  Need time to get up storm shutters. Luckily we just got the roll downs repaired. I'll be booking hotel tomorrow just in case.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 04, 2017, 08:53:22 pm
Yikes...my sister has a house on Sanibel Island...
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 04, 2017, 09:06:34 pm
A good summary of the current situation.


https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-category-4-united-states-hurricane-warning-leeward-islands

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 04, 2017, 09:21:23 pm
Yikes...my sister has a house on Sanibel Island...

The next few days might be a great time to leave and go visit family somewhere else....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 04, 2017, 09:23:19 pm
It's looking like Donna back in the '60's.  She went through the Antilles, made landfall in Marathon (Keys) Fl with sustained winds of 145 mph; a strong Cat 4  went out in Gulf and came back and made another landfall at the same intensity in Naples/Ft. Myers Beach/Ft. Myers, went out in Gulf and re-emerged in the Carolina's as a Cat. 2.

I've heard more stories about Donna for those that have been in the area than Charley; it battered FL twice with the same intensity and the storm surge was much worse.

My dad went through Donna in his younger days. He now lives in Naples.  He is packing the car and they are leaving on Wednesday.  Says he never wants to go through anything like that again.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 04, 2017, 09:35:48 pm
My best friend and her husband and her son,  my godson who will be 11 next week just moved to a house near Cape Kennedy.

She Called and said they expect Irma to hit. They just moved there last month.

Please. Pray for them. Thank you.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 04, 2017, 09:58:34 pm
Latest models show too much uncertainty until tomorrow or even Wednesday.  The 'spaghetti' models show it having the most intensity in the Keys and up through the center of the state or more so affecting the east coast than the west coast.  I would say once it nears or strikes the U.S. virgin islands we'll know a lot more.  Had pet friendly hotels picked out in the center of the state, but the path has moved. 

Local news saying we'll know a projected path by the weekend ... but that puts us past day 5 ... not comfortable waiting that long at all.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 04, 2017, 09:59:34 pm
My best friend and her husband and her son,  my godson who will be 11 next week just moved to a house near Cape Kennedy.

She Called and said they expect Irma to hit. They just moved there last month.

Please. Pray for them. Thank you.

Cape Kennedy?  Did you mean Lake Kennedy or Cape Canaveral??
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: corbe on September 04, 2017, 09:59:42 pm
This is the first time the name Irma has been used for an Atlantic tropical storm or hurricane. Irma replaced the name Irene after it was retired for the damage it caused in the Bahamas and the U.S. during the 2011 hurricane season.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 04, 2017, 10:11:19 pm
Cape Kennedy?  Did you mean Lake Kennedy or Cape Canaveral??

Brain fart, Cape Canaveral
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 04, 2017, 10:14:58 pm
Brain fart, Cape Canaveral

It happens to the best of us.  It's way too early to tell.  They need to hang tight for a day or two.  There is always the possibility that it could hit the mountains of Cuba and dissipate or veer far right and not hit the U.S.  I'm praying for the later.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 04, 2017, 11:05:43 pm
Prayers for all having to leave their homes. Still hoping it makes a hard right and doesn't hit land.

Yes, prayers for you all.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 04, 2017, 11:29:36 pm
Yikes...my sister has a house on Sanibel Island...

@mystery-ak   We Honeymooned on Captiva with Linda  (You're sister from another mother).  Years Later...  Hurricane Charley took out The Plantation Resort but it spared the Mucky Duck.  Long live the Duck!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 04, 2017, 11:30:24 pm
Yes, prayers for you all.

Yes indeed.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 04, 2017, 11:46:36 pm
@mystery-ak   We Honeymooned on Captiva with Linda  (You're sister from another mother).  Years Later...  Hurricane Charley took out The Plantation Resort but it spared the Mucky Duck.  Long live the Duck!

A møøse once bit my sister. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 04, 2017, 11:51:39 pm
A møøse once bit my sister.

My Bug Out location Is Just south of Moose Bite Illinois.  A little place near Effingham
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 05, 2017, 12:05:53 am
@mystery-ak   We Honeymooned on Captiva with Linda  (You're sister from another mother).  Years Later...  Hurricane Charley took out The Plantation Resort but it spared the Mucky Duck.  Long live the Duck!

My sis Linda's house is on the end of Sanibel on the golf course.....they are at their Chicago home now so they don't have to flee..lol
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 05, 2017, 12:06:42 am
My Bug Out location Is Just south of Moose Bite Illinois.  A little place near Effingham

about 45min from me... *****rollingeyes*****
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 05, 2017, 12:08:46 am
about 45min from me... *****rollingeyes*****
I was going to send you a PM about having a drink.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 05, 2017, 12:15:04 am
Quote
Florida Gov. Rick Scott declares state of emergency ahead of Category 4 Hurricane Irma
Fox News, Sep 4, 2017

Florida Gov. Rick Scott has declared a state of emergency in the state as rapidly growing Hurricane Irma, now a Category 4 storm, is expected to make landfall later this week.

The state of emergency has been issued for all of Florida’s 67 counties. Scott said that the state would “prepare for the worst and hope for the best” as Irma is expected to hit the state around Friday.

The governor tweeted Monday that he urges "all Floridians to remain vigilant and stay alert to local weather and news and visit FLGetAPlan.com today to get prepared."

“Hurricane Irma poses a severe threat to the entire State of Florida and requires that timely precautions are taken to protect the communities, critical infrastructure, and general welfare of this State,” the executive order stated.

Scott suggested on Twitter that state residents should use their Labor Day to prepare for Irma's arrival.

The announcement came after Puerto Rico’s governor issued a state of emergency Monday. Irma is expected to hit the northwest Caribbean Tuesday, where government workers are preparing for the storm to make landfall.


More:  http://www.foxnews.com/us/2017/09/04/florida-gov-rick-scott-declares-state-emergency-ahead-category-4-hurricane-irma.html

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 05, 2017, 12:18:13 am
Yes, prayers for you all.
:amen:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 05, 2017, 12:22:50 am
I was going to send you a PM about having a drink.

 *bouche*
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 05, 2017, 12:33:11 am
A møøse once bit my sister.

Bullwinkle?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 05, 2017, 12:35:07 am
*bouche*

PM sent.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 05, 2017, 05:01:06 am
My best friend and her husband and her son,  my godson who will be 11 next week just moved to a house near Cape Kennedy.

She Called and said they expect Irma to hit. They just moved there last month.

Please. Pray for them. Thank you.

Sometimes us old Florida crackers call it Cape Kennedy, it used to be called that in the 60's I think, and then was changed back to Cape Canaveral.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 05, 2017, 05:21:12 am
Sometimes us old Florida crackers call it Cape Kennedy, it used to be called that in the 60's I think, and then was changed back to Cape Canaveral.

My understanding was a mapmaker overstepped his authority in naming the Cape during all the sympathy after the assassination, and when somebody pointed it out, the name was quickly changed back. 

Something similar happened in AZ.  The Governor (a Dem) was in a hurry to rename "Squaw Peak" (cultural insensitivity, ya know), and she ordered it to be renamed after a soldier killed in Iraq.  Turned out the soldier died when she took a wrong turn and drove a Humvee into the teeth of a bunch of enemies.  Her friend was captured by some very confused Iraqis, who didn't know what to do with her.

The law prohibits naming places after people until 5 years after they die to prevent this sort of fiasco.  Napolitano was a Dem so she just ignored the law.  I give you better than even odds the Florida mapmaker who renamed Cape Canaveral was a Dem too.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 05, 2017, 05:45:26 am
My understanding was a mapmaker overstepped his authority in naming the Cape during all the sympathy after the assassination, and when somebody pointed it out, the name was quickly changed back. 

Something similar happened in AZ.  The Governor (a Dem) was in a hurry to rename "Squaw Peak" (cultural insensitivity, ya know), and she ordered it to be renamed after a soldier killed in Iraq.  Turned out the soldier died when she took a wrong turn and drove a Humvee into the teeth of a bunch of enemies.  Her friend was captured by some very confused Iraqis, who didn't know what to do with her.

The law prohibits naming places after people until 5 years after they die to prevent this sort of fiasco.  Napolitano was a Dem so she just ignored the law.  I give you better than even odds the Florida mapmaker who renamed Cape Canaveral was a Dem too.

I hadn't heard one way or the other.  I did just look this up on Wiki, so you can take that for what it's worth...
Quote
Name changes

A post office in the area was built and listed in the U.S. Post Office application as "Artesia" and retained this name from 1893 to 1954.[24] It was "Port Canaveral" from 1954 to 1962, and lastly the City of Cape Canaveral from 1962 to 1963, when a larger post office was built.
Cape Kennedy

From 1963 to 1973, the area had a different name when President Lyndon Johnson by executive order renamed the area "Cape Kennedy" after President John F. Kennedy, who had set the goal of landing on the moon. After Kennedy's assassination in November 1963, his widow, Jacqueline Kennedy, suggested to President Johnson that renaming the Cape Canaveral facility would be an appropriate memorial. Johnson recommended the renaming of the entire cape, announced in a televised address six days after the assassination, on Thanksgiving evening.[25][26][27][28] Accordingly, Cape Canaveral was officially renamed Cape Kennedy.[23][29] Kennedy's last visit to the space facility was on November 16, six days before his death;[30][31] [32] the final Mercury mission had concluded six months earlier.

Although the name change was approved by the U.S. Board on Geographic Names of the Department of the Interior in December 1963,[33] it was not popular in Florida from the outset,[29][34][35] especially in the bordering city of Cape Canaveral. In 1973, the Florida Legislature passed a law in May restoring the former 400-year-old name,[36][37] and the Board went along. The name restoration to Cape Canaveral became official on October 9, 1973.[38] Senator Ted Kennedy had stated in 1970 that it was a matter to be decided by the citizens of Florida.[35] The Kennedy family issued a letter stating they "understood the decision," and NASA's Kennedy Space Center retains the "Kennedy" name.[23]

The Gemini,[39] Apollo,[40] and first Skylab missions were all launched from "Cape Kennedy."[41] The first manned launch under the restored name of "Cape Canaveral" was the final Skylab mission, on November 16, 1973
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 05, 2017, 06:16:07 am
Sometimes us old Florida crackers call it Cape Kennedy, it used to be called that in the 60's I think, and then was changed back to Cape Canaveral.
It was Cape Canaveral, then Kennedy, then Canaveral again.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 05, 2017, 06:42:37 am
I hadn't heard one way or the other.  I did just look this up on Wiki, so you can take that for what it's worth...

Your explanation makes a lot more sense than mine, I'd go with that....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 05, 2017, 06:46:23 am
Not to get back on topic or anything  :tongue2:

but the governor of Fla has declared all Fla counties in a state of emergency.  Looks like this thing will hit one part of Fla or another - or most of the state.... 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 05, 2017, 08:04:58 am
Not to get back on topic or anything  :tongue2:

but the governor of Fla has declared all Fla counties in a state of emergency.  Looks like this thing will hit one part of Fla or another - or most of the state....

So it seems.  Every model assumes a sharp north turn North of Cuba.  It seems prudent to get the supplies prepositioned and start evacuations where  needed.  If they're wrong about the turn, the other Gulf states will have a couple of days to prepare.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 05, 2017, 11:25:11 am
Your explanation makes a lot more sense than mine, I'd go with that....

She made a funny comment to me, when they were looking at houses, they found a street named after Anthony Nelson and one after Jeannie! I had to laugh over that, but wondered why they didn't name them after Larry Hagman and Barbara Eden instead.

The weird thing is, my godson found those old tv shows and he loves them!

I'm really worried for them. I know a few snow birds with property in Florida
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 05, 2017, 11:56:12 am
Irma just grew to a catagory five hurricane.

http://abc7ny.com/weather/irma-grows-to-dangerous-category-5-hurricane/2377381/
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 05, 2017, 12:06:57 pm
Winds 175 mph. Pressure 27.44.  Wow.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 05, 2017, 01:07:35 pm
Winds 175 mph. Pressure 27.44.  Wow.

Wow, indeed!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Oceander on September 05, 2017, 01:10:25 pm
Where is this thing going now?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 05, 2017, 01:38:29 pm
Man this turned into a beast of a storm.  Looks like models show it going through around Cuba and then turning north into Florida, possibly up the middle of the state.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 05, 2017, 01:40:01 pm
(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_ensmodel.gif)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 05, 2017, 01:40:37 pm
Where is this thing going now?

(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL112017_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/120644_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png)

(https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/11L_tracks_latest.png)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 05, 2017, 01:53:34 pm
Where is this thing going now?

I guess if it's a Force 5 it can go pretty much wherever it wants.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on September 05, 2017, 02:20:04 pm
 ****slapping
I'm in Canada bear hunting.  Have wifi but limited travel options to get back.  Where are they going?
Did you get one?  Bear, not a travel option.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: jpsb on September 05, 2017, 02:27:03 pm
So it seems.  Every model assumes a sharp north turn North of Cuba.  It seems prudent to get the supplies prepositioned and start evacuations where  needed.  If they're wrong about the turn, the other Gulf states will have a couple of days to prepare.

The NHC is pretty good on track for up to about 3 days. So I expect Irma to be in the cone Friday AM, after that who knows. Three days ago they (NHC) had it going to NC and up the Atlantic east coast now its going to into the Golf of Mexico and up Floridas' west coast.   That is quite a change in the forecast. But models are better with strong storms then they are with weaker systems. So maybe that turn really will happen.

I just hope Irma stays far away from SE Texas.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on September 05, 2017, 02:39:03 pm
Winds 175 mph. Pressure 27.44.  Wow.
Getting powerful. Still needs a ways to go to beat these records, though.

Most intense Atlantic hurricanes
Rank   Hurricane   Season   Pressure
hPa   inHg
1   Wilma   2005   882   26.05
2   Gilbert   1988   888   26.23
3   "Labor Day"1935892   26.34
4   Rita            2005   895   26.43
5   Allen           1980   899   26.55
6   Camille   1969   900   26.58
7   Katrina   2005   902   26.64
8   Mitch   1998   905   26.73
Dean   2007
10   "Cuba"   1924   910   26.88
Ivan   2004
Source: HURDAT[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Atlantic_hurricane_records

Allen came into South Texas when I was living in Corpus Christi and holds the record of wind speeds at 190 mph and at the time the lowest barometric pressures ever recorded in the GOM other than the famous 1935 Labor Day hurricane.

My wife was 8 1/2 months pregnant and I was really worried about having to deliver a baby due to the low pressure.  Coincidentally,  I am in a waiting room right now awaiting that same baby give birth to a new grand-daughter.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 05, 2017, 02:44:09 pm
It just went to Cat 5 as it hits the Caribbean islands. That is the highest category of a storm.

http://www.cnn.com/2017/09/05/us/hurricane-irma-puerto-rico-florida/index.html

https://www.aol.com/article/weather/2017/09/05/caribbean-islands-brace-for-fierce-hurricane-irma-now-a-category-4-storm/23196563/

http://abcnews.go.com/International/hurricane-irma-strengthens-closes-caribbean/story?id=49608171
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 05, 2017, 02:48:33 pm

How Strong Can a Hurricane Get?

https://www.livescience.com/32179-how-strong-can-a-hurricane-get.html
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 05, 2017, 03:08:50 pm
now 180 mph sustained.  Gusts 220 mph
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: ABX on September 05, 2017, 03:38:59 pm
now 180 mph sustained.  Gusts 220 mph

Wow.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 05, 2017, 04:11:03 pm
180mph winds and the storm is wider then Florida.  This is going to be historic.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 05, 2017, 04:17:54 pm
my family bugging out of SW Fla before noon today.  I expect the roads to become very congested as time goes on.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 05, 2017, 04:24:50 pm
my family bugging out of SW Fla before noon today.  I expect the roads to become very congested as time goes on.

Good.  At this point, why wait? 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 05, 2017, 04:28:38 pm
my family bugging out of SW Fla before noon today.  I expect the roads to become very congested as time goes on.

My family is in Tampa.   Not sure about evac yet but will decide soon.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 05, 2017, 04:29:28 pm
My son in West Palm Beach has a flight to Cancun on Sunday. He is taking a wait and see attitude. Of course, he is young and invincible.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 05, 2017, 04:55:10 pm
My family is in Tampa.   Not sure about evac yet but will decide soon.

Keeping all in my prayers.  Surface winds in last recon 185 mph.  Storm is wider than Fla, doesn't really matter much where it hits. Latest Bastardi forcast is still landfall Naples/Ft Meyers
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 05, 2017, 04:58:34 pm
Keeping all in my prayers.  Surface winds in last recon 185 mph.  Storm is wider than Fla, doesn't really matter much where it hits. Latest Bastardi forcast is still landfall Naples/Ft Meyers

(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL112017_wind_probs_34_F120+png/145233.png)

(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL112017_wind_probs_64_F120+png/145233.png)

Prayers for all involved.  Likely going to be quite an evacuation overload.  Plan and leave early folks, Godspeed.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 05, 2017, 04:59:06 pm
Keeping all in my prayers.  Surface winds in last recon 185 mph.  Storm is wider than Fla, doesn't really matter much where it hits. Latest Bastardi forcast is still landfall Naples/Ft Meyers

The 185mp winds aren't the entire width of the storm.  I think they are at the eye wall and out a small way.  Maybe 10 to 15 miles.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 05, 2017, 05:01:20 pm
Keeping all in my prayers.  Surface winds in last recon 185 mph.  Storm is wider than Fla, doesn't really matter much where it hits. Latest Bastardi forcast is still landfall Naples/Ft Meyers

Now I'm worried about my brother who just bought a house on Siesta Key and is remodeling it.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 05, 2017, 05:09:45 pm
Now I'm worried about my brother who just bought a house on Siesta Key and is remodeling it.

I'm no expert but I would tell him to get out.  As I understand evac orders have been issues for the keys.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: kidd on September 05, 2017, 05:18:42 pm
I'm no expert but I would tell him to get out.  As I understand evac orders have been issues for the keys.
Correct:
https://twitter.com/ABC/status/905102664878489600 (https://twitter.com/ABC/status/905102664878489600)

Monroe County, FL issues mandatory evacuation for visitors and residents in Florida Keys due to Hurricane #Irma
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: GrouchoTex on September 05, 2017, 05:35:45 pm



Lydia, oh! Lydia, say have you met Lydia
Oh! Lydia, the tattooed lady
She has eyes that folks adore so
And a torso even more so
Lydia, oh! Lydia, that "Encyclopedia"
Oh! Lydia, the Queen of tattoo
On her back is the Battle of Waterloo
Beside it the Wreck of the Hesperus too
And proudly above the waves
The Red, White and Blue
You can learn a lot from Lydia
She can give you a view of the world
In tattoo if you step up and tell her where
For a dime you can see Kankakee or Paree
Or Washington crossing the Delaware
Oh! Lydia, oh! Lydia, say have you met Lydia
Oh! Lydia, the tattooed lady
When her muscles start relaxin'
Up the hill comes Andrew Jackson
Lydia, oh! Lydia, that "Encyclopedia"
Oh! Lydia, the champ of them all
For two bits she will do a Mazurka in Jazz
With a view of Niag'ra that no artist has
And on a clear day you can see Alcatraz
You can learn a lot from Lydia.
La la la La la la La la la La la la
Come along and see Buff'lo Bill with his lasso
Just a little classic by Mendel Picasso
Here is Captain Spaulding exploring the Amazon
And Godiva, but with her pajamas on
La la la La la la La la la La la la
Here is Grover Whalen unveilin' the Trylon
Over on the west coast we have Treasure Islan'
Here's Nijinsky a doin' the Rhumba
Here's her Social Security numba
La la la La la la La la la La la la
Lydia, oh! Lydia, say have you met Lydia
Oh! Lydia, the champ of them all
She once swept an Admiral clear off his feet
The ships on her hips made his heart skip a beat
And now the old boy's in command of the fleet

One of my favorites.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 05, 2017, 05:52:32 pm
Siesta Key isn't in what is considered The Keys.  It is on the west coast of Florida around Sarasota, about an hour, maybe a little more, south of Tampa.  Not saying the storm isn't headed there, just a geography FYI. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 05, 2017, 06:00:18 pm
FWIW, if I lived in Florida, I'd have a hotel room booked in Tennessee, all meds refilled, a cell phone charger and would be packing the car to get on the roads while they're still passable.

But this might just be me.   



Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 05, 2017, 06:02:09 pm
My son in West Palm Beach has a flight to Cancun on Sunday. He is taking a wait and see attitude. Of course, he is young and invincible.

I doubt if it will be up to him.  I don't expect there to be many planes left in South FL by Sunday.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Polly Ticks on September 05, 2017, 06:08:14 pm
Have we ever had back-to-back major hurricanes come ashore within a couple of weeks of one another before?  I expect even the Salvation Army, Red Cross, etc., will be struggling to cope.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 05, 2017, 06:17:42 pm
Keeping all in my prayers.  Surface winds in last recon 185 mph.  Storm is wider than Fla, doesn't really matter much where it hits. Latest Bastardi forcast is still landfall Naples/Ft Meyers

They are starting mandatory evacuations in the Keys tomorrow.  We were going to ride it out in the center of the state, but we'll go further north into GA.  Storm shutters are up.  They are telling people not to panic in FL -- ya right.  Cat 5 the size of the entire state barreling towards us and not to panic and to wait till the weekend!  The weekend will be too late to leave.  Normally they start evacuations from the Keys first and on up. I'm praying that Irma takes a sharp turn away from FL, but that doesn't seem likely.  Jose is a Cat 2 right behind Irma.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 05, 2017, 06:17:51 pm
FWIW, if I lived in Florida, I'd have a hotel room booked in Tennessee, all meds refilled, a cell phone charger and would be packing the car to get on the roads while they're still passable.

But this might just be me.   

It's never that easy.  People have work pets school and financial limitations.  It's easy to say all that is secondary to survival but the decision is rarely clear cut.

For example do you not show up for your job because the weatherman says something might happen.  These things are very very chaotic.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: GrouchoTex on September 05, 2017, 06:18:46 pm
Have we ever had back-to-back major hurricanes come ashore within a couple of weeks of one another before?  I expect even the Salvation Army, Red Cross, etc., will be struggling to cope.

Katrina and Rita were about  2 weeks apart
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 05, 2017, 06:21:42 pm
Have we ever had back-to-back major hurricanes come ashore within a couple of weeks of one another before?  I expect even the Salvation Army, Red Cross, etc., will be struggling to cope.

We had 4 hits in Florida during the 2004 season
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Polly Ticks on September 05, 2017, 06:22:53 pm
Katrina and Rita were about  2 weeks apart

Oh, that's right.  I'd forgotten about Rita, sad to say.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Polly Ticks on September 05, 2017, 06:24:32 pm
We had 4 hits in Florida during the 2004 season

I can't fathom.  Then again, I live in the path of frequent tornadoes, so what do I know.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 05, 2017, 06:25:16 pm
I wonder if anyone has told Antifa about the big 3 day white supremacist gathering in South Florida this weekend???
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 05, 2017, 06:25:47 pm
Have we ever had back-to-back major hurricanes come ashore within a couple of weeks of one another before?  I expect even the Salvation Army, Red Cross, etc., will be struggling to cope.

Here's recent activity for multiple storms:

2008:
* Ike:        September; Cat 2; Texas
*Gustav:   September; Cat 2; Louisiana
*Dolly:      July; Cat 2; Texas

2005:
*Wilma:     October; Cat 3; Florida
*Rita:        September; Cat 3; Texas/Louisiana border
*Katrina:   August; Cat 3; Louisiana
*Dennis:    July; Cat 3; Florida

https://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2017/08/24/all-hurricanes-hit-u-s-since-2005/598113001/



@Polly Ticks





Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 05, 2017, 06:26:29 pm
I wonder if anyone has told Antifa about the big 3 day white supremacist gathering in South Florida this weekend???

They're meeting on the beach, aren't they?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 05, 2017, 06:27:31 pm
FWIW, if I lived in Florida, I'd have a hotel room booked in Tennessee, all meds refilled, a cell phone charger and would be packing the car to get on the roads while they're still passable.

But this might just be me.   

Yes.  Indeed.  Planning on heading out sometime tomorrow or Thursday at the latest.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 05, 2017, 06:27:57 pm
They're meeting on the beach, aren't they?

Why yes, yes they are.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 05, 2017, 06:28:06 pm
FWIW, if I lived in Florida, I'd have a hotel room booked in Tennessee, all meds refilled, a cell phone charger and would be packing the car to get on the roads while they're still passable.

But this might just be me.   
You'd be eating my dust. I rode out one hurricane due to being a youngster and the major pain it is to head north in the traffic. I do not intend to ever do it again. One of the many reasons I reside on where I do.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 05, 2017, 06:28:39 pm
Yes.  Indeed.  Planning on heading out sometime tomorrow or Thursday at the latest.

Stay safe!!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 05, 2017, 06:32:59 pm
Stay safe!!

Seconded. Prayers are with you all in Florida   







Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 05, 2017, 06:40:28 pm
We had 4 hits in Florida during the 2004 season

2004 wasn't a good year at all.  If Irma hits FL, it's going to make 2004 look calm.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 05, 2017, 06:41:23 pm
We had 4 hits in Florida during the 2004 season

Good times.   Fema Trailers and Blue tarps for as far as the eye could see crisscrossing the state!.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Bigun on September 05, 2017, 06:45:57 pm
They're meeting on the beach, aren't they?

Rain or shine!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 05, 2017, 06:46:02 pm
Governor Rick Scott ordered 7,000 National Guard troops to report for duty by Friday morning. Of those, 100 were activated Tuesday to begin helping with preparations, he said.

Keep praying that Irma will take a sharp turn and die in the ocean.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 05, 2017, 06:55:16 pm
2005: 2008:
* Ike:        September; Cat 2; Texas
*Gustav:   September; Cat 2; Louisiana
*Dolly:      July; Cat 2; Texas

2008: 2005:
*Wilma:     October; Cat 3; Florida
*Rita:        September; Cat 3; Texas/Louisiana border
*Katrina:   August; Cat 3; Louisiana
*Dennis:    July; Cat 3; Florida

@Right_in_Virginia
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 05, 2017, 06:57:15 pm
Seconded. Prayers are with you all in Florida

 :amen:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: IsailedawayfromFR on September 05, 2017, 07:04:15 pm
Why yes, yes they are.
Actually, I had heard it was on a barge just off the coast.

Someone needs to alert them to bring some dinghies to protest.  Oh, and contrary to popular belief, the Coast Guard does NOT require lifejackets to be worn.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 05, 2017, 07:04:47 pm
I did my part.  I topped of my tank and I'm hoarding various and sundry food stuffs!..  I also have 40 rolls of plush charmin for personal use and 24 rolls of some Generic single ply brand that feels like 400 grit on your crack for trading and bartering purposes.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 05, 2017, 07:23:06 pm
U.S. Virgin Islands Gov. Kenneth Mapp signed an emergency order allowing the seizure of private guns, ammunition, explosives and property the National Guard may need to respond to Hurricane Irma.

more at link


http://dailycaller.com/2017/09/05/virgin-islands-allows-national-guard-to-seize-guns-ammo-ahead-of-hurricane-irma/
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 05, 2017, 07:26:00 pm
The Gun Grabbers in the US are wondering how to do this here!   LOl :silly:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 05, 2017, 07:48:56 pm
@Right_in_Virginia

Thank you for making the corrections to the years!   :beer:

I'll make the revisions to the original post, too. 

@thackney
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 05, 2017, 07:50:40 pm
The local stores are strating to feel the pressure of Irma.

(http://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/20882902_417777915285325_6251635199426983012_n.jpg?oh=32211206781f6b214e9989dadb753349&oe=5A52F437)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 05, 2017, 07:59:02 pm
The local stores are strating to feel the pressure of Irma.

(http://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/20882902_417777915285325_6251635199426983012_n.jpg?oh=32211206781f6b214e9989dadb753349&oe=5A52F437)

Maybe they were injected with saltpeter.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Oceander on September 05, 2017, 08:01:48 pm
I wonder if anyone has told Antifa about the big 3 day white supremacist gathering in South Florida this weekend???

:bigsilly:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 05, 2017, 08:06:59 pm
Thank you for making the corrections to the years!   :beer:

I went through Ike but was in Alaska for Rita, so the numbers jump out at me.

Cheers!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 05, 2017, 08:11:48 pm
Seeing noticeably heavy traffic at gas stations in Tampa this afternoon.   It's not like the 70s or anything, but if you need to top off, do it sooner than later.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 05, 2017, 08:14:41 pm
Maybe they were injected with saltpeter.

No worries Lady's

(http://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t31.0-8/21319149_422647511465032_126448695412078343_o.jpg?oh=481a42605a2ba20274deb03c609f4a21&oe=5A54C3C6)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 05, 2017, 08:18:48 pm
Seeing noticeably heavy traffic at gas stations in Tampa this afternoon.   It's not like the 70s or anything, but if you need to top off, do it sooner than later.

Before the storm, that is when you want to be making sure your gasoline tanks are filled up.  Panic afterwards when it is harder to get the refill tankers in makes it far worse.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 05, 2017, 08:51:11 pm
Florida tolls suspended on all roadways starting at 5 p.m.
WPLG Local 10 TV, Sep 5, 2017, Updated: 3:38 PM ET

MIAMI - Gov. RIck Scott has ordered the suspension of tolls on all Florida roadways starting at 5 p.m. Tuesday.

"They will be suspended for the duration of the storm’s impacts to Florida," Scott said in a statement. "Ensuring the safety of Florida families and visitors is our top priority and suspending tolls statewide will help people quickly evacuate and make it easier for all Floridians to access important hurricane supplies to ensure they are fully prepared." 

The move is being made to help facilitate evacuations which will begin in earnest Wednesday in Monroe County and at a slower pace in Miami-Dade.

Broward County has yet to announce evacuation plans.


More:  https://www.local10.com/weather/hurricane/florida-tolls-suspended-on-all-roadways-starting-at-5-pm

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 05, 2017, 08:54:32 pm
Florida tolls suspended on all roadways starting at 5 p.m.

Houston did this, the tolls are still waived but I expect that to end soon.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 05, 2017, 08:54:32 pm
Miami-Dade to begin evacuations Wednesday as Irma looms
Special needs evacuations start Wednesday morning
WPLG Local 10 TV, Sep 5, 2017, Updated: 3:15 PM ET

MIAMI-DADE COUNTY, Florida - Miami-Dade County will begin evacuations as early as Wednesday ahead of a possible arrival of Hurricane Irma.

Mayor Carlos Gimenez announced evacuations for Zone A and B may begin as soon as late Wednesday or Thursday.

CLICK HERE to find out which evacuation zone your home is located.

Special needs evacuations will start Wednesday morning.

Shelters will be open starting Wednesday evening, but the mayor urged residents to use shelters only as a last resort.

While evacuations are mandatory, Gimenez said police will not be going door-to-door to check on residents who refuse to leave their homes.

All county officers will be closed Thursday and Friday.

Gimenez urged all visitors to cut their vacations in South Florida short and make plans to leave the area ahead of the storm.

Miami-Dade Public Schools Superintendent also announced schools will be closed Thursday and Friday.


More:  https://www.local10.com/weather/hurricane/miami-dade-to-begin-evacuations-wednesday-as-irma-looms
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 05, 2017, 08:56:10 pm
I hope Florida Briefers and their families are ready to roll ... 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 05, 2017, 09:00:01 pm
Actually, I had heard it was on a barge just off the coast.

Someone needs to alert them to bring some dinghies to protest.  Oh, and contrary to popular belief, the Coast Guard does NOT require lifejackets to be worn.

They are dingy enough. They'll barge in anyway.

Hey! @Oceander, you're in marketing, right? Maybe do some flyers or something billing this as a gathering of the Great Whites.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 05, 2017, 09:26:25 pm
I wonder if anyone has told Antifa about the big 3 day white supremacist gathering in South Florida this weekend???
I thought I heard it it was a week long convention....with speakers, statue dedication, the whole bit.... :whistle:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 05, 2017, 09:33:52 pm
I thought I heard it it was a week long convention....with speakers, statue dedication, the whole bit.... :whistle:

I heard it was to be statue demolition.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 06, 2017, 01:00:21 am
(https://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21317933_1718358061508183_3623067788931627513_n.jpg?oh=3fbb03710d12202611fcf5d9da6b943b&oe=5A5429DC)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 06, 2017, 01:05:07 am

Exactly why I am not praying for Floridians. Or any other idians out there. I'm praying for that storm to change its track.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Elderberry on September 06, 2017, 01:21:35 am
Category 5 Irma Becomes Most Powerful Hurricane to Form in the Atlantic Ocean

NY Mag By Benjamin Hart and Jen Kirby 9/5/2017

Quote
Irma has intensified to a “potentially catastrophic” Category 5 storm. The hurricane is packing winds of a whopping 185 miles per hour, making it the most powerful hurricane to form in the Atlantic Ocean since satellite observations began.

More: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/09/hurricane-irma-looking-more-likely-to-threaten-us.html (http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/09/hurricane-irma-looking-more-likely-to-threaten-us.html)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 01:32:34 am
Category 5 Irma Becomes Most Powerful Hurricane to Form in the Atlantic Ocean

NY Mag By Benjamin Hart and Jen Kirby 9/5/2017
Irma has intensified to a “potentially catastrophic” Category 5 storm. The hurricane is packing winds of a whopping 185 miles per hour, making it the most powerful hurricane to form in the Atlantic Ocean since satellite observations began.

More: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/09/hurricane-irma-looking-more-likely-to-threaten-us.html

If I could, I would kick both of those assholes so hard in the balls their dead grand mothers would scream.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 06, 2017, 01:39:44 am
If I could, I would kick both of those assholes so hard in the balls their dead grand mothers would scream.

Is Jen Kirby a guy?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 06, 2017, 01:41:29 am
GOES East link.  Geostationary satellite.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/goes-e.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/imagery/tatl.html  Tropical Atlantic imagery

Image loop (flash) visible. From the above link page.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-vis.html
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 01:45:44 am
Is Jen Kirby a guy?

She will Identify as one when I finish.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 06, 2017, 01:49:06 am
No worries Lady's

(http://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t31.0-8/21319149_422647511465032_126448695412078343_o.jpg?oh=481a42605a2ba20274deb03c609f4a21&oe=5A54C3C6)

 ****slapping
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 06, 2017, 01:49:34 am
She will Identify as one when I finish.

transitioning
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 06, 2017, 01:52:14 am
Testing.

The first is the singular of the second.

bleep

assholes

Test complete.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Silver Pines on September 06, 2017, 03:06:33 am
According to what I heard on the local news tonight, this thing is gusting 225 mph.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 03:09:51 am
According to what I heard on the local news tonight, this thing is gusting 225 mph.

Hey It might get to 500mph? Whohoo.  I can't wait.  A bubble headed bleach blonde will tell us tomorrow.   
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Elderberry on September 06, 2017, 03:12:55 am
Kick 'em when they're up
Kick 'em when they're down
Kick 'em when they're stiff
Kick 'em all around
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 06, 2017, 03:13:24 am
I have until the 14th to pay the mortgage without getting hit with a late penalty.  Maybe I'll just wait and see what happens :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Elderberry on September 06, 2017, 03:16:07 am
I have until the 14th to pay the mortgage without getting hit with a late penalty.  Maybe I'll just wait and see what happens :)

You better pay it. If you get damaged by Irma and they foreclose they'll sue you for the difference in the value of the property.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 06, 2017, 03:19:15 am
You better pay it. If you get damaged by Irma and they foreclose they'll sue you for the difference in the value of the property.

LOL.  I ain't worried.  They can't foreclose.  They'll have to lend us more money to pay for the astronomical hurricane deductibles we all have to get the place fixed up. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Elderberry on September 06, 2017, 03:22:36 am
LOL.  I ain't worried.  They can't foreclose.  They'll have to lend us more money to pay for the astronomical hurricane deductibles we all have to get the place fixed up. :)

And we call ourselves Homeowners. It sounds better than Serfs, I'll admit.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 06, 2017, 03:25:00 am
And we call ourselves Homeowners. It sounds better than Serfs, I'll admit.

We did get our 30 year mortgage converted to a 15 year mortgage almost two years ago now, so we'll only have to pay the County for the privilege of "owning" our property.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 03:36:54 am
Kick 'em when they're up
Kick 'em when they're down
Kick 'em when they're stiff
Kick 'em all around

We can do the Innuendo
We can dance and sing
When it's said and done
We haven't told you a thing
We all know that Crap is King
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Silver Pines on September 06, 2017, 03:40:43 am
Hey It might get to 500mph? Whohoo.  I can't wait.  A bubble headed bleach blonde will tell us tomorrow.   

@Wingnut

Yeah, I know.  Those meteorologists with their newfangled whatchamacallits.  They think they can measure wind speed.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 06, 2017, 03:46:58 am
(https://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21317933_1718358061508183_3623067788931627513_n.jpg?oh=3fbb03710d12202611fcf5d9da6b943b&oe=5A5429DC)

Yes, that pretty much sums it up!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 03:50:49 am
@Wingnut

Yeah, I know.  Those meteorologists with their newfangled whatchamacallits.  They think they can measure wind speed.

Just remember the hurricane business, folks, is big business. Everything that involves news and "weather" news  has become corrupted and politicized. The big 24 hour news media people lead people to panic. They lead people to hoarding. The lead Internet posters to post shit.  Of course all of this may not have been created by them, but it certainly is encouraged and promoted by them.
Finally... remember no effin one is going to know till Saturday or Sunday where this thing is going.  Or even if this thing will hit Florida. For us up here in NoFL... we will have several more days to decide what is best for us to do.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 06, 2017, 04:10:02 am
I hope Florida Briefers and their families are ready to roll ...

I'm in absolute panic mode now.  We put up hurricane shutters, took pictures of contents in the house, got paperwork together, etc., etc.  Spoke to a women who helped me make hotel reservations at a pet-friendly hotel only to find out later via e-mail confirmation that the dog can't be over 30 lbs (I told her he was)!!  I've been trying for the last 5 hours to find a pet-friendly hotel available.  Nothing.  Absolutely nothing.  So ... we're on a journey and praying that we don't get turned away.

Flights are booked, private charters are booked...RV rentals not available .... yep... panicville here.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 04:14:14 am
I'm in absolute panic mode now.  We put up hurricane shutters, took pictures of contents in the house, got paperwork together, etc., etc.  Spoke to a women who helped me make hotel reservations at a pet-friendly hotel only to find out later via e-mail confirmation that the dog can't be over 30 lbs (I told her he was)!!  I've been trying for the last 5 hours to find a pet-friendly hotel available.  Nothing.  Absolutely nothing.  So ... we're on a journey and praying that we don't get turned away.

Flights are booked, private charters are booked...RV rentals not available .... yep... panicville here.


Take a Cruise.  I bet they have openings.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 06, 2017, 04:19:22 am
@libertybele

Red Roof Inn might accept your dog.  Most locations are pet friendly, and as far as I can tell, there are no weight restrictions. 

https://www.redroof.com/why-red-roof-inn/value/pet-friendly

Red Roof isn't luxurious, but I stayed at one near me for almost 2 weeks while my bathroom was being remodeled.  It was adequate. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 06, 2017, 04:23:57 am
I'm in absolute panic mode now.  We put up hurricane shutters, took pictures of contents in the house, got paperwork together, etc., etc.  Spoke to a women who helped me make hotel reservations at a pet-friendly hotel only to find out later via e-mail confirmation that the dog can't be over 30 lbs (I told her he was)!!  I've been trying for the last 5 hours to find a pet-friendly hotel available.  Nothing.  Absolutely nothing.  So ... we're on a journey and praying that we don't get turned away.

Flights are booked, private charters are booked...RV rentals not available .... yep... panicville here.

Jameson Inn will take larger dogs.  Where in FL are you?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 06, 2017, 04:26:52 am
@libertybele

Red Roof Inn might accept your dog.  Most locations are pet friendly, and as far as I can tell, there are no weight restrictions. 

https://www.redroof.com/why-red-roof-inn/value/pet-friendly

Red Roof isn't luxurious, but I stayed at one near me for almost 2 weeks while my bathroom was being remodeled.  It was adequate.

Thank you for the suggestion. I'm not being selective about the hotel ... I've searched several red roof inns -- they are booked. I've searched for hours using various different websites, pet friendly hotel searches, etc., and I've searched all the way from Valdosta up into Alpharetta and surrounding areas.  Nothing is available.  They are booked.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 06, 2017, 04:29:14 am
Jameson Inn will take larger dogs.  Where in FL are you?

Jameson Inn is in Lakeland?  Trying to get out of Florida.  I live in the Ft. Myers area.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 06, 2017, 04:31:24 am
Thank you for the suggestion. I'm not being selective about the hotel ... I've searched several red roof inns -- they are booked. I've searched for hours using various different websites, pet friendly hotel searches, etc., and I've searched all the way from Valdosta up into Alpharetta and surrounding areas.  Nothing is available.  They are booked.
@libertybele
Perhaps try off the highway, like the motels in Cuthbert?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 06, 2017, 04:32:36 am
Aunt Irma can be a pain...
(https://i.redd.it/739x3j6dg4kz.jpg)
@Freya
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 06, 2017, 04:37:46 am
Jameson Inn is in Lakeland?  Trying to get out of Florida.  I live in the Ft. Myers area.

There are Jamesons all over the place.  I've stayed in them in Georgia in several locations.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 06, 2017, 04:42:02 am
Thank you for the suggestion. I'm not being selective about the hotel ... I've searched several red roof inns -- they are booked. I've searched for hours using various different websites, pet friendly hotel searches, etc., and I've searched all the way from Valdosta up into Alpharetta and surrounding areas.  Nothing is available.  They are booked.

How about Augusta, GA?  I found one on Gordon Highway with a couple of rooms left.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 06, 2017, 04:53:23 am
Or this website: 

https://www.bringfido.com/lodging/city/augusta_ga_us/?

You can plug in whichever city you are interested in.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 06, 2017, 04:56:36 am
Thank you for the suggestion. I'm not being selective about the hotel ... I've searched several red roof inns -- they are booked. I've searched for hours using various different websites, pet friendly hotel searches, etc., and I've searched all the way from Valdosta up into Alpharetta and surrounding areas.  Nothing is available.  They are booked.

I did it the easy way.  My son's girlfriends family has property in south Georgia.   Gonna meet them for the first time. Woo hooo
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 06, 2017, 10:09:04 am
Jameson Inn is in Lakeland?  Trying to get out of Florida.  I live in the Ft. Myers area.

Oh gosh @libertybele -  nothing in Georgia? Have you tried trivago? I've gotten some good deals with them. Try B and B's.

How about a bit further? I will confess geography is not my strong suit

I'm worried about you dear lady.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 06, 2017, 10:11:42 am
Aunt Irma can be a pain...
(https://i.redd.it/739x3j6dg4kz.jpg)
@Freya

I wasn't going to go there, even if I love the It Crows. @Suppressed

(And Father Ted who is done by the same people)

I'm really worried about Florida.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Silver Pines on September 06, 2017, 10:46:50 am
I'm in absolute panic mode now.  We put up hurricane shutters, took pictures of contents in the house, got paperwork together, etc., etc.  Spoke to a women who helped me make hotel reservations at a pet-friendly hotel only to find out later via e-mail confirmation that the dog can't be over 30 lbs (I told her he was)!!  I've been trying for the last 5 hours to find a pet-friendly hotel available.  Nothing.  Absolutely nothing.  So ... we're on a journey and praying that we don't get turned away.

Flights are booked, private charters are booked...RV rentals not available .... yep... panicville here.

Oh, @libertybele, I'm so sorry.  I'll be praying for you.  My God, I can't imagine you would be turned away in this situation because of your dog.   If somebody would do such a thing....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Silver Pines on September 06, 2017, 10:54:51 am
Thank you for the suggestion. I'm not being selective about the hotel ... I've searched several red roof inns -- they are booked. I've searched for hours using various different websites, pet friendly hotel searches, etc., and I've searched all the way from Valdosta up into Alpharetta and surrounding areas.  Nothing is available.  They are booked.

@libertybele

Have you tried Super 8?  They're clean, but they're extremely basic, like Red Roof Inn.  They can and do allow pets; the individual motel sets the policy.  Would post a link but I'm on my phone and it's probably quicker to just tell you about it.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 06, 2017, 10:57:53 am
Oh, @libertybele, I'm so sorry.  I'll be praying for you.  My God, I can't imagine you would be turned away in this situation because of your dog.   If somebody would do such a thing....

Oh now I understand and. I feel awful. Your pet is family you can't leave it behind!

Stupid hotels. Bite the bullet, do the humane thing. Let the animals come too.

I'm writing a letter to my congresswoman 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Silver Pines on September 06, 2017, 10:59:57 am
We're watching the early local news before my husband leaves for work.  Jonathan Falwell, brother of Jerry Jr. and pastor of Thomas Road Baptist Church, and his wife are trapped in the Caribbean.  They can't get a plane out.  Currently they're in a shelter with a few hundred other people.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Silver Pines on September 06, 2017, 11:02:37 am
Oh now I understand and. I feel awful. Your pet is family you can't leave it behind!

Stupid hotels. Bite the bullet, do the humane thing. Let the animals come too.

I'm writing a letter to my congresswoman

@Freya

If I were a hotel owner, I would be taking them all, from Great Danes to iguanas.  And if someone didn't like it, they could look elsewhere for shelter.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 06, 2017, 11:04:35 am
@Freya

If I were a hotel owner, I would be taking them all, from Great Danes to iguanas.  And if someone didn't like it, they could look elsewhere for shelter.

Now I understand why all those animals from Harvey and Katrina were at my shelter. It's breaking my heart, @CatherineofAragon 

It's a Sophie's choice for their owners.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Silver Pines on September 06, 2017, 11:11:56 am
Now I understand why all those animals from Harvey and Katrina were at my shelter. It's breaking my heart, @CatherineofAragon 

It's a Sophie's choice for their owners.

@Freya

It really is.  My mind doesn't like to think about it very much.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 06, 2017, 12:29:43 pm
@Freya

If I were a hotel owner, I would be taking them all, from Great Danes to iguanas.  And if someone didn't like it, they could look elsewhere for shelter.

But I can understand the hotel owners' point of view too.  It's not so much that other guests might not like having pets around. It's more of an insurance/liability matter.  Most of us, I think, are responsible for our pets, but unfortunately, there are those who arent.  The pets cause damage or maybe bite a guest.  A dog bite lawsuit, if successful, could put the hotel out of business. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Silver Pines on September 06, 2017, 12:43:29 pm
But I can understand the hotel owners' point of view too.  It's not so much that other guests might not like having pets around. It's more of an insurance/liability matter.  Most of us, I think, are responsible for our pets, but unfortunately, there are those who arent.  The pets cause damage or maybe bite a guest.  A dog bite lawsuit, if successful, could put the hotel out of business.

@Applewood

My brain understands that part...but I just can't imagine turning them away.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: cato potatoe on September 06, 2017, 12:47:42 pm
Find a pet boarder in the town near your hotel.  Or, sneak the dog through the fire exit.



Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 06, 2017, 01:50:50 pm
Thank you for the suggestion. I'm not being selective about the hotel ... I've searched several red roof inns -- they are booked. I've searched for hours using various different websites, pet friendly hotel searches, etc., and I've searched all the way from Valdosta up into Alpharetta and surrounding areas.  Nothing is available.  They are booked.

I've stayed at a bunch of Residence Inns (Marriott) with my dogs.  While some have had policies about size, they've never turned us away.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 06, 2017, 01:57:35 pm
Trump tweets his hurricane response team is in Florida for Irma

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/09/06/trump-hurricane-irma-response-242368
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 06, 2017, 02:02:12 pm
Latest good report from Weather.com


https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-united-states-hurricane-warning-puerto-rico-leeward-islands-0
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 06, 2017, 02:06:31 pm
http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/hurricane-irma-seismic-earthquakes/2017/09/05/id/811828/

Hurricane Irma So Strong It's Registering on Seismic Instruments
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 06, 2017, 02:24:17 pm
@libertybele
I would be shocked if they turned you away with this storm. The optics would not be good for them as pets are a hot button issue with hurricanes since Katrina.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 06, 2017, 02:45:25 pm
https://www.weatherbell.com/irma-feed


Irma Feed 3 hours ago

September 6, 2017

Joe Bastardi's Morning Update
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 06, 2017, 03:02:24 pm
https://www.weatherbell.com/irma-feed


Irma Feed 3 hours ago

September 6, 2017

Joe Bastardi's Morning Update

Thank you. I very much appreciate this update. Oh boy, our other plan was to maybe stay with family in NC, but that path looks more uncertain.  This is a tough one to get out of harm's way.  I'm praying that Irma continues on an easterly course and steers clear of hitting the U.S. coastline altogether.  GO AWAY IRMA!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 06, 2017, 03:06:20 pm
Thank you. I very much appreciate this update. Oh boy, our other plan was to maybe stay with family in NC, but that path looks more uncertain.  This is a tough one to get out of harm's way.  I'm praying that Irma continues on an easterly course and steers clear of hitting the U.S. coastline altogether.  GO AWAY IRMA!

As I discussed with my family this morning the important thing is to get somewhere you have options.  Sitting in southern Florida there are no options once the roads are full.  At least in northern fla or North Carolina there are multiple routes out of harms way if you need to leave
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 06, 2017, 03:32:05 pm
Thank you. I very much appreciate this update. Oh boy, our other plan was to maybe stay with family in NC, but that path looks more uncertain.  This is a tough one to get out of harm's way.  I'm praying that Irma continues on an easterly course and steers clear of hitting the U.S. coastline altogether.  GO AWAY IRMA!
I checked LaQuinta as far north as Macon GA for you, because we have found them to be good about pets (lab/husky cross stayed with us). No vacancies anywhere not on the coast, and I'd avoid that like the plague. I can work farther north if you want.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 06, 2017, 03:36:23 pm
Latest good report from Weather.com


https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-united-states-hurricane-warning-puerto-rico-leeward-islands-0

Some pretty amazing photos.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 06, 2017, 03:38:04 pm
@libertybele
I would be shocked if they turned you away with this storm. The optics would not be good for them as pets are a hot button issue with hurricanes since Katrina.


Thank goodness this is true.

@libertybele

Praying for you and yours.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 06, 2017, 03:42:52 pm
I checked LaQuinta as far north as Macon GA for you, because we have found them to be good about pets (lab/husky cross stayed with us). No vacancies anywhere not on the coast, and I'd avoid that like the plague. I can work farther north if you want.

That is so very kind of you and it is appreciated -- I've researched as far up north as Chatanooga and east and west of I-75 in Georgia.  We still have a reservation about 15 miles outside of Atlanta and we're bringing our pound puppy (Akita, Whippet, Boxer, Shepherd and Pug) with us along with his crate, food, leash, and his vet paperwork showing he's had all of his vacinations; he's about 50 lbs and I'm hoping they'll be flexible. I called the vet this a.m. and they are changing his paperwork just to say mixed breed.

11:00 advisory shows Irma again heading west northwest.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 04:14:43 pm
Some pretty amazing photos.


Nice Sang!   :0001: :0001:
New update...More than likely the storm will "skirt" the east coast of FL.  Less Likely now it will go into the gulf!    WoooHooo
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 06, 2017, 04:25:08 pm

Nice Sang!   :0001: :0001:
New update...More than likely the storm will "skirt" the east coast of FL.  Less Likely now it will go into the gulf!    WoooHooo

Prayers for the FL Briefers. We rarely see 185 , gust to 200 mph canes ever. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 06, 2017, 04:32:16 pm
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-64.47,19.90,1399
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 06, 2017, 05:00:05 pm
I noticed we have TS Jose and TS Katia out there, too.  Jose will be a Cat 3, and according to the models it's going to be fed to the fish as it's expected to turn away from land.  Katia is in the Western Gulf, but is expected to go West across Central America and end up in the Pacific.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 06, 2017, 05:03:18 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJDkPL3XoAIZYCy.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 06, 2017, 05:04:55 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJDkPL3XoAIZYCy.jpg)

Wow, so that map, if accurate, means a whole lot of wind and water over most of Florida.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: DCPatriot on September 06, 2017, 05:18:38 pm
(http://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJDkPL3XoAIZYCy.jpg)

Not any hurricane 'expert', but it looks to me the odds favor it being broken up as it skirts Cuba's northern coastline....and tumbles into the Gulf of Mexico as a Tropical Storm of biblical proportions.   Feeling bad for New Orleans and Texas coastlines.

....not an 'expert'.   :shrug:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 06, 2017, 05:26:44 pm
Not any hurricane 'expert', but it looks to me the odds favor it being broken up as it skirts Cuba's northern coastline....and tumbles into the Gulf of Mexico as a Tropical Storm of biblical proportions.   Feeling bad for New Orleans and Texas coastlines.

....not an 'expert'.   :shrug:

You have to include other weather system in predictions.  Not going to be a western gulf track.

(https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_11)

(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_ensmodel.gif)

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 06, 2017, 05:36:58 pm
Starting to look like a Floyd or a Matthew with its track up the east coast.  I gotta say if I were sitting on the west coast of FL right now I'd be sitting tight and not trying to get on the road out of town.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 06, 2017, 06:13:29 pm
Rush is talking about this now. He says Irma will likely hook right toward the Carolinas. But again, he emphasized that nobody knows for sure what it will do.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 06, 2017, 06:27:43 pm
(http://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJDkPL3XoAIZYCy.jpg)

Not any hurricane 'expert', but it looks to me the odds favor it being broken up as it skirts Cuba's northern coastline....and tumbles into the Gulf of Mexico as a Tropical Storm of biblical proportions.   Feeling bad for New Orleans and Texas coastlines.

....not an 'expert'.   :shrug:

To do any substantial damage to the storm, the eyewall needs to see some land interaction,  Still can happen, but seeiming less like;y now.

None of the major models has this thing anythng but a Fl, to east coast landfall.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 06, 2017, 06:27:48 pm
Starting to look like a Floyd or a Matthew with its track up the east coast.  I gotta say if I were sitting on the west coast of FL right now I'd be sitting tight and not trying to get on the road out of town.

If I were sitting on the west coast of FL right now I'd be tying a few last things down, headed out to pick up a new pump for the inflatable mattress, and moving the last few things that aren't in the truck near the door.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 06:52:31 pm
(http://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJDkPL3XoAIZYCy.jpg)

Not any hurricane 'expert', but it looks to me the odds favor it being broken up as it skirts Cuba's northern coastline....and tumbles into the Gulf of Mexico as a Tropical Storm of biblical proportions.   Feeling bad for New Orleans and Texas coastlines.

....not an 'expert'.   :shrug:

My 89 Y/O Puerto rican MIL has been predicting these thing correctly for decades. (Knock on wood)  She told the Honey Wing 2 days ago that if the storm crosses above PR and the Dominican Rep they almost always head up the Atlantic coast.  If they cross over top of PR and Cuba they will be in the Gulf.  If they stay below PR and Cuba nothing to worry about! 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Bigun on September 06, 2017, 06:55:00 pm
Wow, so that map, if accurate, means a whole lot of wind and water over most of Florida.

Yep.  But not nearly what it would be like on the dirty side!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 06:56:20 pm
Yep.  But not nearly what it would be like on the dirty side!

QFT!!!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 06, 2017, 06:58:33 pm
You have to include other weather system in predictions.  Not going to be a western gulf track.

And the models have been moving the track eastward recently, so the trend is for it to be more to the east side of the prediction cone.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 06, 2017, 07:00:34 pm
Yep.  But not nearly what it would be like on the dirty side!

Storm surge will be bad on this side though.  A little further away from the full moon would have been nice.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 07:40:21 pm
SC knows it is coming too!

South Carolina declares state of emergency, seeks federal disaster declaration for Hurricane Irma
By Andy Shain and Jam

COLUMBIA — Gov. Henry McMaster has declared a state of emergency Wednesday as Hurricane Irma lurches on a possible path through South Carolina.

McMaster said he plans to ask the White House for a federal disaster declaration later Wednesday to get aid to South Carolina faster if the now-Category 5 storm hits the Palmetto State. The governor told reporters that he is not concerned about getting federal resources despite ongoing disasters with post-Hurricane Harvey flooding in Texas and wildfires in California.

If Hurricane Irma strikes South Carolina, possibly as early as Sunday night, it would be roughly the power of Hurricane Hugo in 1989, a Category 4 storm that caused $6.5 billion in damage, killed 13 people and left 137,000 residents without power in the state.

http://www.postandcourier.com/hurricane-guide/south-carolina-declares-state-of-emergency-as-hurricane-irma-moves/article_b69c24da-931d-11e7-9bae-139da7220370.html
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 06, 2017, 07:48:00 pm
We can do the Innuendo
We can dance and sing
When it's said and done
We haven't told you a thing
We all know that Crap is King

But the hook brings you back...
I ain't tellin' you no lie
the hook brings you back
on that you can rely

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pdz5kCaCRFM
http://www.metrolyrics.com/hook-lyrics-blues-traveler.html?ModPagespeed=noscript
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 06, 2017, 07:55:28 pm
Storm surge will be bad on this side though.  A little further away from the full moon would have been nice.

Right now it's way too early to say that the western side of FL isn't going to take a direct hit. Even if it veers more to the east as you stated we will get storm surge and with winds that high and the storm covering the entire state; I think we will see significant catastrophic flooding.  Florida is surrounded by water.  Evacuations have already started south of me and on the east coast.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 06, 2017, 08:00:39 pm
And the models have been moving the track eastward recently, so the trend is for it to be more to the east side of the prediction cone.

It's a Cat 5 and 100 miles wide. Unless Irma shifts hard right all of  Florida is screwed.  My luck, she'll head back west.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 06, 2017, 08:13:48 pm
It's a Cat 5 and 100 miles wide. Unless Irma shifts hard right all of  Florida is screwed.  My luck, she'll head back west.

It's not Cat5 winds out that far.  I ain't saying we won't get a good blowin' but *if* it goes up the east coast Ft. Myers isn't going to be demolished by any means.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 06, 2017, 08:17:44 pm
Propane running low in Tampa.   No noticeable northbound traffic on Veterans (275 was backed up, but it always is around this time of day).

Went to Ace to refill a tank.  It was, of course, too old and they didn't have any new tanks.  Several people in line for propane.

Walmart had none for exchange (according to another customer who saw me looking at the cage).

Oh well, guess I'll have to make due with four tanks instead of five.

BTW, I've found that it is much cheaper to refill than exchange.  They both cost about the same, but with exchanges you get a tank that is at least 1/4 empty.  However, when I do need to exchange (tanks are good for 12 years, see the two digit date stamped on the handle -- though I think they MIGHT be able to remanufacture them once?) I get a much better deal from the exchange-only places.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 06, 2017, 08:59:38 pm
Right now it's way too early to say that the western side of FL isn't going to take a direct hit. Even if it veers more to the east as you stated we will get storm surge and with winds that high and the storm covering the entire state; I think we will see significant catastrophic flooding.  Florida is surrounded by water.  Evacuations have already started south of me and on the east coast.

My Naples family bailed yesterday.  Hopefully the routes out will stay open but once Miami Dade starts evac the roads will be terrible
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 06, 2017, 09:23:59 pm
SC knows it is coming too!

South Carolina declares state of emergency, seeks federal disaster declaration for Hurricane Irma
By Andy Shain and Jam

COLUMBIA — Gov. Henry McMaster has declared a state of emergency Wednesday as Hurricane Irma lurches on a possible path through South Carolina.

McMaster said he plans to ask the White House for a federal disaster declaration later Wednesday to get aid to South Carolina faster if the now-Category 5 storm hits the Palmetto State. The governor told reporters that he is not concerned about getting federal resources despite ongoing disasters with post-Hurricane Harvey flooding in Texas and wildfires in California.

If Hurricane Irma strikes South Carolina, possibly as early as Sunday night, it would be roughly the power of Hurricane Hugo in 1989, a Category 4 storm that caused $6.5 billion in damage, killed 13 people and left 137,000 residents without power in the state.

http://www.postandcourier.com/hurricane-guide/south-carolina-declares-state-of-emergency-as-hurricane-irma-moves/article_b69c24da-931d-11e7-9bae-139da7220370.html

Oh #*##*^I u

Rain rain go away....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 09:38:54 pm
It's not Cat5 winds out that far.  I ain't saying we won't get a good blowin' but *if* it goes up the east coast Ft. Myers isn't going to be demolished by any means.

Nor Tampa.  Ifing it keeps tracking  as is It will just be a a Jim Morrison event.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 06, 2017, 09:47:01 pm
(https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/09aa5d8500083d1692e2e25a542f0f9b6da767c8614eecb9921b716c2f3cee51.png?w=800&h=640)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 06, 2017, 10:10:13 pm
Nor Tampa.  Ifing it keeps tracking  as is It will just be a a Jim Morrison event.

As I remember it, Charley was headed right for Tampa, then suddenly and unexpectedly veered toward Port Charlotte.  Stuff happens.

I'm probably going to find a place near the intersection of I-75 and I-10 to hang out and watch and see what happens.  Not too far from home, but a heck of a lot more options if I do need to get the HOOD.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 10:15:04 pm
As I remember it, Charley was headed right for Tampa, then suddenly and unexpectedly veered toward Port Charlotte.  Stuff happens.

I'm probably going to find a place near the intersection of I-75 and I-10 to hang out and watch and see what happens.  Not too far from home, but a heck of a lot more options if I do need to get the HOOD.

This afternoon I was checking hotels for Monday and Tuesday nights  just across the boarder in Alabammy as a safety valve.  I had to go to go as far Bessemer to find a vacancy at your chain type roadside Bedbug for a night.   I said screw it.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 06, 2017, 10:41:19 pm
This afternoon I was checking hotels for Monday and Tuesday nights  just across the boarder in Alabammy as a safety valve.  I had to go to go as far Bessemer to find a vacancy at your chain type roadside Bedbug for a night.   I said screw it.
Just sleep in the pickup.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 06, 2017, 10:45:27 pm
This afternoon I was checking hotels for Monday and Tuesday nights  just across the boarder in Alabammy as a safety valve.  I had to go to go as far Bessemer to find a vacancy at your chain type roadside Bedbug for a night.   I said screw it.

Rule of thumb is if the danger is wind, batten it down.  If it's floods, get out.

Speaking of winds, Ron White:  Sure, you can stand up to 125 MPH winds, but how well can you stand up to a Buick being blown by 125 MPH winds?  Just make sure your windows are nailed shut, Wings.  You have a bit of a blow coming.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 10:55:45 pm
Just sleep in the pickup.

The Cab or in the Bed?  :shrug:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 06, 2017, 10:57:40 pm
The Cab or in the Bed?  :shrug:
Depends on the weather...and the neighborhood. It's why I take the van when I travel. I can always crash in the back, even if I have to move the load around.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 06, 2017, 10:58:06 pm
live coverage from CNN/


(CNN)Reports of fatalities and widespread damage in northern Caribbean islands began to emerge Wednesday night after Hurricane Irma barreled through, packing devastating winds and rain.

At least two people have died and two others were seriously injured in St. Barts and St. Martin, said French Overseas Affairs Minister Annick Girardin. At least one death was reported in Barbuda, according to ABS TV Antigua. Charles Fernandez, minister of foreign affairs and international trade for Antigua and Barbuda, told ABS that destruction on Barbuda was "upwards of 90%."

Irma destroyed government buildings, tore roofs from houses and left northern Caribbean islands without power or communications.

Antigua, Barbuda, St. Martin/St. Maarten and St. Barts have felt the fury of the Category 5 storm, one of the strongest ever recorded in the Atlantic, according to updates from the region.

French Interior Minister Gérard Collomb said the prefecture, police department, barracks -- some of the strongest buildings on the island of 75,000 people -- had been destroyed, boding ill for weaker structures on St. Martin.

"In terms of material damage, the four strongest buildings on the island of St. Martin have been destroyed, which means that the oldest buildings have undoubtedly been totally or partially destroyed," he told reporters.

The firehouse in St. Barts is under a meter of water and is out of service, according to an update posted to Twitter by the local government of the neighboring French territory, Guadeloupe.

"Firefighters have taken shelter in an upstairs room. A number of houses have suffered damage, roofs have been ripped out. Total loss of electricity," it said.

The mayor's office in St. Martin has been partially destroyed, the update from Guadeloupe said, and the mayor and 23 others took shelter in a concrete-walled room.

The island has been without electricity since 6 a.m. local time, it said. St. Martin and St. Barts are French overseas collectivities.

Virginia Barreras told CNN she was riding out the storm in a hotel in St. Martin.

"The palm trees are bent over and (I) can't see anything but white," she said early Wednesday, before Irma's core passed over the island. "The walls shake when the wind blows hard, and we can hear debris being thrown around."

Footage posted to YouTube by PTZtv.com from Maho Beach, St. Maarten, showed winds so powerful they reportedly took out the webcam filming the scene.

Fallen trees, flash flooding


Irma's core, with maximum sustained winds of 185 mph -- well above the 157 mph threshold of a Category 5 -- slammed Barbuda early Wednesday before hitting St. Martin and Anguilla.

Keithley Meade, director of the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services, said the extent of the destruction on Barbuda was hard to determine as communications were completely down.

"Barbuda was heavily damaged by Irma. So badly damaged that there is no communication, so we don't know how much. There has been no communication with the island," he said.
[/color]
The islands are experiencing heavy rain at present, and flash flooding is expected, Meade said. Authorities will go out later to assess the damage and send crews to clear a large number of fallen trees, he said.

A later statement from the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services said there had been no reports so far of deaths and that "the preliminary report is indicating that damage across Antigua and Barbuda is minimal."

Before communications went down about 12:30 a.m. local time, it said, "the Barbuda Weather Station, monitored by the Met Office, recorded sustained winds of 119 mph and gusts of 150 mph." The gusts were as high as 154 mph before the measuring instrument broke.

After slamming St. Martin, Anguilla and St. Kitts and Nevis, the storm was expected to move near the British Virgin Islands and northern US Virgin Islands.

The storm's center is then expected to pass near or just north of Puerto Rico on Wednesday afternoon or night.

Forecasters warn that Irma's likely path will be near the Turks and Caicos Islands on Thursday and the southeastern Bahamas on Friday -- and that the destruction could be devastating.

In the Bahamas, emergency evacuations have been ordered for six southern islands -- Mayaguana, Inagua, Crooked Island, Acklins, Long Cay and Ragged Island.

CNN's Bijan Hosseini and Matou Diop contributed to this report.

http://www.cnn.com/2017/09/06/americas/hurricane-irma-caribbean-islands/index.html[/color]

[attachment deleted by admin]
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 06, 2017, 11:16:35 pm
Nor Tampa.  Ifing it keeps tracking  as is It will just be a a Jim Morrison event.

Right.  Even here just west of Orlando I ain't too concerned.  Hurricane force winds, that means 74 mph min., are ranging up to 50 miles from the center.  We're about 50 miles from the coast, as the crow flies, so *if* it travels along the east coast we'll barely see hurricane strength winds.  The west coast, another 50 miles away will probably barely get tropical storm winds.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 06, 2017, 11:17:40 pm
It's not Cat5 winds out that far.  I ain't saying we won't get a good blowin' but *if* it goes up the east coast Ft. Myers isn't going to be demolished by any means.

The latest prediction is that Irma will head more to the east and west of Okachobee will see lots of rain, tropical storm winds and minimal storm surge.  That path is reliant on the winds turning Irma sharply towards the north east.  If she doesn't take that turn, then we could be in big trouble. After getting hit by Charley I'm hesitant to assume we're out of the woods; Charley took a turn at the very last minute and his path was unexpected and caught a lot of people off guard. Too early yet to breathe a sigh of relief.  Also some are projecting that as it enters the area that it is supposed to make a turn to the east it has a chance for more strengthening.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 06, 2017, 11:22:17 pm
Send some rain up here to put out some of these fires.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 06, 2017, 11:40:15 pm
The latest prediction is that Irma will head more to the east and west of Okachobee will see lots of rain, tropical storm winds and minimal storm surge.  That path is reliant on the winds turning Irma sharply towards the north east.  If she doesn't take that turn, then we could be in big trouble. After getting hit by Charley I'm hesitant to assume we're out of the woods; Charley took a turn at the very last minute and his path was unexpected and caught a lot of people off guard. Too early yet to breathe a sigh of relief.  Also some are projecting that as it enters the area that it is supposed to make a turn to the east it has a chance for more strengthening.

Strong westerly steering currents in the Gulf and another low pressure/cold front dropping down from the Dakota's will preclude any left turn back west across florida ala Charlie.   This Bad girl just needs to act like a bitch and slap Miami and head back north in the Atlantic.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: LadyLiberty on September 07, 2017, 01:10:22 am
@libertybele Is it possible to get a hotel room and find a nearby vet with boarding facilities?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: GtHawk on September 07, 2017, 01:38:09 am
Strong westerly steering currents in the Gulf and another low pressure/cold front dropping down from the Dakota's will preclude any left turn back west across florida ala Charlie.   This Bad girl just needs to act like a bitch and slap Miami and head back north in the Atlantic.
Just a little Miami Vice, huh?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 07, 2017, 02:13:08 am
Just a little Miami Vice, huh?

Put Crockett and Tubbs on the job! 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 07, 2017, 02:58:01 am
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2017/sep/06/hurricane-irma-caribbean-islands-category-5-storm

Prime Minister Browne of Antigua and Barbuda reports during press conference that more than 90% of structures on the island of Barbuda were destroyed. Over a shaky radio line Browne repeated the phrase “totally demolished” over and over again.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 07, 2017, 03:00:12 am
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2017/sep/06/hurricane-irma-caribbean-islands-category-5-storm

Prime Minister Browne of Antigua and Barbuda reports during press conference that more than 90% of structures on the island of Barbuda were destroyed. Over a shaky radio line Browne repeated the phrase “totally demolished” over and over again.
Almost sounds like the Prime Minister is in shock. Prayers up for all involved.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 07, 2017, 03:06:53 am
You can tell Antigua and Barbuda aren't Virgin Islands because they got really
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 07, 2017, 03:08:23 am
@libertybele Is it possible to get a hotel room and find a nearby vet with boarding facilities?

Yes, I had thought about that.  I went and got of shots and rabies certificate today from the vet just in case we need to board the dog.  But I hadn't thought about that till late last night.  :shrug:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 07, 2017, 03:14:40 am
I'm still not sure as to why they have this thing hitting the east coast, when the reports keep saying it is heading westerly -  not good at all. 

From NHC --Irma continues on a west-northwestward heading at around 14 kt.  A
ridge of high pressure over the western Atlantic should maintain
this course for the next 48 to 72 hours.  Later in the forecast
period a shortwave trough moving into the southeastern United
States is likely to turn the hurricane northwestward to
north-northwestward.  There has been a slight eastward shift in
some of the track guidance models, but since the models could shift
back to the west it is prudent to make little change to the
official forecast at this time. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 07, 2017, 03:26:33 am
I'm still not sure as to why they have this thing hitting the east coast, when the reports keep saying it is heading westerly -  not good at all. 

It's currently headed westerly, but all of the models except one oddball outlier have it making the typical right-hand turn and going up the east coast of Florida as the most likely path.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Elderberry on September 07, 2017, 11:36:30 am
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL112017_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34+png/102752_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34.png)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: DCPatriot on September 07, 2017, 11:49:27 am
If this is supposed to be a hurricane with historical, record-breaking wind speeds, etc., why does the consensus have the Western front being strong enough to turn this Beast Northward?

My bet is that it's going to make it past Florida's tip and affect the Gulf Coast.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 07, 2017, 11:57:26 am
If this is supposed to be a hurricane with historical, record-breaking wind speeds, etc., why does the consensus have the Western front being strong enough to turn this Beast Northward?

My bet is that it's going to make it past Florida's tip and affect the Gulf Coast.

Storm strength is not related to storm steering currents and other weather fronts.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 07, 2017, 12:27:32 pm
If this is supposed to be a hurricane with historical, record-breaking wind speeds, etc., why does the consensus have the Western front being strong enough to turn this Beast Northward?

My bet is that it's going to make it past Florida's tip and affect the Gulf Coast.

Some good charts/maps and explanations at:

Science > Hurricane Science > Hurricane Movement
http://www.hurricanescience.org/science/science/hurricanemovement/

...In addition to the steering flow by the environmental wind, a hurricane drifts northwestward (in the Northern Hemisphere) due to a process called beta drift, which arises because the strength of the Coriolis force increases with latitude for a given wind speed. The details of beta drift are beyond the scope of the discussion here, but the effect is summarized in the following graphic. Since beta drift involves a hurricane’s ability to modify the environmental wind field, the impact of beta drift on the hurricane’s track changes if the hurricane’s size changes....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 07, 2017, 12:28:29 pm
My best friend just called me. She, and her husband and my godson are packing their car, making bug out bags and leaving after lunch. She said they will be driving about 500 miles to get away from Irma.

They have a SUV that has some kind of DVD player installed so the boy will be fine. She hopes their house will be there when they come home. They just moved in it the middle of July.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 07, 2017, 12:31:58 pm
My best friend just called me. She, and her husband and my godson are packing their car, making bug out bags and leaving after lunch. She said they will be driving about 500 miles to get away from Irma.

They have a SUV that has some kind of DVD player installed so the boy will be fine. She hopes their house will be there when they come home. They just moved in it the middle of July.

Prayers for your best friend and family and for anyone in the path of this monster.  Important thing is that your friend and family are getting out.  A house and any other possessions can be replaced, but you can't replace a life.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 07, 2017, 12:35:32 pm
Prayers for your best friend and family and for anyone in the path of this monster.  Important thing is that your friend and family are getting out.  A house and any other possessions can be replaced, but you can't replace a life.

Exactly. And I love my godson so much. He's the closest thing to a child I have, I'm honored he's in my life.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: cato potatoe on September 07, 2017, 12:39:00 pm
These Cape Verde storms normally weaken as they encounter shear at the big right turn.  So, there's hope for that.  And the models usually trend farther and farther east as landfall approaches.  Irma might avoid Florida, beeline to NC as a cat 1 or 2, and make a slight left turn around the upper low after landfall.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 07, 2017, 12:54:56 pm
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL112017_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34+png/102752_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34.png)

Some good news ... based on this map we can expect DC to be closed next week.   ^-^ 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: libertybele on September 07, 2017, 01:07:52 pm
What is bothersome is the actual reports coming out of the NHC vs.  the graphics of the cones and wind speeds they are posting.  The forecasters are not in agreement. During Charley they were ALL wrong. Some still say the west coast of FL will get the direct hit, others say the east.  Then they sum it up by saying to consider the margin of error of 225 miles on day 5.  Seriously??  Florida is only 160 miles wide at its broadest point.  So in other words they don't really have a clue.

..."The UKMET, UK Ensemble mean, and the NAVGEM are the
models showing the latest turn, and they forecast Irma to move into
the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and near the west coast of the
Florida Peninsula.  The ECMWF and ECMWF Ensemble mean are in the
middle of the model pack and show Irma moving over the southeastern
portion of the Florida Peninsula.  The GFS, Canadian, and GFS
Ensemble mean show the earliest turn and show Irma moving east of
the coast of Florida toward the southeastern United States.  The
new forecast track will best follow the ECMWF, as well as the
Florida State Superensemble and the HFIP Corrected Consensus, and
it calls for the center to move over portions of the southeastern
Florida Peninsula between 72-96 h and then across the Atlantic into
southern South Carolina by 120 h.   Users are again reminded not to
focus on the exact track since the average NHC track errors at days
3, 4, and 5 are about 120, 175, and 225 miles, respectively.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 07, 2017, 01:13:36 pm
Then they sum it up by saying to consider the margin of error of 225 miles on day 5.

Margin of error for day 4 & 5 is nearly always 175~225 miles for any hurricane.  This isn't an precisely controlled environment.  This isn't different with this storm. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 07, 2017, 01:19:10 pm
Quote
3 hurricanes are spinning simultaneously through the Atlantic
NY Post, Sep 7, 2017

(https://thenypost.files.wordpress.com/2017/09/hurricanes_three_148488238.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=664&h=441&crop=1)
This image obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration shows Hurricane Irma (center), Hurricane Jose (right) and Hurricane Katia (left) off the coast of Mexico. NOAA


More:  http://nypost.com/2017/09/07/3-hurricanes-are-spinning-simultaneously-through-the-atlantic/

Heads up:  Don't throw out the plywood or unpack the van, just yet.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Oceander on September 07, 2017, 01:37:12 pm
If this is supposed to be a hurricane with historical, record-breaking wind speeds, etc., why does the consensus have the Western front being strong enough to turn this Beast Northward?

My bet is that it's going to make it past Florida's tip and affect the Gulf Coast.

Rotational wind speed versus linear wind speed. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 07, 2017, 01:45:18 pm
On the positive side, (and I don't want to get peoples hopes up, or complacent) is that I am seeing  from the models and forecasts that this thing is trending eastward.  That would be bad news NC wise, but a much less population would impacted.

Truth is, and always has been, that forecasts past 3 days are iffy at best under any circumstance.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 07, 2017, 01:46:04 pm
https://www.newsmax.com/Headline/florida-flood-insurance/2017/09/07/id/812122/

Most Florida Flood Zone Property Not Insured
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 07, 2017, 02:04:02 pm
Richard Branson’s Virgin Islands’ home destroyed by Hurricane Irma
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/richard-bransons-virgin-islands-home-destroyed-by-hurricane-irma-2017-09-07?siteid=rss&rss=1
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 07, 2017, 02:12:16 pm
On the positive side, (and I don't want to get peoples hopes up, or complacent) is that I am seeing  from the models and forecasts that this thing is trending eastward.  That would be bad news NC wise, but a much less population would impacted.

Truth is, and always has been, that forecasts past 3 days are iffy at best under any circumstance.

I don't know who lives where on the site. TOS had a page that listed where members lived. I wish Irma would go out to sea where all she would affect are fish..
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: debrawiest on September 07, 2017, 02:12:34 pm
Richard Branson’s Virgin Islands’ home destroyed by Hurricane Irma
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/richard-bransons-virgin-islands-home-destroyed-by-hurricane-irma-2017-09-07?siteid=rss&rss=1

“Homes can be rebuilt but lives can’t,” he wrote. “Nature warning us again of the impact of #climatechange. We must all do more to combat this.”

 *****rollingeyes***** *****rollingeyes***** *****rollingeyes*****
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 07, 2017, 02:15:17 pm
“Homes can be rebuilt but lives can’t,” he wrote. “Nature warning us again of the impact of #climatechange. We must all do more to combat this.”

 *****rollingeyes***** *****rollingeyes***** *****rollingeyes*****

Branson=Dumbass.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 07, 2017, 02:16:13 pm
“Homes can be rebuilt but lives can’t,” he wrote. “Nature warning us again of the impact of #climatechange. We must all do more to combat this.”

 *****rollingeyes***** *****rollingeyes***** *****rollingeyes*****

I wonder what he would have us do?  Stop flying? 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 07, 2017, 02:46:52 pm
“Homes can be rebuilt but lives can’t,” he wrote. “Nature warning us again of the impact of #climatechange. We must all do more to combat this.”

 *****rollingeyes***** *****rollingeyes***** *****rollingeyes*****

Every time there is a weather event, someone has to bring up the climate change hoax.  We have had some relatively quiet hurricane seasons.  Now we might be in one that isn't so quiet.  It's weather, people, and it changes all the time.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 07, 2017, 02:47:02 pm
I wonder what he would have us do?  Stop flying?

Yes. Stop flying. I did. Now I float like a butterfly.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 07, 2017, 02:47:55 pm
Yes. Stop flying. I did. Now I float like a butterfly.

And sting like a bee? 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: endicom on September 07, 2017, 02:54:15 pm
"You're also talking about 2 of the most flood-prone cities in the U.S. - Miami & Charleston. Both flood during full moons let alone storms"

https://twitter.com/ericfisher
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: cato potatoe on September 07, 2017, 03:13:11 pm
Models are now showing a distinctive left turn around the upper level low at 30 degrees north.  It's becoming harder to believe this will not make landfall somewhere from Savannah to Cape Fear, even if SE Florida manages a narrow escape.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 07, 2017, 03:21:07 pm
"You're also talking about 2 of the most flood-prone cities in the U.S. - Miami & Charleston. Both flood during full moons let alone storms"

https://twitter.com/ericfisher
Full moon and New moon bring 'spring tides', the most extreme tides. Add a storm surge to a badly timed high tide and it gets really messy.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 07, 2017, 03:31:06 pm
Full moon and New moon bring 'spring tides', the most extreme tides. Add a storm surge to a badly timed high tide and it gets really messy.

It will be closer to Last Quarter than to Full by the time it hits the mainland, wherever that is.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 07, 2017, 03:33:48 pm
It will be closer to Last Quarter than to Full by the time it hits the mainland, wherever that is.
That will help, at least on the mainland.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 07, 2017, 04:17:39 pm
Joe Bastardi's Daily Update
https://www.weatherbell.com/irma-feed
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 07, 2017, 05:59:35 pm
What an excellent presentation:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XwW6ZWaQ4bs
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 07, 2017, 06:12:29 pm
Thanks Suppressed it was a good presentation..easy to follow without all the weather lingo..lol
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 08, 2017, 01:15:45 am
Hoping this isn't too late ... with a note to include any prescription drugs ...ESPECIALLY those scheduled for refill during the next week or requiring refrigeration (get a cooler and ice packs). 


(https://i.pinimg.com/736x/23/0a/0b/230a0b52c3583f2e37669b6c49d6b285--homestead-survival-camping-survival.jpg)






Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 08, 2017, 01:19:59 am
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas-forecast

It's not looking good right now guys. Unless this thing takes a hard starboard turn in the next 24 hours, it looks like the current trajectory puts it right on Florida, like a bullseye. I hope something happens soon that turns it north.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 08, 2017, 01:26:09 am
Joe Bastardi will be on Sean's show at 9pm central
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 08, 2017, 01:30:17 am
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas-forecast

It's not looking good right now guys. Unless this thing takes a hard starboard turn in the next 24 hours, it looks like the current trajectory puts it right on Florida, like a bullseye. I hope something happens soon that turns it north.

The story mentions a possible hit to Jupiter inlet.  I have a cousin and his wife in Jupiter.  We have been estranged for years, but I still hope they got out. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 08, 2017, 01:32:14 am
Hoping this isn't too late ... with a note to include any prescription drugs ...ESPECIALLY those scheduled for refill during the next week or requiring refrigeration (get a cooler and ice packs). 


(https://i.pinimg.com/736x/23/0a/0b/230a0b52c3583f2e37669b6c49d6b285--homestead-survival-camping-survival.jpg)

And......



[attachment deleted by admin]
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 01:32:46 am
I grew up in Jupiter and my mom still lives just north in Tequesta.  She's got shutters on all her windows, but she's only about 1/2 mile from the intracoastal.  She says she isn't leaving.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 08, 2017, 01:35:03 am
I grew up in Jupiter and my mom still lives just north in Tequesta.  She's got shutters on all her windows, but she's only about 1/2 mile from the intracoastal.  She says she isn't leaving.

She's got spunk! 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: goodwithagun on September 08, 2017, 01:35:27 am
What an excellent presentation:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XwW6ZWaQ4bs

That was really well done!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 01:36:49 am
She's got spunk!

LOL.  I think she's too annoyed with the traffic to get in it and come stay with us.  But you've probably been through enough hurricanes now to know that if you leave the hurricane ain't coming to your house.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 08, 2017, 01:46:11 am
LOL.  I think she's too annoyed with the traffic to get in it and come stay with us.  But you've probably been through enough hurricanes now to know that if you leave the hurricane ain't coming to your house.

I was told by friends it took like 14 hours to get from Tampa to Tallahassee today.  WTF is that all about?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 01:47:07 am
I was told by friends it took like 14 hours to get from Tampa to Tallahassee today.  WTF is that all about?

Yep, she won't leave cause her friends told her it took 8 hours to get from Jupiter to Jax.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: endicom on September 08, 2017, 02:03:27 am
What an excellent presentation:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XwW6ZWaQ4bs


Yes.


Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 08, 2017, 09:21:24 am
Thanks Suppressed it was a good presentation..easy to follow without all the weather lingo..lol

@mystery-ak

Here's an update by him on the three hurricanes:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jq2lTcBVzwk

His station in Mobile, Alabama (WKRG (http://wkrg.com/)), just gave him this trophy, after he's gotten so much attention online from his great broadcasts:

(https://i.redd.it/1g9w2p215jkz.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 08, 2017, 09:56:12 am
The forecasters are now saying that it will hit Florida directly and head-on. The entire State will be affected.


https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas-forecast
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 08, 2017, 10:24:27 am
The forecasters are now saying that it will hit Florida directly and head-on. The entire State will be affected.


https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas-forecast

Oh dear- prayers aren't enough. I don't know what to say. You all are in my thoughts. Know that...I'm so dang sorry.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: guitar4jesus on September 08, 2017, 10:34:32 am
The forecasters are now saying that it will hit Florida directly and head-on. The entire State will be affected.


https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas-forecast

I'm sure it will be quite a ride.  Can't wait until it's over.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 08, 2017, 01:35:08 pm
Letter on the hurricane of August 1772
by Alexander Hamilton   

This was written by Hamilton to his father in the American colonies. He showed it to a local reverend, who got it published in a local newspaper. The vivid descriptions so moved people that they started a fund to move Hamilton to New York to get a proper education, thus this letter greatly shaped early American history. This version is taken from A few of Hamilton's letters: including his description of the great West Indian hurricane of 1772 (The Macmillan Company, 1903), pp. 261ff. Other versions vary somewhat in wording.
https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Letter_by_Alexander_Hamilton_on_the_hurricane_of_August_1772



Quote
Saint Croix, September 6, 1772


Honoured Sir,

I take up my pen just to give you an imperfect account of the most dreadful hurricane that memory or any records whatever can trace, which happened here on the 31st ultimo at night.

It began about dusk, at North, and raged very violently till ten o'clock. Then ensued a sudden and unexpected interval, which lasted about an hour. Meanwhile the wind was shifting round to the South West point, from whence it returned with redoubled fury and continued so till near three o'clock in the morning. Good God! what horror and destruction—it's impossible for me to describe—or you to form any idea of it. It seemed as if a total dissolution of nature was taking place. The roaring of the sea and wind—fiery meteors flying about in the air—the prodigious glare of almost perpetual lightning—the crash of the falling houses—and the ear-piercing shrieks of the distressed, were sufficient to strike astonishment into Angels. A great part of the buildings throughout the Island are levelled to the ground—almost all the rest very much shattered—several persons killed and numbers utterly ruined—whole families running about the streets unknowing where to find a place of shelter—the sick exposed to the keenness of water and air—without a bed to lie upon—or a dry covering to their bodies—our harbour is entirely bare. In a word, misery in all its most hideous shapes spread over the whole face of the country.— A strong smell of gunpowder added somewhat to the terrors of the night; and it was observed that the rain was surprisingly salt. Indeed, the water is so brackish and full of sulphur that there is hardly any drinking it.

My reflections and feelings on this frightful and melancholy occasion are set forth in following self-discourse.

Where now, Oh! vile worm, is all thy boasted fortitude and resolution? what is become of thy arrogance and self-sufficiency?—why dost thou tremble and stand aghast? how humble—how helpless—how contemptible you now appear. And for why? the jarring of the elements—the discord of clouds? Oh, impotent presumptuous fool! how darest thou offend that omnipotence, whose nod alone were sufficient to quell the destruction that hovers over thee, or crush thee into atoms? See thy wretched helpless state and learn to know thyself. Learn to know thy best support. Despise thyself and adore thy God. How sweet—how unutterably sweet were now the voice of an approving conscience;—then couldst thou say—hence ye idle alarms—why do I shrink? What have I to fear? A pleasing calm suspense! a short repose from calamity to end in eternal bliss?—let the earth rend, let the planets forsake their course—let the sun be extinguished, and the heavens burst asunder—yet what have I to dread? my staff can never be broken—in omnipotence I trust.

He who gave the winds to blow and the lightnings to rage—even him I have always loved and served—his precepts have I observed—his commandments have I obeyed—and his perfections have I adored.—He will snatch me from ruin—he will exalt me to the fellowship of Angels and Seraphs, and to the fulness of never ending joys.

But alas! how different, how deplorable—how gloomy the prospect—death comes rushing on in triumph veiled in a mantle of ten-fold darkness. His unrelenting scythe, pointed and ready for the stroke.—On his right hand sits destruction, hurling the winds and belching forth flames;—calamity on his left threatening famine, disease, distress of all kinds.—And Oh! thou wretch, look still a little further; see the gulf of eternal mystery open—there mayest thou shortly plunge — the just reward of thy vileness.—Alas! whither canst thou fly? where hide thyself? thou canst not call upon thy God;—thy life has been a continual warfare with him.

Hark! ruin and confusion on every side.—Tis thy turn next: but one short moment—even now—Oh Lord help—Jesus be merciful!

Thus did I reflect, and thus at every gust of the wind did I conclude,—till it pleased the Almighty to allay it.—Nor did my emotions proceed either from the suggestion of too much natural fear, or a conscience overburdened with crimes of an uncommon cast.—I thank God this was not the case. The scenes of horror exhibited around us, naturally awakened such ideas in every thinking breast, and aggravated the deformity of every failing of our lives. It were a lamentable insensibility indeed, not to have had such feelings,—and I think inconsistent with human nature.

Our distressed helpless condition taught us humility and a contempt of ourselves.—The horrors of the night—the prospect of an immediate cruel death—or, as one may say, of being crushed by the Almighty in his anger—filled us with terror. And everything that had tended to weaken our interest with Him, upbraided us, in the strongest colours, with our baseness and folly.—That which, in a calm unruffled temper, we call a natural cause, seemed then like the correction of the Deity.—Our imagination represented him as an incensed master, executing vengeance on the crimes of his servants.—The father and benefactor were forgot, and in that view, a consciousness of our guilt filled us with despair.

But see, the Lord relents—he hears our prayers—the Lightning ceases—the winds are appeased—the warring elements are reconciled, and all things promise peace.—The darkness is dispelled—and drooping nature revives at the approaching dawn. Look back, Oh, my soul—look back and tremble.—Rejoice at thy deliverance, and humble thyself in the presence of thy deliverer.

Yet hold, Oh, vain mortal!—check thy ill-timed joy. Art thou so selfish as to exult because thy lot is happy in a season of universal woe?—Hast thou no feelings for the miseries of thy fellow-creatures, and art thou incapable of the soft pangs of sympathetic sorrow?—Look around thee and shudder at the view.—See desolation and ruin wherever thou turnest thine eye. See thy fellow-creatures pale and lifeless; their bodies mangled—their souls snatched into eternity—unexpecting—alas! perhaps unprepared!—Hark the bitter groans of distress—see sickness and infirmities exposed to the inclemencies of wind and water—see tender infancy pinched with hunger and hanging to the mother's knee for food!—see the unhappy mother's anxiety—her poverty denies relief—her breast heaves with pangs of maternal pity—her heart is bursting—the tears gush down her cheeks—Oh sights of woe! Oh distress unspeakable!—my heart bleeds—but I have no power to solace!—Oh ye, who revel in affluence, see the afflictions of humanity, and bestow your superfluity to ease them.—Say not, we have suffered also, and with-hold your compassion. What are your sufferings compared to these? Ye have still more than enough left.—Act wisely.—Succour the miserable and lay up a treasure in Heaven.

I am afraid, sir, you will think this description more the effort of imagination, than a true picture of realities. But I can affirm with the greatest truth, that there is not a single circumstance touched upon which I have not absolutely been an eye-witness to.

Our General has several very salutary and human regulations, and both in his public and private measures has shown himself the man.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 08, 2017, 02:58:44 pm
https://www.weatherbell.com/irma-feed

 September 8, 2017

Daily Update from Joe Bastardi
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 08, 2017, 03:31:16 pm
https://www.weatherbell.com/irma-feed

 September 8, 2017

Daily Update from Joe Bastardi

Jose just became a catagory 4

http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/09/hurricanes_jose_and_katia_both_1.html


Don't know if we need a separate thread for Jose at this time
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 08, 2017, 03:38:01 pm
Jose just became a catagory 4

http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/09/hurricanes_jose_and_katia_both_1.html


Don't know if we need a separate thread for Jose at this time
Not just yet, for Jose, I don't think. There are other fish to fry for the moment. Katia is a Cat 2, but looks to be heading to Mexico. Irma and Jose are at Cat 4.

Did Karl Rove sell his evil weather machine to the Democrats on eBay or something? The Russians?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 08, 2017, 03:38:18 pm
3 storms at the same time, plus Harvey last week.  God must be extremely angry at us. 

By the way, I agree with Bastardi about the "spaghetti" models.  Confusing and annoying.  Like him, the only spaghetti I want is in a plate with red sauce and meatballs.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 08, 2017, 03:45:42 pm
3 storms at the same time, plus Harvey last week.  God must be extremely angry at us. 


Yep. The Leftist are saying that God is angry at America for electing Trump...except...Leftists don't believe in God. Therefore, they are saying that Mother Nature, or their God Gaia, is angry at America for electing Trump.


Who knew Mother Nature was a Democrat? Oh well, live and learn, I guess?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 08, 2017, 03:48:49 pm

Yep. The Leftist are saying that God is angry at America for electing Trump...except...Leftists don't believe in God. Therefore, they are saying that Mother Nature, or their God Gaia, is angry at America for electing Trump.


Who knew Mother Nature was a Democrat? Oh well, live and learn, I guess?

It's not nice to fool Mother Nature.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 08, 2017, 03:58:37 pm
3 storms at the same time, plus Harvey last week.  God must be extremely angry at us. 

By the way, I agree with Bastardi about the "spaghetti" models.  Confusing and annoying.  Like him, the only spaghetti I want is in a plate with red sauce and meatballs.

http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,280335.0.html

Hurricane scientists have never seen an image like this before
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 08, 2017, 04:02:13 pm
http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,280335.0.html

Hurricane scientists have never seen an image like this before

Yep.  Saw that.  Scary as hell.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 08, 2017, 04:17:49 pm
http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,280335.0.html

Hurricane scientists have never seen an image like this before

That's interesting.  Within two posts on that link, a picture was shown of the same thing in 2010.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 08, 2017, 04:29:56 pm
That's interesting.  Within two posts on that link, a picture was shown of the same thing in 2010.

What is the average career length of a meteorologist? Probably not that much considering their accuracy. After being so consistently wrong, day after day,  how long does it take before you are finding a new career?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 08, 2017, 04:34:34 pm
What is the average career length of a meteorologist? Probably not that much considering their accuracy. After being so consistently wrong, day after day,  how long does it take before you are finding a new career?

But people are lazy and who remembers that Joe Blow said that ____ would happen in ____ and it didn't?  Except for a few very high profile types, we just don't keep track of their accuracy.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 08, 2017, 04:50:59 pm
How about some Hurricane Sign Language dudes?

http://i.imgur.com/R9WyapU.mp4


http://i.imgur.com/pdx84lI.mp4
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 08, 2017, 05:12:40 pm
What is the average career length of a meteorologist? Probably not that much considering their accuracy. After being so consistently wrong, day after day,  how long does it take before you are finding a new career?

Ask that question of an Economist.  I think their accuracy rate is lower than Meteorologists.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 08, 2017, 05:17:24 pm

Interesting stuff.


How Do Hurricanes Get Their Names?
By Sarah B. Puschmann, Staff Writer | September 8, 2017 10:12am ET

https://www.livescience.com/60340-how-are-hurricanes-named.html



Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 08, 2017, 05:31:07 pm
https://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2017/09/photos-from-saint-martin-after-hurricane-irma/539103/
Photos of the Devastation Across Saint Martin Left by Hurricane Irma
(https://cdn.theatlantic.com/assets/media/img/photo/2017/09/photos-from-saint-martin-after-hurr/i01_843743696/main_1200.jpg?1504806277)

many photos at link
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 08, 2017, 05:39:27 pm
https://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2017/09/photos-from-saint-martin-after-hurricane-irma/539103/
Photos of the Devastation Across Saint Martin Left by Hurricane Irma
(https://cdn.theatlantic.com/assets/media/img/photo/2017/09/photos-from-saint-martin-after-hurr/i01_843743696/main_1200.jpg?1504806277)

many photos at link

The libs will love this....Bastiat's broken windows!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 08, 2017, 05:42:33 pm
Thanks for the link....What a mess.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 05:56:15 pm
https://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2017/09/photos-from-saint-martin-after-hurricane-irma/539103/
Photos of the Devastation Across Saint Martin Left by Hurricane Irma

many photos at link

I have to say that most of the buildings look better than I expected.  I know there's a lot of material loss there, but jeez, a direct hit from that monster of a storm and only 8 deaths seems like a dingdang miracle to me.

It gives me a little bit more hope that what we're going to get where I am won't be so horrible.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 08, 2017, 06:07:58 pm
I have to say that most of the buildings look better than I expected.  I know there's a lot of material loss there, but jeez, a direct hit from that monster of a storm and only 8 deaths seems like a dingdang miracle to me.

It gives me a little bit more hope that what we're going to get where I am won't be so horrible.
That's 8 confirmed. I would not be surprised if there are some folks 'missing', yet. If you look at the aerial shots, there is a lot of roof damage on buildings which look pretty good from lower angles. Also hurricane shutters on those buildings may mask internal damage far worse than the outside would reveal. Sand is notorious for getting through small cracks and being deposited, and lower floors may have considerable accumulations if they were inundated. Some of the frame structured did not fare well at all. I am not sure how high the interior of the island is, but objects on higher ground may have avoided the storm surge and done better.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: musiclady on September 08, 2017, 06:32:16 pm
How many of our TBR folks are in Florida?

Still there??  Evacuated???

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 06:37:54 pm
That's 8 confirmed. I would not be surprised if there are some folks 'missing', yet. If you look at the aerial shots, there is a lot of roof damage on buildings which look pretty good from lower angles. Also hurricane shutters on those buildings may mask internal damage far worse than the outside would reveal. Sand is notorious for getting through small cracks and being deposited, and lower floors may have considerable accumulations if they were inundated. Some of the frame structured did not fare well at all. I am not sure how high the interior of the island is, but objects on higher ground may have avoided the storm surge and done better.

Yeah, but considering the storm that they took, I think a lot of the buildings did pretty well.  Some roof damage is better than flattened houses.  Sand through cracks is not a big deal to me compared to the flattened houses we saw with Andrew.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 08, 2017, 06:40:06 pm
How many of our TBR folks are in Florida?

Still there??  Evacuated???

I'm going all Jim Morrison or REO Speedwagon on this Irma witch.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 06:40:40 pm
How many of our TBR folks are in Florida?

Still there??  Evacuated???

I'm in Central Florida.  Looks like the eye right now is supposed to pass over us or just to the west and may have Cat2 winds when it gets here.

We're in a different house now than when the 4 storms went through back in 2004 I think it was.  We had a huge 8' x 8' sliding glass door in our family room that I was watching bow in and out with one of those before I decided it would be safer in a different room.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: XenaLee on September 08, 2017, 06:40:52 pm
How many of our TBR folks are in Florida?

Still there??  Evacuated???

Just watching the Florida live cams, it would seem that many there don't feel the need to evacuate.  Sunshine, slight breeze and people still walking, biking and driving around like normal.  Hmmm...

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/miamiandthebeaches/?cam=miamibeach8

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 06:43:06 pm
Just watching the Florida live cams, it would seem that many there don't feel the need to evacuate.  Sunshine, slight breeze and people still walking, biking and driving around like normal.  Hmmm...

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/miamiandthebeaches/?cam=miamibeach8

96* F at the house right now.  Too freaking hot to go out and pick up and put little things away that will blow around.  Wait until later in the evening when it's a tad cooler.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 08, 2017, 06:44:49 pm
Yeah, but considering the storm that they took, I think a lot of the buildings did pretty well.  Some roof damage is better than flattened houses.  Sand through cracks is not a big deal to me compared to the flattened houses we saw with Andrew.
Andrew was an intense storm. Small, fast, and brutal, and iirc spawned a lot of tornadoes, along with very high winds.

Don't underestimate sand in cracks either. We're not talking a sprinkle but a few feet accumulated in a room, washed in and deposited.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 06:48:11 pm
Andrew was an intense storm. Small, fast, and brutal, and iirc spawned a lot of tornadoes, along with very high winds.

Don't underestimate sand in cracks either. We're not talking a sprinkle but a few feet accumulated in a room, washed in and deposited.

Just a little extra insulation. ;)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: kidd on September 08, 2017, 07:25:35 pm
Just watching the Florida live cams, it would seem that many there don't feel the need to evacuate.  Sunshine, slight breeze and people still walking, biking and driving around like normal.  Hmmm...

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/miamiandthebeaches/?cam=miamibeach8
They probably haven't thought about the next 2-3 weeks without air conditioning, sewer, water, electricity and significantly reduced police and emergency services.
We lost electricity for 8 days after a freak October snowstorm about 5 years ago. The "adventure" got old after about 3 hours. For example, I have a generator, but its not big enough to run a dishwasher.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: XenaLee on September 08, 2017, 07:31:34 pm
96* F at the house right now.  Too freaking hot to go out and pick up and put little things away that will blow around.  Wait until later in the evening when it's a tad cooler.

Call me crazy....but I'd like to be on the Miami beach right about now.  Perfect weather, very few people/tourists, no crowd.  The locals still there must be in (temporary) bliss.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 07:42:01 pm
Call me crazy....but I'd like to be on the Miami beach right about now.  Perfect weather, very few people/tourists, no crowd.  The locals still there must be in (temporary) bliss.

Haha, I'm doing the opposite, enjoying the air conditioning while we have it!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 08, 2017, 08:08:58 pm
96* F at the house right now.  Too freaking hot to go out and pick up and put little things away that will blow around.  Wait until later in the evening when it's a tad cooler.

I wouldn't worry about that.  Dave Barry did a write-up about surviving Andrew, and he said that was the easiest part of all.  He just left the yard full of kids' toys, and after the storm it was all gone, like magic.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 08, 2017, 08:13:15 pm
2 interesting points in last advisory.

(1) More westerly vector than earlier forecasted.
(2) Models and forecast has shifted projected track west. 2 successive runs now that have trended that way.

Predicting this sharp right turn is going to be very very tough for the NHC.  I would recommend those from NOLA eastward to keep a an eye on this.  4 PM advisory should be interesting.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 08, 2017, 08:16:44 pm
I wouldn't worry about that.  Dave Barry did a write-up about surviving Andrew, and he said that was the easiest part of all.  He just left the yard full of kids' toys, and after the storm it was all gone, like magic.

When the Teton dam broke up here people were dragging any vehicle they had that wasn't running down in the way of the flood. Or parking down there and walking away. We moved here a year after the flood and a whole bunch of kids I went to high school with were driving brand new cars.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 08, 2017, 08:19:59 pm
http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/349851-utility-9-million-people-expected-to-lose-power-due-to-irma
Utility: 9 million people expected to lose power due to Irma
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 08, 2017, 08:28:14 pm
They probably haven't thought about the next 2-3 weeks without air conditioning, sewer, water, electricity and significantly reduced police and emergency services.
We lost electricity for 8 days after a freak October snowstorm about 5 years ago. The "adventure" got old after about 3 hours. For example, I have a generator, but its not big enough to run a dishwasher.

Been there. I've got a big 70's diesel welder/generator on a trailer that I am putting back together. Doing a little wheel and deal on solar panels and batteries right now... That setup will run my place without even breathing hard, and  already I have 110 gallons on hand.I bought that old girl for 200 bucks. The motor runs like a watch...

It ain't hard to be ready for it. And it doesn't have to be expensive.

Shoot, the only reason I am doing all this is so I don't have to move the freezer(s) outside in the winter, and so I'm not screwed if I lose power in the SUMMER.

Other than that, wood heat and kerosene lanterns work just fine for winter storms...  :shrug:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: guitar4jesus on September 08, 2017, 08:42:10 pm
How many of our TBR folks are in Florida?

Still there??  Evacuated???

Just north of Tampa Bay area.  On "high" ground and boarded up.  We're riding it out.  Should be interesting...
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 08, 2017, 09:10:50 pm
Call me crazy....but I'd like to be on the Miami beach right about now.  Perfect weather, very few people/tourists, no crowd.  The locals still there must be in (temporary) bliss.

The last time I was on Miami Beach was as a child and we went to Wolfies for dinner. Yum!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 08, 2017, 09:16:49 pm
Just north of Tampa Bay area.  On "high" ground and boarded up.  We're riding it out.  Should be interesting...


Lived in Lutz (Pronounced Lou-tz for the non natives) off of Livingston Road for a bunch of years.   Road out two 'cane's... Lost power for a few days but survived.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 09:24:05 pm
I wouldn't worry about that.  Dave Barry did a write-up about surviving Andrew, and he said that was the easiest part of all.  He just left the yard full of kids' toys, and after the storm it was all gone, like magic.

It's not kids toys so much as lots of small trees and plants in pots.  My luck they would blow around enough to break a window, or God forbid, an A/C unit.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 08, 2017, 09:26:38 pm
New report according to Fox is that Irma will take a more westerly track and extended northward...has slowed to 12mph..
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 08, 2017, 09:41:08 pm


@RoosGirl I ended up abandoning the Canadian bear hunt and driving 26 hours straight to get back to Florida.  At a evac site in North Florida Georgia border.  Storm looks like it will go thru here.  This place will flood and trees will block roads.  Gonna have to leave.   Thinking about going back to Tampa. Our house there should be fine in a cat 2 or 3.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 10:03:45 pm

@RoosGirl I ended up abandoning the Canadian bear hunt and driving 26 hours straight to get back to Florida.  At a evac site in North Florida Georgia border.  Storm looks like it will go thru here.  This place will flood and trees will block roads.  Gonna have to leave.   Thinking about going back to Tampa. Our house there should be fine in a cat 2 or 3.
@driftdiver. Y'all be safe.  At least driving South the roads should be clear for you.  But I'd get a move on soon if that's what you're going to do.  Maybe head to the east coast and find a shelter there.  Or, head further north into Georgia and extend your vacay.  Blue Ridge area is real nice.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 10:07:12 pm
Hubby went outside to start putting things away and it started pouring on him after about 30 mins.  Guess that cool front finally made it to us.  Has dumped about 3" on us so far.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: guitar4jesus on September 08, 2017, 10:10:51 pm

Lived in Lutz (Pronounced Lou-tz for the non natives) off of Livingston Road for a bunch of years.   Road out two 'cane's... Lost power for a few days but survived.

Yeah, I was in Pinellas county for the '04 season.  That was a hoot.  This should prove interesting.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 08, 2017, 10:29:58 pm

@RoosGirl I ended up abandoning the Canadian bear hunt and driving 26 hours straight to get back to Florida.  At a evac site in North Florida Georgia border.  Storm looks like it will go thru here.  This place will flood and trees will block roads.  Gonna have to leave.   Thinking about going back to Tampa. Our house there should be fine in a cat 2 or 3.

If you can safely post about the road conditions, please do.  I'm heading north from Tampa sometime tomorrow.  I'm getting vastly different reports on traffic.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 08, 2017, 10:35:15 pm
If you can safely post about the road conditions, please do.  I'm heading north from Tampa sometime tomorrow.  I'm getting vastly different reports on traffic.

@InHeavenThereIsNoBeer

A coworker just drove up on 301 and said it was fine but a bit slow.  I'm hearing the interstate northbound is a mess by Ocala.  Southbound is apparently ok all the way to tampa.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 08, 2017, 10:35:54 pm

Lived in Lutz (Pronounced Lou-tz for the non natives) off of Livingston Road for a bunch of years.   Road out two 'cane's... Lost power for a few days but survived.

My neighbor is heading to Lutz to stay with a friend with storm shutters and 70 feet above sea level.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: dfwgator on September 08, 2017, 10:58:30 pm
Sorry for Cuba, but I'm hoping this thing keeps heading straight into Cuba to at least weaken it somewhat. 


Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 08, 2017, 11:04:01 pm
New report according to Fox is that Irma will take a more westerly track and extended northward...has slowed to 12mph..

Wow!  I see that.  @Wingnut @guitar4jesus this is coming right up your alley.  Batten them down!  @RoosGirl you're gettin' a break.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: dfwgator on September 08, 2017, 11:06:44 pm
Wow!  I see that.  @Wingnut @guitar4jesus this is coming right up your alley.  Batten them down!  @RoosGirl you're gettin' a break.

Miami might be spared?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 08, 2017, 11:20:32 pm
Miami might be spared?

Appears to be swinging West of there.  Mar-a-Lago and Rush Limbaugh's digs are safe.  Unlike Richard Branson's.  Better ask those lefties how their Karma's doing?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 08, 2017, 11:21:06 pm
@InHeavenThereIsNoBeer

A coworker just drove up on 301 and said it was fine but a bit slow.  I'm hearing the interstate northbound is a mess by Ocala.  Southbound is apparently ok all the way to tampa.

Thank you.  Please let us know if you hear more or head south.

I was thinking 301 or maybe 19 or even just straight up back roads.  I just want to get to a place where I have more options than "north" (with everyone else).

Then again, I suppose if it gets TOO bad they'll shut down the southbound lanes.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 08, 2017, 11:26:17 pm
Thank you.  Please let us know if you hear more or head south.

I was thinking 301 or maybe 19 or even just straight up back roads.  I just want to get to a place where I have more options than "north" (with everyone else).

Then again, I suppose if it gets TOO bad they'll shut down the southbound lanes.

My brother in Huntsville Alabama said the hotels are full.  So you'll have to go pretty far north.  Im at a friends house but will have to leave or be trapped for a week.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: XenaLee on September 08, 2017, 11:27:20 pm
The last time I was on Miami Beach was as a child and we went to Wolfies for dinner. Yum!

Last time I was there I was in my early 20's and I can't even remember where we had dinner (I've slept since then...lol).
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 08, 2017, 11:35:35 pm
Wow!  I see that.  @Wingnut @guitar4jesus this is coming right up your alley.  Batten them down!  @RoosGirl you're gettin' a break.

Just a mere flesh wound for me. 
@Cyber Liberty

I ain't scared. :beer:

I laid in supplies.   Sofar the Ex hasn't called... so I haven't had to hide the Rum.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: guitar4jesus on September 08, 2017, 11:42:09 pm
Miami might be spared?

Miami will be on the east side of the storm so they're going to get slammed pretty good anyway but he eye now looks like it will cross the Keys and on up the west side.  It should prove an interesting experience.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: guitar4jesus on September 08, 2017, 11:43:22 pm
Wow!  I see that.  @Wingnut @guitar4jesus this is coming right up your alley.  Batten them down!  @RoosGirl you're gettin' a break.

(https://thumbs.gfycat.com/BonyQuerulousAcornweevil-size_restricted.gif)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 08, 2017, 11:43:56 pm
Just a mere flesh wound for me. 
@Cyber Liberty

I ain't scared. :beer:

I laid in supplies.   Sofar the Ex hasn't called... so I haven't had to hide the Rum.

You mean that washer full of beer?

 :silly:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 08, 2017, 11:57:23 pm
Wow!  I see that.  @Wingnut @guitar4jesus this is coming right up your alley.  Batten them down!  @RoosGirl you're gettin' a break.

Good news for us. My in-laws are in LaBelle, looks like they'll get hammered.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 09, 2017, 12:00:01 am
Good news for us. My in-laws are in LaBelle, looks like they'll get hammered.

I feel the same way about my MIL.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 09, 2017, 12:10:25 am
You mean that washer full of beer?

 :silly:

Yep. Plus.... A the obligatory "End of the world as we know it" booty call with my crazy neighbor lady....
but she thinks the end of the world is a weekly event.  So I am hoping for a Happy Ending tonight.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 09, 2017, 12:12:35 am
So I am hoping for a Happy Ending tonight.

If the house is rockin' don't come knockin'  :whistle:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 09, 2017, 12:13:51 am
If the house is rockin' don't come knockin'  :whistle:

No Ass. No Grass. No Gas.  No one rides out Irma for Free.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 09, 2017, 12:15:38 am
Good news for us. My in-laws are in LaBelle, looks like they'll get hammered.
Read that again. I'm assuming you get along well with your in-laws, but it could be misinterpreted.  :shrug:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 09, 2017, 12:16:39 am
No Ass. No Grass. No Gas.  No one rides out Irma for Free.
Very close to a sticker on the oil 'bag' on my motorcycle.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 09, 2017, 12:26:25 am
No Ass. No Grass. No Gas.  No one rides out Irma for Free.

 888high58888
I knew you'd get the hippie van shtick... LOL!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 12:35:09 am
Read that again. I'm assuming you get along well with your in-laws, but it could be misinterpreted.  :shrug:

@bigheadfred
@Smokin Joe

Haha, I didn't mean to come across as not liking the in-laws.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 09, 2017, 12:36:32 am
Read that again. I'm assuming you get along well with your in-laws, but it could be misinterpreted.  :shrug:

heh heh heh
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 09, 2017, 12:40:31 am
888high58888

I knew you'd get the hippie van shtick... LOL!
I was on the front lines.  Taking names and  Collecting the panties.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 09, 2017, 03:36:09 am
For those of you riding it out, stay safe. 

Glad it is going to miss you @RoosGirl  The last one I rode out, I did it with three kids, two of which were in diapers.  It was an experience that I'm glad you are in all probability going to miss.  The howling of three hot and uncomfortable kids was much worse than the howling of the cane itself.

Sounds like @Wingnut will be hosting one helluva hurricane party.   :silly:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: DCPatriot on September 09, 2017, 12:57:19 pm
Appears my guess was correct.  They have changed the projection as affecting the Gulf coast of Florida.

Figured IRMA was way to wide/strong for any cold front to turn her north that quickly as to go up the Eastern coast.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 09, 2017, 01:25:06 pm
(http://clashdaily.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/hurricanes-compared-770x613.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: DCPatriot on September 09, 2017, 01:29:55 pm
People stuck in automobiles trying to get out of Dodge will be in a shitload of trouble.

I remember Andrew.   The high-water marks on buildings in Maryland and Harrisburg, Pennsylvania are seared in my brained.  IRMA is no Andrew.

It's a Hollywood disaster movie.  Only real.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 01:42:28 pm
(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711.gif)

(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_5day.gif)
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/hurricane-irma?map=5day&MR=1
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Elderberry on September 09, 2017, 01:44:00 pm
People stuck in automobiles trying to get out of Dodge will be in a shitload of trouble.

I remember Andrew.   The high-water marks on buildings in Maryland and Harrisburg, Pennsylvania are seared in my brained.  IRMA is no Andrew.

It's a Hollywood disaster movie.  Only real.
In 1971 My sister and I were in an untied down trailer in Sulphur La. as Hurricane Edith was bearing down on us. The winds were already hitting us pretty hard and we got a call telling us to come ride it out with them. We left  and I couldn't see due to the wind driven rain. I was driving on the freeway about 10 mph seeing all sorts of debris flying in the wind. Then Edith made a hard right turn and the wind died down to almost nothing. That was the only hurricane I have ever left for. But I have never been in a surge zone.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cripplecreek on September 09, 2017, 01:52:36 pm
Looks like right up the west coast of Florida into the panhandle.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 09, 2017, 01:58:23 pm
Looks like right up the west coast of Florida into the panhandle.

Even as far west as NOLA, should not let their guard down.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: LadyLiberty on September 09, 2017, 02:06:33 pm
Appears to be swinging West of there.  Mar-a-Lago and Rush Limbaugh's digs are safe.  Unlike Richard Branson's.  Better ask those lefties how their Karma's doing?

I read that like Branson, Trump's home in St Martin had lots of damage. 

These pics show the destruction in the Virgin Islands.  It's really bad there.  The one structure that looks like it came through with flying colors -- Jeffrey Epstein's pedophile island in pic 58.  That was the only thing I was hoping would get destroyed.  https://www.facebook.com/pg/caribbeanbuzzhelicopters/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1542572469135894 (https://www.facebook.com/pg/caribbeanbuzzhelicopters/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1542572469135894)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: DCPatriot on September 09, 2017, 02:45:53 pm
In 1971 My sister and I were in an untied down trailer in Sulphur La. as Hurricane Edith was bearing down on us. The winds were already hitting us pretty hard and we got a call telling us to come ride it out with them. We left  and I couldn't see due to the wind driven rain. I was driving on the freeway about 10 mph seeing all sorts of debris flying in the wind. Then Edith made a hard right turn and the wind died down to almost nothing. That was the only hurricane I have ever left for. But I have never been in a surge zone.

It was Hurricane Agnes....not Andrew.   Sorry.

To see the high water marks along the Susquehanna River and Shenandoah River....

(http://i.pinimg.com/736x/54/33/f9/5433f92a7a1b6b02cc4d2ef57a868da7--richmond-virginia-photo-library.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: DCPatriot on September 09, 2017, 02:47:40 pm
and there was no social media or real time radar to protect anyone.

It was like someone's 5 day forecast, today.     
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 02:51:07 pm
You know what shocked me about Branson's place was, I saw a picture he put on some social media place with them all down in his cellar, beds piled up everywhere for them all, and they had tape over the windows.  I would have thought a billionaire would have impact proof glass.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 09, 2017, 02:51:58 pm
My son in West Palm Beach should be okay. My brother bugged out from Siesta Key last night. He buttoned down the house he sold and hasn't closed yet and the new house that is almost finished being redone. I hope he's safe, but I wonder what will happen to him financially.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 03:10:46 pm
My mom is in Tequesta, on the east coast north of West Palm Beach, and the local news is telling them they'll be getting winds of 90 mph.  That seems a little over the top to me.  I'm thinking winds there will be half that.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 09, 2017, 03:11:08 pm
Irma down to a Cat 3 with 125 mph winds.  Pressure 941 mb

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/hurricane-irma?map=5day&mr=1
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 09, 2017, 03:13:50 pm
Irma down to a Cat 3 with 125 mph winds.  Pressure 941 mb

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/hurricane-irma?map=5day&mr=1
 

That is good news.  There is a hell of a lot of difference in a 3 and a 5.  I have ridden out a 3, and believe me it is no picnic, but the level of destruction is exponentially worse with a Cat 5.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 09, 2017, 03:14:18 pm
My mom is in Tequesta, on the east coast north of West Palm Beach, and the local news is telling them they'll be getting winds of 90 mph.  That seems a little over the top to me.  I'm thinking winds there will be half that.

I think you're right.  Another overblown storm methinks.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 03:16:56 pm
Irma down to a Cat 3 with 125 mph winds.  Pressure 941 mb

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/hurricane-irma?map=5day&mr=1

That's because it is over Cuba's coast...winds are suppose to increase again once it is over warm water heading toward Fla...
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 09, 2017, 03:17:02 pm
I guess we have Cuba to thank for the Cat 3. I just hope it doesn't regain strength.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 03:25:43 pm
I think you're right.  Another overblown storm methinks.

I don't think it's overblown for the people that are actually going to get it.  That beast is going to pick back up once it's clear of Cuba.  But, the news blowing it out of proportion for places mostly out of the way now doesn't help.  I think it makes people complacent for the next one to come through. 

Apparently Palm Beach County has a 3pm curfew today.  Again, a little much.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 09, 2017, 03:33:54 pm
It was Hurricane Agnes....not Andrew.   Sorry.

To see the high water marks along the Susquehanna River and Shenandoah River....

(http://i.pinimg.com/736x/54/33/f9/5433f92a7a1b6b02cc4d2ef57a868da7--richmond-virginia-photo-library.jpg)
I remember Agnes.  One heck of a lot of rain, and a few feet of storm surge in the tidewater.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 03:52:58 pm
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/hurricane-irma-downgraded-to-category-3-but-expected-to-rebound-before-hitting-florida/article/2633921
Hurricane Irma downgraded to Category 3, but expected to rebound before hitting Florida
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 03:55:49 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJSp1ZHX0AEadxp.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 04:13:58 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJSsfa3WAAAoDBz.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: MajorClay on September 09, 2017, 04:27:45 pm
Irma down to a Cat 3 with 125 mph winds.  Pressure 941 mb

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/hurricane-irma?map=5day&mr=1
Cuba doing its job.  Cat 2 in next update?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 04:45:17 pm
 NHC Atlantic Ops‏Verified account @NHC_Atlantic 42m42 minutes ago

NHC has begun issuing hourly updates on Hurricane #Irma.  These will continue until the eye is no longer visible on U.S. Doppler Radar.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Oceander on September 09, 2017, 05:11:24 pm
Still cat 3, or has it upgraded again?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 05:11:28 pm
 NHC_Surge‏Verified account @NHC_Surge

Storm surge flooding of 10-15 ft is now expected along the SW Florida coast.  This is a dire and life-threatening situation.
11:05 AM - 9 Sep 2017
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 05:12:43 pm
Still cat 3, or has it upgraded again?

It will upgrade tonight when it leaves Cuba's coast...hitting 90 degree water..
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 05:19:22 pm
It will upgrade tonight when it leaves Cuba's coast...hitting 90 degree water..

Yeah, that water in the Florida Straights will be like a lovely, hot bath for Irma to rest and recoup in.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: XenaLee on September 09, 2017, 05:34:42 pm
Yeah, that water in the Florida Straights will be like a lovely, hot bath for Irma to rest and recoup in.

Water is coming in pretty rough already on Miami Beach...yet still you see a few die-hards hanging around (that would be me, probably).

http://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/miamiandthebeaches/?cam=miamibeach1
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 05:37:27 pm
Water is coming in pretty rough already on Miami Beach...yet still you see a few die-hards hanging around (that would be me, probably).

http://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/miamiandthebeaches/?cam=miamibeach1

The kids love it when a storm goes through.  All my friends that surfed would head out to the beach because they would finally get some righteous waves. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 09, 2017, 06:09:48 pm
I75 north is crowded from tampa north.  Big slowdown for about 20 miles south of ocala.  Otherwise good.  301 was very good.  I75 south was great.

Very few gas stations have gas.  Those that do have huge lines.  There are phone apps which will tell you which stations.



@IsailedawayfromFR @RoosGirl
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 09, 2017, 06:14:59 pm
‘God Will Bless That Man’ for His Hurricane Irma Kindness

She desperately needed a generator. So did he. Guess what this complete stranger did for her?

by Maureen Mackey | 09 Sep 2017 at 11:49 AM

A Florida resident named Pam Brekke spent hours upon hours, even days, dashing from store to store for supplies as she and her Orlando-based family prepared for Hurricane Irma ahead of this weekend.

Fox News and People Magazine both carried the story — and this one will last far beyond the news cycle.

Why? This is real. This is about people. This is about neighbors helping neighbors, strangers helping strangers, human beings going out of their way for other human beings in a crisis.

Brekke, who works as an upholstery cutter, needed a generator. As store shelves grew increasingly empty, she kept searching. This purchase wasn't just for comfort but for absolute necessity.

Her father-in-law, who is 87 and battling congestive heart failure, needs oxygen to get through the night — "and I’m worried about this storm," Brekke told WFTV, an Orlando television channel, as tears came to her eyes.

http://www.lifezette.com/momzette/god-will-bless-man-hurricane-irma-kindess/
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 06:29:55 pm
I75 north is crowded from tampa north.  Big slowdown for about 20 miles south of ocala.  Otherwise good.  301 was very good.  I75 south was great.

Very few gas stations have gas.  Those that do have huge lines.  There are phone apps which will tell you which stations.



@IsailedawayfromFR @RoosGirl

@driftdiver I take it y'all decided to head home.  Hope y'all are safe.  Praying for you.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 09, 2017, 06:40:56 pm
@driftdiver I take it y'all decided to head home.  Hope y'all are safe.  Praying for you.

Based on radar, this thing is taking its time making that right turn.  Won't be a bit surprised to see 4 pm advisory show a westward shift of the projected track.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 06:43:13 pm
Based on radar, this thing is taking its time making that right turn.  Won't be a bit surprised to see 4 pm advisory show a westward shift of the projected track.

(Another) westward shift, which I love for me, but hate for other people.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Oceander on September 09, 2017, 06:44:23 pm
Based on radar, this thing is taking its time making that right turn.  Won't be a bit surprised to see 4 pm advisory show a westward shift of the projected track.

Hopefully it won't get into the Gulf and then head for Houston.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 09, 2017, 06:48:01 pm
Hopefully it won't get into the Gulf and then head for Houston.

I remember back in 1988, we in SE Texas were freaking out over Gilbert's forecast to hit our area.  That storm never made a turn, and basically ended up being the most straight line storm in recorded Hurricane history, hitting Mexico, just south of Brownsville.

I know the forecasting tools have improved greatly in 30 years,  but these things seem to have a mind of their own sometimes.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 09, 2017, 07:16:52 pm
I remember back in 1988, we in SE Texas were freaking out over Gilbert's forecast to hit our area.  That storm never made a turn, and basically ended up being the most straight line storm in recorded Hurricane history, hitting Mexico, just south of Brownsville.

I know the forecasting tools have improved greatly in 30 years,  but these things seem to have a mind of their own sometimes.

Thankfully  my family is safely out of Naples but they have many elderly friends who could not or did not leave  Those of you who are the praying sort please pray for those in the path of this storm
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 09, 2017, 07:31:13 pm
Nobody has any ill-will towards Florida, by any means. However, I'm sure that people in coastal States on the Gulf, are going to breath a hugh sigh of relief when that 'monster' turns North.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 07:32:35 pm
My sister's house on Sanibel Island is already at sea level and it's on the beach...I haven't talked to her today as I am sure she is a nervous wreck...luckily they are at their Chi home and didn't have to evac.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 09, 2017, 07:35:45 pm
I told ya'll I was praying for the storm to change its track. I think it is helping.  ^-^
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 07:39:47 pm
I told ya'll I was praying for the storm to change its track. I think it is helping.  ^-^

Could you start praying for me to be 20 years younger? :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 09, 2017, 07:46:12 pm
Could you start praying for me to be 20 years younger? :)

What would that make you? Eleventeen?

I'll do it. For anyone so desperate.

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 09, 2017, 07:55:27 pm
Thankfully  my family is safely out of Naples but they have many elderly friends who could not or did not leave  Those of you who are the praying sort please pray for those in the path of this storm

I am. I'm thinking of everyone here and their critters
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 08:02:50 pm
What would that make you? Eleventeen?

I'll do it. For anyone so desperate.

22 :) 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 09, 2017, 08:03:04 pm
What would that make you? Eleventeen?

I'll do it. For anyone so desperate.


Leave me out please. I don't want do all that stuff over again. I'm perfectly happy where I am, thank you very much. Save all that stuff for the youngsters. I'm over it. It's their turn now. And I am good with that.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 09, 2017, 08:08:41 pm

Leave me out please. I don't want do all that stuff over again. I'm perfectly happy where I am, thank you very much. Save all that stuff for the youngsters. I'm over it. It's their turn now. And I am good with that.

She isn't asking for a do over. Just for a reprieve. I say let her have it.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 08:10:36 pm
She isn't asking for a do over. Just for a reprieve. I say let her have it.

Yep.  My body felt good, no matter how much I punished it.  Now I feel it the next day from a days worth of moving furniture or getting things picked up and put away for a hurricane. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: XenaLee on September 09, 2017, 08:15:46 pm
My sister's house on Sanibel Island is already at sea level and it's on the beach...I haven't talked to her today as I am sure she is a nervous wreck...luckily they are at their Chi home and didn't have to evac.

It doesn't look that bad to me.....yet, thank God.

http://www.earthcam.com/cams/florida/sanibel/?cam=sanibel_hd
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 09, 2017, 08:30:03 pm
Yep.  My body felt good, no matter how much I punished it.  Now I feel it the next day from a days worth of moving furniture or getting things picked up and put away for a hurricane. :)

@RoosGirl

At 33? And you're complaining? Oh, darlin', you ain't seen nothin yet.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 08:34:45 pm
@RoosGirl

At 33? And you're complaining? Oh, darlin', you ain't seen nothin yet.

I'm 42, 43 in a couple months.  Mostly I'm good, but yeah, I wouldn't mind my body being 22 again. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 08:42:55 pm
It doesn't look that bad to me.....yet, thank God.

http://www.earthcam.com/cams/florida/sanibel/?cam=sanibel_hd

Thanks..just sent that link to my sister..
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 09, 2017, 08:52:25 pm

Another update. You can click on the icon at the bottom of the picture in the article for multiple pictures of the goings on in FL.

https://apnews.com/8aeee2664ccb42fdbb5ada7f2f0dc6c6/Irma-shifts:-The-prime-target-is-now-Tampa,-not-Miami

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 09:03:39 pm
Hurricane Irma RSS Feed icon    Satellite | Buoys | Grids | Storm Archive
...EYE OF IRMA BEGINNING TO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE COAST OF CUBA WHILE WEATHER IS DETERIORATING IN SOUTH FLORIDA... ...MAJOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AT DAYBREAK...
5:00 PM EDT Sat Sep 9
Location: 23.4°N 80.5°W
Moving: WNW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 933 mb
Max sustained: 125 mph


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 09, 2017, 09:04:46 pm
I'm 42, 43 in a couple months.  Mostly I'm good, but yeah, I wouldn't mind my body being 22 again. :)
If I could be 22 again, knowing what I know now? Oh, that'd be fun (and likely dangerous, too!)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 09, 2017, 09:08:17 pm
If I could be 22 again, knowing what I know now? Oh, that'd be fun (and likely dangerous, too!)

Heh... Naw. I don't want to go through all that again. And I know me. I would. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 09, 2017, 09:18:37 pm
Dear IRMA,
I understand you and HARVEY had some ups and downs. And I know it got crazy and he left you alone with his son, but you don't have to chase him honey. Why don't you and lil JOSE just chill and enjoy the Atlantic . We don't want to be in the middle of y'all's mess. HARVEY already went bipolar on us. Don't bring anymore drama.
Sincerely, FLORIDA

from the interbeb today! 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 09, 2017, 09:21:29 pm
Heh... Naw. I don't want to go through all that again. And I know me. I would. :)

I'm not talking about going back, just having a 22 year old body again. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 09, 2017, 10:30:31 pm
Terrible story. A group of women from NYC are currently homeless and stranded in St. Martin with no way to get home.


https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hurricane-irma-tiffany-bender-american-woman-trapped-st-martin/?ftag=CNM-00-10aab7e&linkId=42011674
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: LadyLiberty on September 09, 2017, 10:58:42 pm
Terrible story. A group of women from NYC are currently homeless and stranded in St. Martin with no way to get home.


https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hurricane-irma-tiffany-bender-american-woman-trapped-st-martin/?ftag=CNM-00-10aab7e&linkId=42011674

That is horrible.  I heard that the US was sending in planes to get the US citizens out.  It's become very dangerous with a lot of looting.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 09, 2017, 11:02:50 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJUDskpXUAA1W9C.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: cato potatoe on September 09, 2017, 11:16:06 pm
The models sort of botched this one.  Best case would keep it on due-west for several more hours, then finally making the turn and landfall around the Big Bend.  Worst case is a similar reemergence in the Gulf, followed by restrengthening and landfall in Tampa Bay.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 09, 2017, 11:27:14 pm
I'm not talking about going back, just having a 22 year old body again. :)

Yeah... Me too. :P
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 09, 2017, 11:29:11 pm
My 22-year-old  body didn't have 9-inch scars running up both sides of my ass, so, yeah, I agree.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 09, 2017, 11:29:26 pm
Yeah... Me too. :P

I'd like to be 22 with the entire package again.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 09, 2017, 11:30:42 pm
Heh... Naw. I don't want to go through all that again. And I know me. I would. :)
That's the part about knowing what I know now. I might be able to avoid the worst, and make the most of the best...

Then again, there is always some new sh*t to step in.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 09, 2017, 11:43:16 pm
My 22-year-old  body didn't have 9-inch scars running up both sides of my ass, so, yeah, I agree.

You could politely ask that she take her spurs off...  :nometalk: :silly:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 09, 2017, 11:44:45 pm
Reports are that it is currently making the turn North. Downgraded to Cat 3, which of course, is a whole lot better than a Cat 5. They are worried that it may loop West over the gulf, which would cause it to gain strength.

It's coming. You'll have to be on the third story to avoid storm surge on the coast.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas-forecast
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 09, 2017, 11:45:08 pm
That's the part about knowing what I know now. I might be able to avoid the worst, and make the most of the best...

Then again, there is always some new sh*t to step in.

That's a fact. Now here, hold mah beer and watch this!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Fishrrman on September 09, 2017, 11:51:33 pm
Just an observation, don't mean nuthin', but...

If one pays attention to the tv news, the hurricane Irma is headed right towards Florida.

But if one has observed this map over the past couple of days:
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-64.47,19.90,1399

... we see the REAL path of the hurricane, which keeps moving... westward.

Now I'm not sayin' that it will never change direction and head northward.
But...
... it doesn't seem to be going in the directions as predicted...
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 09, 2017, 11:53:00 pm
You could politely ask that she take her spurs off...  :nometalk: :silly:

 :laugh:

They cut my legs off.  BUT, they were kind enough to paste them back on.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 09, 2017, 11:57:39 pm
:laugh:

They cut my legs off.  BUT, they were kind enough to paste them back on.

All three? Did you get an upgrade?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 09, 2017, 11:58:49 pm
Just an observation, don't mean nuthin', but...

If one pays attention to the tv news, the hurricane Irma is headed right towards Florida.

But if one has observed this map over the past couple of days:
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-64.47,19.90,1399

... we see the REAL path of the hurricane, which keeps moving... westward.

Now I'm not sayin' that it will never change direction and head northward.
But...
... it doesn't seem to be going in the directions as predicted...

That is what I saw. Looking at the GOES East. Looked like it was practically past Florida.  :shrug:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 10, 2017, 12:03:30 am
All three? Did you get an upgrade?

I settled for Titanium replacements.  It's why I won't fly anymore.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 12:14:38 am
This link takes you to an interactive map of the US along with projected storm path.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/213811.shtml?gm_track#contents

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 10, 2017, 12:23:35 am
(https://accuweather.brightspotcdn.com/dims4/default/6db6b6a/2147483647/resize/590x/quality/90/?url=http%3A%2F%2Faccuweather-bsp.s3.amazonaws.com%2F1a%2F80%2Fcd3e444144f89e783d28cba79811%2Firma-hurricane-sustained-99-pm.jpg)

(https://accuweather.brightspotcdn.com/dims4/default/649eb9e/2147483647/resize/590x/quality/90/?url=http%3A%2F%2Faccuweather-bsp.s3.amazonaws.com%2F33%2F21%2F4095902b421d803a66a7f942f5aa%2Fss1.jpg)


https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/hurricane-irma-to-batter-florida-with-catastrophic-storm-surge-wind-and-rain/70002657
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 12:27:11 am
This link takes you to an interactive map of the US along with projected storm path.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/213811.shtml?gm_track#contents

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/11L_floater.html

Pick a loop to view. Hasn't headed north yet. I think this is updated every 30 minutes. Watch the time track in the bottom corner of the loop. It is past the point of the forecasted northward swing.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/imagery/wv_lalo-animated.gif
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 10, 2017, 12:43:41 am
Pick a loop to view. Hasn't headed north yet. I think this is updated every 30 minutes. Watch the time track in the bottom corner of the loop. It is past the point of the forecasted northward swing.


It is moving North in terms of latitude. But it is true that it is moving NorthWest rather than due North. With my amateur eyes, it looks like it is heading more for Louisiana area, or maybe the panhandle, more than it is tracking toward mainland Florida. I don't know. It's weird. From where it is now, it is going to have to make a sharp right to hit FL. But if it keeps going like it is now, it will wind up in Biloxi, Mobile, or Pensacola. IMHO
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: cato potatoe on September 10, 2017, 12:46:40 am
The cloud pattern has elongated N-S.  That is usually a predecessor to a turn, but the center has yet to budge from due west heading.  Maybe in the last few radar frames it can be detected. 

Florida Keys are gusting at near-hurricane force.  It will be a long 18 hours for them.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 12:48:51 am

It is moving North in terms of latitude. But it is true that it is moving NorthWest rather than due North. With my amateur eyes, it looks like it is heading more for Louisiana area, or maybe the panhandle, more than it is tracking toward mainland Florida. I don't know. It's weird. From where it is now, it is going to have to make a sharp right to hit FL. But if it keeps going like it is now, it will wind up in Biloxi, Mobile, or Pensacola. IMHO

Somewhere in that link, you can add the forecasted track for hitting Florida's west side. It is past that and hasn't moved appreciably northward.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 12:51:21 am
Ok. It updated again since I posted the link. It just took a small jump straight north.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Bigun on September 10, 2017, 01:03:43 am
Gonna be a long night and day for my friends in Florida.  Stay safe!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 10, 2017, 01:09:21 am

It is moving North in terms of latitude. But it is true that it is moving NorthWest rather than due North. With my amateur eyes, it looks like it is heading more for Louisiana area, or maybe the panhandle, more than it is tracking toward mainland Florida. I don't know. It's weird. From where it is now, it is going to have to make a sharp right to hit FL. But if it keeps going like it is now, it will wind up in Biloxi, Mobile, or Pensacola. IMHO

Mobile? My fathers family all lives in Mobile. Oh boy.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 01:16:36 am
Updated again. Moving north.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 10, 2017, 01:20:34 am
Updated again. Moving north.

FRAY-ed!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 01:22:31 am
FRAY-ed!

Might just be bumping up a bit from Cuba and will keep going westward. Have to check in a few hours to see.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 01:28:08 am
I looked at another source that confirms it is turning north.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 01:29:51 am
I looked at another source that confirms it is turning north.

I've been wondering if it would ever turn north..kept thinking it would keep going west into the gulf..
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 10, 2017, 01:29:59 am
Swear test....bleep  *see below....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 01:33:20 am
From The Weather Channel.

Hurricane Irma has begun its turn toward Florida as a life-threatening Category 3 hurricane. Irma is now located just 115 miles southeast of Key West, Florida.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 10, 2017, 01:35:02 am
All right..  My back is hurting.  I spent the last 10 hours putting up hurricane shutters on my neighbors houses..   Just wanted to see if I need to say bleep..   I could.    Carry on.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 01:39:40 am
@Wingnut You are not setting a very good example for us kids with your language.  On the other hand, you helped neighbors get ready for a hurricane, so you're setting a very good example for us kids with your actions.  I guess since actions speak louder than words I can't say too much... Plus, I *may* have said that word sometime in the past myself so...
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: GtHawk on September 10, 2017, 01:41:08 am
All right..  My back is hurting.  I spent the last 10 hours putting up hurricane shutters on my neighbors houses..   Just wanted to see if I need to say bleep..   I could.    Carry on.
Well I won't say  MF'er, you are a good soul and deserve a toast, here it is (http://i40.tinypic.com/15499ix.jpg), now have yourself a (http://i41.tinypic.com/f3syx.jpg), or more and relax!
@Wingnut
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 01:44:36 am
@Wingnut You are not setting a very good example for us kids with your language.  On the other hand, you helped neighbors get ready for a hurricane, so you're setting a very good example for us kids with your actions.  I guess since actions speak louder than words I can't say too much... Plus, I *may* have said that word sometime in the past myself so...

It is a term of endearment in this case. I mean who would help those MFers for 10 hours? A person who really loves them, that's who.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 01:45:01 am
All right..  My back is hurting.  I spent the last 10 hours putting up hurricane shutters on my neighbors houses..   Just wanted to see if I need to say bleep..   I could.    Carry on.

kudos for helping your neighbors.......but did you really think you would get away with that?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 02:19:33 am

take care Fla Briefers..praying for you

God Speed Florida...
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mrclose on September 10, 2017, 02:32:49 am
I thought this was fake at first .. It's not!

(http://i67.tinypic.com/s4amv4.jpg)

(http://i68.tinypic.com/28akitg.jpg)

'The ocean is missing!' Rare phenomenon caused by Irma sucks the water from Bahamas beaches

Quote
Extraordinary footage from the Bahamas show the shoreline receded much farther than normal, exposing what is usually the ocean floor.

Twitter user @Kaydi_K from Long Island, Bahamas wrote on Friday: 'I am in disbelief right now... This is Long Island, Bahamas and the ocean water is missing!!! That's as far as they see #HurricaneIrma.'

The strange video shows her walking on the exposed ocean floor which is dry and covered in large shells. Another Twitter user tweeted a photo of the exposed beach at a different beach in the Bahamas and showed it was back to normal within less than a day.

Hurricane Irma, which hit the Bahamas on Friday, is so powerful that it has altered the shape of the ocean in Long Island, but it will likely be back to normal by Sunday afternoon.

(Scroll down for video at link)

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4869268/Rare-phenomenon-sucks-water-Bahamas-beach.html



Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: corbe on September 10, 2017, 02:58:43 am
US citizens on St. Maarten rescued

 By John Bowden - 09/09/17 10:06 PM EDT
 

More than 500 Americans stranded on the jointly-administered island of St. Maarten have been rescued by U.S. military aircraft.

State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert told ABC News that the State Department worked closely with the military over the last 24 hours to evacuate hundreds of people from the island, which is jointly administered by France and the Netherlands.

<..snip..>

http://thehill.com/homenews/news/349958-us-citizens-on-st-maarten-rescued (http://thehill.com/homenews/news/349958-us-citizens-on-st-maarten-rescued)

   Phenomenal photos @mrclose
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 10, 2017, 03:15:37 am
Just an observation, don't mean nuthin', but...

If one pays attention to the tv news, the hurricane Irma is headed right towards Florida.

But if one has observed this map over the past couple of days:
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-64.47,19.90,1399

... we see the REAL path of the hurricane, which keeps moving... westward.

Now I'm not sayin' that it will never change direction and head northward.
But...
... it doesn't seem to be going in the directions as predicted...

Been saying this all day.  Don't be totally surprised to see a panhandle landfall.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 10, 2017, 03:35:54 am
I thought this was fake at first .. It's not!

(http://i67.tinypic.com/s4amv4.jpg)

(http://i68.tinypic.com/28akitg.jpg)

'The ocean is missing!' Rare phenomenon caused by Irma sucks the water from Bahamas beaches

(Scroll down for video at link)

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4869268/Rare-phenomenon-sucks-water-Bahamas-beach.html

Just saw on the weather channel the ocean is out abnormally far at Naples.  And the hurricane is still a long way away.  All that water has to be somewhere, praying for the poor folks on the receiving end....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 10, 2017, 03:45:14 am
Its current path is headed right for Dry Tortugas National Park.  I hope Fort Jefferson, etc., is okay.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 10, 2017, 04:13:54 am
:laugh:

They cut my legs off.  BUT, they were kind enough to paste them back on.

Ah yes. Hip replacement... I beg your pardon...  But there's a lot of cowgirls hereabouts, so perhaps you can understand my immediate reaction. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 10, 2017, 04:28:13 am
@Wingnut You are not setting a very good example for us kids with your language.  On the other hand, you helped neighbors get ready for a hurricane, so you're setting a very good example for us kids with your actions.  I guess since actions speak louder than words I can't say too much... Plus, I *may* have said that word sometime in the past myself so...

@Wingnut - I forgive your language- I just want you to be safe. You too @RoosGirl
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 04:41:16 am
@Wingnut - I forgive your language- I just want you to be safe. You too @RoosGirl

@Freya Thank you.  We should be good. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 10, 2017, 04:46:05 am
@Freya Thank you.  We should be good. :)

I hope your doggies won't be too crazy. My cat went bonkers during Irene and Sandy. I finallly crated her. (To calm her)

@RoosGirl
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 04:57:08 am
I hope your doggies won't be too crazy. My cat went bonkers during Irene and Sandy. I finallly crated her. (To calm her)

@RoosGirl

@Freya They don't normally react to thunder and lightning and although they aren't crazy about it will go out in the rain to go potty, so I'm not too worried about them.  The worst part will be all of us sharing one room if the power goes out and we set up our generator to run a small, portable A/C unit we have.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 10, 2017, 06:07:11 am
Ah yes. Hip replacement... I beg your pardon...  But there's a lot of cowgirls hereabouts, so perhaps you can understand my immediate reaction. :)

I do.  I have always liked cowgirls....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 10, 2017, 06:43:52 am
I'm getting to meet a bunch of my wife's family I haven't met in the 15th years we've been married. Took in 10 relatives from Tampa who bugged out ahead of the hurricane.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 10, 2017, 06:46:13 am
I'm getting to meet a bunch of my wife's family I haven't met in the 15th years we've been married. Took in 10 relatives from Tampa who bugged out ahead of the hurricane.

You're a good man @txradioguy
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 10, 2017, 10:09:01 am
Well I think she's about to hit or is hitting Florida now.

Prayers up to all Floridian Briefers. We love you.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 10, 2017, 10:10:56 am
I'm getting to meet a bunch of my wife's family I haven't met in the 15th years we've been married. Took in 10 relatives from Tampa who bugged out ahead of the hurricane.
I pray y'all enjoy each others' company.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 10, 2017, 10:19:36 am
@RoosGirl

At 33? And you're complaining? Oh, darlin', you ain't seen nothin yet.

Try hanging plywood at 49.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: guitar4jesus on September 10, 2017, 10:42:29 am
Try hanging plywood at 49.

56
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 10, 2017, 11:09:14 am

It is moving North in terms of latitude. But it is true that it is moving NorthWest rather than due North. With my amateur eyes, it looks like it is heading more for Louisiana area, or maybe the panhandle, more than it is tracking toward mainland Florida. I don't know. It's weird. From where it is now, it is going to have to make a sharp right to hit FL. But if it keeps going like it is now, it will wind up in Biloxi, Mobile, or Pensacola. IMHO


Well I'll be damned. The thing did it. It took a sharp right, almost 90 degree turn to almost straight North. I am no weatherman, and that just seems weird to me.


I can picture Siri saying, "For Florida, turn right now."


And it did it. All this time I was sure it was heading straight for the gulf. That surprised me.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 10, 2017, 11:17:41 am

Well I'll be damned. The thing did it. It took a sharp right, almost 90 degree turn to almost straight North. I am no weatherman, and that just seems weird to me.


I can picture Siri saying, "For Florida, turn right now."


And it did it. All this time I was sure it was heading straight for the gulf. That surprised me.
I didn't pipe up, but I had been thinking Mobile, Alabama, so that one fooled us both.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 12:05:38 pm

Well I'll be damned. The thing did it. It took a sharp right, almost 90 degree turn to almost straight North. I am no weatherman, and that just seems weird to me.


I can picture Siri saying, "For Florida, turn right now."


And it did it. All this time I was sure it was heading straight for the gulf. That surprised me.

I am amazed it turned like that. Back to a cat 4. The keys are going to get hammered. If they aren't already.

@Smokin Joe
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 12:12:06 pm
Try hanging plywood at 49.

Oh come on, if you an go bear hunting hanging a little bit of plywood should be easy for you. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: debrawiest on September 10, 2017, 12:13:12 pm
Praying for all of you who may be impacted by this storm. As a land-locked gal, I cannot even imagine what you go through.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 10, 2017, 12:24:36 pm
Oh come on, if you an go bear hunting hanging a little bit of plywood should be easy for you. :)

Bear hunting involves beer and guns and also fishing.

Hanging plywood is kinda like work.  Totally different.

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 10, 2017, 12:26:32 pm
Praying for all of you who may be impacted by this storm. As a land-locked gal, I cannot even imagine what you go through.

The worst part is the hyperventaling reporters on tv.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 12:29:13 pm
Bear hunting involves beer and guns and also fishing.

Hanging plywood is kinda like work.  Totally different.

Exactly. Like elk hunting. It is all fun and games until you get one.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 10, 2017, 12:29:40 pm
I didn't pipe up, but I had been thinking Mobile, Alabama, so that one fooled us both.

Same here.  I have been watching and tracking storms for decades, and have never seen a storm this strong, this  large, and fast (going 8 mph) turn on a dime.

When these things usually happen they slow down to near stop first.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 10, 2017, 12:32:45 pm
The worst part is the hyperventaling reporters on tv.

Oh, Good Lord, yes.  I had the news coverage on for about 5 minutes.  Had to turn it off. Why do these news people have to stand outside in the wind and rain to tell us that --by golly -- it's WINDY and RAINING!!!!!

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 10, 2017, 12:45:35 pm
Oh, Good Lord, yes.  I had the news coverage on for about 5 minutes.  Had to turn it off. Why do these news people have to stand outside in the wind and rain to tell us that --by golly -- it's WINDY and RAINING!!!!!
@Applewood


Had the same thought just a couple of minutes ago. I always wonder, when I see those guys, do they have their own food and water? Where are they going to stay when it hits? Does the network they work for have some kind of magic helicopter that is going to pull them out at the last minute.


Anyway, I agree. That has always confused me too. Especially when all they have to do if they want to monitor the conditions of a particular location, is to put up a live-cam and then get the hell out.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 12:58:50 pm
There has been some backlash about putting weather reporters in harm's way.

Reminds me of a story from my dad. He was going through Yellowstone and a bunch of cars were stopped along side the road. He stopped to see what they were all looking at. He had to climb a small rise to see. It was a big bull buffalo, tossing its head, slinging snot, and pawing the ground. Some guy was trying to get a pic of it with his wife. He was telling her "get a little closer honey". Dad turned and left. I saw a vid a while back. Same scenario with a guy getting a little loser. The buffalo flipped him up about 20 feet head first into a pine tree.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Weird Tolkienish Figure on September 10, 2017, 12:59:43 pm
https://www.pscp.tv/w/bIPc4zF4blFyeXhlTW55RVl8MWpNSmdQT3ZPTmt4TIrKqDQufpgFPR99GXvlVV8dbMmYGqz83Q9hUDvp0u2a

Guy live streaming from the keys storm surge is almost over his house
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 01:05:59 pm
Looks like the eye is passing over the keys now.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 10, 2017, 01:09:35 pm
@Applewood


Had the same thought just a couple of minutes ago. I always wonder, when I see those guys, do they have their own food and water? Where are they going to stay when it hits? Does the network they work for have some kind of magic helicopter that is going to pull them out at the last minute.


Anyway, I agree. That has always confused me too. Especially when all they have to do if they want to monitor the conditions of a particular location, is to put up a live-cam and then get the hell out.

Oh, the anchor safely at his desk in New York assured the viewers that every precaution was being taken to ensure the reporters' safety.  One reporter was standing on a balcony of a condominium highrise that was supposedly hurricane proof.  Meanwhile, someone else said these hurricane-proof buildings can withstand up to 120 mph winds and I think last I heard the winds were around 160 mph.  Plus the reporter was standing on the balcony.  I don't care if the building can withstand hurricane-force winds.  Standing on a balcony means you are still outside and that allegedly hurricane-proof building is not going to protect you if you are outside.

I don't think networks will ever stop this nonsense until one of their reporters gets killed. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 01:17:28 pm
 NHC Atlantic Ops‏Verified account @NHC_Atlantic 3m3 minutes ago

...LOWER FLORIDA KEYS IN THE EYE OF #IRMA - Centered at 9 a.m. about 20 mi east of Key West.  http://hurricanes.gov  @NWS  @NOAA
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 10, 2017, 01:27:56 pm
I don't think networks will ever stop this nonsense until one of their reporters gets killed.


Reporters get killed all the time, mostly in war-zones, or trying to do a story on Hillary Clinton. But I am not aware of any reporter being killed while reporting on weather. However, if that is bound to happen, Irma is a good candidate for being the perp who did it.


I just wonder if these reporters are tying up emergency services, or using resources which would be better allocated to locals. I think we both agree, that many people see these reports is as being more 'stupid' than exhilarating.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 10, 2017, 01:39:23 pm
NPR is reporting 500,000 now without power

http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2017/09/10/549852003/hurricane-irma-begins-to-pummel-florida-keys-as-it-moves-toward-the-mainland?utm_source=npr_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_content=20170910&utm_campaign=breakingnews&utm_term=nprnews
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Weird Tolkienish Figure on September 10, 2017, 01:42:03 pm
https://www.pscp.tv/w/bIPc4zF4blFyeXhlTW55RVl8MWpNSmdQT3ZPTmt4TIrKqDQufpgFPR99GXvlVV8dbMmYGqz83Q9hUDvp0u2a

Guy live streaming from the keys storm surge is almost over his house

This guy was live streaming and it cut out just as the storm surge was hitting, people are asking if he's ok.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 02:05:53 pm
Bear hunting involves beer and guns and also fishing.

Hanging plywood is kinda like work.  Totally different.

I thought you were killing the bears with your teeth and bare hands.  ;)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 10, 2017, 03:03:24 pm
Fox News reporting that Irma has shifted course and is now heading 000, due North. This means that it will cut a swath right through the middle of central Florida. It is Cat 4.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 03:10:29 pm
 Mike Augustyniak‏Verified account @MikeAugustyniak 1m1 minute ago

JUST IN: new update from @NHC_Atlantic tracks #Irma 's eye (strongest winds) along west FL coast; a direct hit

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJXyCYmWAAIcx4_.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 03:11:23 pm
My sister's house on Sanibel will take a direct hit....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 03:12:51 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJXxsBNWsAEcTcs.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 03:14:43 pm
Last I looked at the prediction it was a hit into St. Pete, so looks like it's shifted back east a bit and back through Ft. Myers area.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 10, 2017, 03:19:46 pm

Reporters get killed all the time, mostly in war-zones, or trying to do a story on Hillary Clinton. But I am not aware of any reporter being killed while reporting on weather. However, if that is bound to happen, Irma is a good candidate for being the perp who did it.


I just wonder if these reporters are tying up emergency services, or using resources which would be better allocated to locals. I think we both agree, that many people see these reports is as being more 'stupid' than exhilarating.

The potential for injury or even death was palpable from the reporting I saw this morning.  One reporter standing on a highrise balcony was holding onto something for dear life.  Had she let go for even an instant, she may well have been swept away.  She was 13 floors up.  She could have been killed.

When I was at my heaviest (220 pounds), I worked in an office building that seemed like it was located in a wind tunnel. The winds in the rest of the city could be nearly calm, but at or near this building, the winds could be gale-force.  I can't tell you how many times I stepped out of that building and was literally lifted off my feet by the wind. And at 220, pounds,  I'm reasonably sure I was a lot heavier than the female reporter on a highrise balcony this morning.

If there is a legitimate reason to be put in harm's way, maybe I could understand. I just don't think a hurricane or any weather event is a legitimate reason.   I saw Governor Scott urging people to leave.  He issued a mandatory evacuation. If this storm was dangerous enough to order residents to leave, then what the H are the news hounds doing there?  Isn't it dangerous for them too?

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 03:21:15 pm
Last I looked at the prediction it was a hit into St. Pete, so looks like it's shifted back east a bit and back through Ft. Myers area.

@libertybele is from Ft. Meyers? Hoping she is safe.  :0001:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 10, 2017, 03:23:04 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJXxsBNWsAEcTcs.jpg)


Looks like Fox got it wrong. Or they do not know what 'due North' means. 350 degrees is not 'due North'. So, either they are ignorant about how to report directions, or they were misreporting for some reason. In the report I watched, they must have said the term 'due North' over a dozen times. And this is totally incorrect.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 10, 2017, 03:25:41 pm
@libertybele is from Ft. Meyers? Hoping she is safe.  :0001:

 :amen:

@mystery-ak

My brother's homes in Bradenton and Siesta Key will probably be severely impacted. He buttoned up as best he could and evacuated. Is your sister safe?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 10, 2017, 03:34:52 pm
The latest track does not look good at all for Floridians to me. The worst side of the hurricane dumping on the state while it picks up water from the Gulf?  Somebody please tell me that I'm way off base here.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 10, 2017, 03:38:18 pm
The potential for injury or even death was palpable from the reporting I saw this morning.  One reporter standing on a highrise balcony was holding onto something for dear life.  Had she let go for even an instant, she may well have been swept away.  She was 13 floors up.  She could have been killed.

When I was at my heaviest (220 pounds), I worked in an office building that seemed like it was located in a wind tunnel. The winds in the rest of the city could be nearly calm, but at or near this building, the winds could be gale-force.  I can't tell you how many times I stepped out of that building and was literally lifted off my feet by the wind. And at 220, pounds,  I'm reasonably sure I was a lot heavier than the female reporter on a highrise balcony this morning.

If there is a legitimate reason to be put in harm's way, maybe I could understand. I just don't think a hurricane or any weather event is a legitimate reason.   I saw Governor Scott urging people to leave.  He issued a mandatory evacuation. If this storm was dangerous enough to order residents to leave, then what the H are the news hounds doing there?  Isn't it dangerous for them too?

I have had the TV off for at least a week. I refuse to watch the insanity.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 10, 2017, 03:39:35 pm
The latest track does not look good at all for Floridians to me. The worst side of the hurricane dumping on the state while it picks up water from the Gulf?  Somebody please tell me that I'm way off base here.

Reporting that water is leaving Tampa Bay and rivers on the west side of Florida. That water will come back with a vengeance as storm surge. Horrifying.

In Miami storm surge happening now, streets flooding downtown, and some constructions cranes have collapsed or "cracked."
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 03:41:58 pm
@libertybele is from Ft. Meyers? Hoping she is safe.  :0001:

I'm pretty sure she bugged out a couple days ago.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 03:44:45 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJXytk9XoAEzaug.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 03:47:31 pm
:amen:

@mystery-ak

My brother's homes in Bradenton and Siesta Key will probably be severely impacted. He buttoned up as best he could and evacuated. Is your sister safe?

My sister is at her other home in Chicago...so she didn't have to evac.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: anubias on September 10, 2017, 03:55:20 pm
Reporting that water is leaving Tampa Bay and rivers on the west side of Florida. That water will come back with a vengeance as storm surge. Horrifying.

In Miami storm surge happening now, streets flooding downtown, and some constructions cranes have collapsed or "cracked."

My prayers are with all in Florida. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: DCPatriot on September 10, 2017, 04:36:08 pm
Fox News reporting that Irma has shifted course and is now heading 000, due North. This means that it will cut a swath right through the middle of central Florida. It is Cat 4.

If it does that, the eye will disintegrate....and become a tropical storm.   Right?   :shrug:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 04:48:00 pm
If it does that, the eye will disintegrate....and become a tropical storm.   Right?   :shrug:

Eventually, but with such a big storm it'll take a while to not be a hurricane anymore.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 05:03:00 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJYLWzVWsAMTMi7.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 05:03:54 pm
1 day later, GFS still has #Jose near NE. Again, this model is unreliable 10 days out. It's not a forecast. Also need to wait for EURO model

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJYJeLqVYAAmo6H.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 10, 2017, 05:04:30 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJYLWzVWsAMTMi7.jpg)

Here is tampa it's been raining for the last few hours.  Not a hard rain but cold.   Getting windy too
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 05:07:10 pm
#Brickell Ave looks like an ocean. Rivers of water taking over Miami's financial district. Unprecedented flooding.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJYD-AdUMAA32jI.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 10, 2017, 05:22:25 pm
My prayers are with all in Florida.

Ditto!  But I'm going to add the people of Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina and any other states in Irma's path.  Right now, there is still some debate as to where Irma goes once it leaves Florida.  Even though the storm might downgrade as it goes along, in terms of destruction and loss of life, I don't see much difference between the various categories.  Are 120 mph winds any less destructive than 160 mph winds?  And the flooding:  Water is water.  If your house is washed away, what difference does it make what category the storm is or was? 

I can see that in terms of damage and lives lost, Irma is going to be bad for far more people than just those in Florida.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 10, 2017, 05:24:11 pm
Same here.  I have been watching and tracking storms for decades, and have never seen a storm this strong, this  large, and fast (going 8 mph) turn on a dime.

When these things usually happen they slow down to near stop first.
Problem with that is they usually gather strength when they do, if they aren't just beating the crap out of some patch of land and getting run down.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: catfish1957 on September 10, 2017, 05:26:41 pm
If it does that, the eye will disintegrate....and become a tropical storm.   Right?   :shrug:

It can vary, but a Cat 4 storm transversing level land like Florida can maintain Hurricane status for 100's of miles.  I think Rita stayed a Hurricane (>75 mph winds)  even up to Texarkana, and Katrina up to Tennessee. Way back with Camille (an anomoly) hurricane force winds  to VA.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 10, 2017, 05:26:59 pm
There has been some backlash about putting weather reporters in harm's way.

Reminds me of a story from my dad. He was going through Yellowstone and a bunch of cars were stopped along side the road. He stopped to see what they were all looking at. He had to climb a small rise to see. It was a big bull buffalo, tossing its head, slinging snot, and pawing the ground. Some guy was trying to get a pic of it with his wife. He was telling her "get a little closer honey". Dad turned and left. I saw a vid a while back. Same scenario with a guy getting a little loser. The buffalo flipped him up about 20 feet head first into a pine tree.
What is it with idiot tourists and wildlife?
Buffalo are dangerous, ornery, critters, even if they are good eating.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 10, 2017, 05:28:55 pm
I75 north is crowded from tampa north.  Big slowdown for about 20 miles south of ocala.  Otherwise good.  301 was very good.  I75 south was great.

Very few gas stations have gas.  Those that do have huge lines.  There are phone apps which will tell you which stations.



@IsailedawayfromFR @RoosGirl

Guess I should have left a little earlier.  301 was okay at first, but it took six hours to get to Jax. Sea of FL cars from there until I26 in SC where they disappeared.   
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 06:07:36 pm
.IRMA CONTINUES TO BATTER SOUTH FLORIDA... ...STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED IN MARCO ISLAND/NAPLES AREA WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...
2:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 10
Location: 25.6°N 81.8°W
Moving: N at 12 mph
Min pressure: 936 mb
Max sustained: 120 mph
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Bigun on September 10, 2017, 06:09:43 pm
.IRMA CONTINUES TO BATTER SOUTH FLORIDA... ...STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED IN MARCO ISLAND/NAPLES AREA WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...
2:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 10
Location: 25.6°N 81.8°W
Moving: N at 12 mph
Min pressure: 936 mb
Max sustained: 120 mph

IF Irma actually progresses on the predicted track she will be the very first I have ever seen to move in a NW direction over land. Most move off to the NE.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Polly Ticks on September 10, 2017, 06:12:50 pm
It can vary, but a Cat 4 storm transversing level land like Florida can maintain Hurricane status for 100's of miles.  I think Rita stayed a Hurricane (>75 mph winds)  even up to Texarkana, and Katrina up to Tennessee. Way back with Camille (an anomoly) hurricane force winds  to VA.

In 2008, Ike (another Cat 4) made it from Galveston, TX, all the way up to Louisville, KY.  We had 60% of LG&E customers without power, and the governor declared a state of emergency.  Yeah, they can travel pretty far.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 10, 2017, 06:22:13 pm
#Brickell Ave looks like an ocean. Rivers of water taking over Miami's financial district. Unprecedented flooding.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJYD-AdUMAA32jI.jpg)

That's actually a photo of the Miami River, @mystery-ak, near its mouth. 

The photo is taken from approximately above this view (if you rotate to the right, you can see the building it was taken from):
https://goo.gl/maps/3DJunch7qe82

(http://i.imgur.com/593NDqv.jpg)


 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 06:23:36 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJYbKogWAAA0OFO.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 10, 2017, 06:42:30 pm
In 2008, Ike (another Cat 4) made it from Galveston, TX, all the way up to Louisville, KY.  We had 60% of LG&E customers without power, and the governor declared a state of emergency.  Yeah, they can travel pretty far.

Back in 2005 Mrs. Liberty and I were road-tripping back East, and we were in the upper Midwest.  We had to cancel our planned stop at the Air Force museum in Dayton OH because it was being pummeled by the remnants of Katrina.  We had other changes of plans, we were going to visit friends in Houston and that was simply impossible with the wipe-out of I10.  We came home via Little Rock, where we met a bunch of refugees and heroes going in.  Fortunately we had our reservations in as soon as we knew we were rerouting.  Rita was a couple weeks later.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 10, 2017, 07:04:42 pm
In 2008, Ike (another Cat 4) made it from Galveston, TX, all the way up to Louisville, KY.  We had 60% of LG&E customers without power, and the governor declared a state of emergency.  Yeah, they can travel pretty far.
I recall going through the remnants of Fran in the UP of Michigan many years ago. The storms can go a long way in the interior, (no longer tropical storms, but a remnant) it just seems to be  a question of which side of the Blue Ridge they are running along.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 10, 2017, 07:19:58 pm
Great job yesterday by FL LEO keeping traffic flowing.

Pulled in to a rest stop in SC around 11 last night.  Some locals were handing out free treats for kids and pets.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Polly Ticks on September 10, 2017, 07:31:30 pm
Back in 2005 Mrs. Liberty and I were road-tripping back East, and we were in the upper Midwest.  We had to cancel our planned stop at the Air Force museum in Dayton OH because it was being pummeled by the remnants of Katrina.  We had other changes of plans, we were going to visit friends in Houston and that was simply impossible with the wipe-out of I10.  We came home via Little Rock, where we met a bunch of refugees and heroes going in.  Fortunately we had our reservations in as soon as we knew we were rerouting.  Rita was a couple weeks later.

I recall going through the remnants of Fran in the UP of Michigan many years ago. The storms can go a long way in the interior, (no longer tropical storms, but a remnant) it just seems to be  a question of which side of the Blue Ridge they are running along.

Yep.  We've gotten plenty of remnants before, but Ike actually gave us hurricane force winds -- 80mph.  Wild stuff.  Tornadoes, we know; hurricanes, not so much.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 10, 2017, 07:32:21 pm
Weren't you just in the Seattle area?

Wasn't me.  Haven't been there in like 15 years.

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 07:35:32 pm
..300 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE... ...CENTER OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRMA NEARING NAPLES...
3:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 10
Location: 25.7°N 81.8°W
Moving: N at 12 mph
Min pressure: 936 mb
Max sustained: 120 mph
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 07:46:07 pm
Wasn't me.  Haven't been there in like 15 years.

No. It was someone else. I removed my post when I realized my mistake.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 10, 2017, 07:48:41 pm
Yep.  We've gotten plenty of remnants before, but Ike actually gave us hurricane force winds -- 80mph.  Wild stuff.  Tornadoes, we know; hurricanes, not so much.

I was upset at not making it to Dayton.  I wanted to show off the Valkyrie there.  I think it's the only one left.

(http://www.aircraftinformation.info/Images/XB-70_02.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: cato potatoe on September 10, 2017, 08:02:00 pm
Anybody watching the people in Naples on CNN?  Totally nuts!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 08:06:46 pm
Anybody watching the people in Naples on CNN?  Totally nuts!

You watch CNN?  :police:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: cato potatoe on September 10, 2017, 08:09:03 pm
Well for a while, they were the only ones in Naples.  Everybody else wanted to pretend the storm was confined to Miami.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 10, 2017, 08:09:42 pm
Anybody watching the people in Naples on CNN?  Totally nuts!

They're taking it in the chops.  A full-blown Cat 3 there.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 10, 2017, 08:10:29 pm
Well for a while, they were the only ones in Naples.  Everybody else wanted to pretend the storm was confined to Miami.

They wanted so badly to see Mar-a-Lago blown down.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 10, 2017, 08:11:26 pm
You watch CNN?  :police:

I just switched over.  It's two channels above my Baseball game.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 08:13:00 pm
I just switched over.  It's two channels above my Baseball game.

no idea CNN's channel on Direct tv
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 08:13:25 pm
Well for a while, they were the only ones in Naples.  Everybody else wanted to pretend the storm was confined to Miami.

Don't mind me. Got a link?

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 08:18:06 pm
Anybody watching the people in Naples on CNN?  Totally nuts!

LOL  Yeah, I just watched the stupid newscaster talk about the swaying 200' tall trees blowing.   *****rollingeyes*****
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 08:18:51 pm
You can find the CNN live feed on YouTube
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: cato potatoe on September 10, 2017, 08:20:19 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qa97bFMlKgQ (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qa97bFMlKgQ)

I believe they are about to break into the eye, and then the onshore half with storm surge.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 08:23:34 pm
We're at 3" of rain so far, but not seeing hardly any wind yet.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 08:25:29 pm
LOL  Yeah, I just watched the stupid newscaster talk about the swaying 200' tall trees blowing.   *****rollingeyes*****

To a mental midget they are 200' tall trees.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 08:27:57 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qa97bFMlKgQ (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qa97bFMlKgQ)

I believe they are about to break into the eye, and then the onshore half with storm surge.

Thanks for the link.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 08:38:31 pm
Florida sheriff warns citizens: Don't shoot at Hurricane Irma

A Florida sheriff is warning citizens not to shoot guns at Hurricane Irma as the monster storm approaches Florida.
“To clarify, DO NOT shoot weapons @ #Irma,” the Pasco County, Fla. sheriff tweeted. “You won't make it turn around & it will have very dangerous side effects.”

The sheriff was responding to a viral Facebook event that jokingly encouraged people to shoot guns at the hurricane. More than 26,000 people have marked themselves as “attending” the event.

The Coalition to Stop Gun Violence also issued a warning to followers to not shoot guns at the storm.

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/349968-florida-sheriff-warns-citizens-dont-shoot-at-hurricane-irma

I posted this as a thread.

http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,280551.msg1447253.html#msg1447253
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: TomSea on September 10, 2017, 08:51:50 pm
Quote
More than 50 animals found tethered to trees in Florida county
WCMH Published: September 9, 2017, 8:23 pm Updated: September 9, 2017, 9:09 pm

PALM BEACH CO., FL (WCMH) — Animal control officers in Palm Beach County say they are seeing animal abuse like they’ve never experienced before.

Palm Beach County Animal Care reports animal control officers have rescued 49 dogs and two cats in the last 48 hours, according to WPTV. Local animal officials reported finding dozens of dogs chained to trees and parked cars as thousands of people flee the Sunshine State.

Read more at: http://kxan.com/2017/09/09/more-than-50-animals-found-tethered-to-trees-in-florida-county/

This is real sad. I don't know what else to say. People evacuating so they tethered their pets to trees? Very odd.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: TomSea on September 10, 2017, 08:53:17 pm
On Direct TV, CNN is channel 202.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 08:58:22 pm
Now a Cat 2 storm

.IRMA NEAR NAPLES FLORIDA... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGES EXPECTED IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE EYE PASSAGE ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...
5:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 10
Location: 26.2°N 81.8°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 938 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 10, 2017, 08:59:06 pm
LOL  Yeah, I just watched the stupid newscaster talk about the swaying 200' tall trees blowing.   *****rollingeyes*****
@RoosGirl


It's a field of saplings.

Two hundred foot-tall trees.

 ^-^
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 08:59:21 pm
This is real sad. I don't know what else to say. People evacuating so they tethered their pets to trees? Very odd.

This is sick..owners should be shot!


thanks for the CNN channel
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 09:01:34 pm
@RoosGirl


It's a field of saplings.

Two hundred foot-tall trees.

 ^-^

Ohhhh, I just heard him wrong then. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 10, 2017, 09:04:50 pm
Listening to the interview it sounds like pets were just left where they were.  Some in pens and those who were tethered were so normally.  Not some new and special bit of sadism from evacuating Floridians.   

And, most were pits, FWIW.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 10, 2017, 09:08:22 pm
Lots of videos/reports here.
https://weather.com/
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 09:18:19 pm
https://twitchy.com/jacobb-38/2017/09/10/meanwhile-in-fort-lauderdale-it-looks-as-if-looting-is-well-underway/?utm_campaign=socialflow_twitchy&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social
Meanwhile in Fort Lauderdale, it looks as if looting is well underway

video at link
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 10, 2017, 09:26:44 pm
https://twitchy.com/jacobb-38/2017/09/10/meanwhile-in-fort-lauderdale-it-looks-as-if-looting-is-well-underway/?utm_campaign=socialflow_twitchy&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social
Meanwhile in Fort Lauderdale, it looks as if looting is well underway

video at link

I was just reading the comments at that link.  Geez, SJWs are everywhere.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 10, 2017, 10:08:45 pm
I posted this as a thread.

http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,280551.msg1447253.html#msg1447253

Sorry.  My post will be deleted.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 10:21:18 pm
..600 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE... ...WATER LEVELS RAPIDLY RISING IN NAPLES...
6:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 10
Location: 26.3°N 81.7°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 938 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: endicom on September 10, 2017, 10:21:36 pm

Did a tornado just whip passed Mike Bettes on live television? Holy crap. https://twitter.com/wxdam/status/906987300239933446
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 10:34:18 pm
Did a tornado just whip passed Mike Bettes on live television? Holy crap. https://twitter.com/wxdam/status/906987300239933446

It was just a baby one. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 10:37:11 pm
PS  We're at 5.20 inches of rain now.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: endicom on September 10, 2017, 10:39:00 pm
It was just a baby one. :)


But whatta baby! ;-)


Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 10, 2017, 10:48:31 pm
PS  We're at 5.20 inches of rain now.

We get around 12" per year here.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 10:52:43 pm
We get around 12" per year here.

Hahaha, that's so cute!

We actually started out the year in drought, had burn bans in place.  Then our normal summer weather patterns kicked in, a little bit late, and we made up for it,  now we'll be over for the year.  I think normal yearly is around 50" in the area of the state I live.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 10, 2017, 11:02:20 pm
.700 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE... ...EYEWALL OF IRMA HAMMERING FORT MYERS...
7:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 10
Location: 26.6°N 81.7°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 940 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 10, 2017, 11:02:47 pm
PS  We're at 5.20 inches of rain now.

4.19" here.  For the year so far.  :shrug:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 10, 2017, 11:16:04 pm
It's 5.8" now.  As of midnight last night.  Thankfully we live on basically a big sand hill, known as the Wekiva recharge basin, which basically is a big sand filter for our Floridan Aquifer.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 10, 2017, 11:22:09 pm
This is sick..owners should be shot!


thanks for the CNN channel
My bet is on stupid. Couldn't take the pets, left them with food and water outside where they could relieve themselves, never thinking about a storm surge or flooding. But improvements to the collective IQ would be welcome.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 10, 2017, 11:30:04 pm
My bet is on stupid. Couldn't take the pets, left them with food and water outside where they could relieve themselves, never thinking about a storm surge or flooding. But improvements to the collective IQ would be welcome.


Maybe, but that is a level of stupid that would be hard to achieve. If they are running away because they fear for their safety, why would they chain up a dog and leave? They must have some idea of what they are doing.


I know for a fact that there are boat-owners praying that their boat gets destroyed in the storm. They are crap boats in need of repair and they can't sell them. So, they tie them up where they think the storm is going to hit and hope for the best.


Whether or not this same philosophy applies to dog owners, I can't say.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 10, 2017, 11:34:36 pm

Maybe, but that is a level of stupid that would be hard to achieve. If they are running away because they fear for their safety, why would they chain up a dog and leave? They must have some idea of what they are doing.


I know for a fact that there are boat-owners praying that their boat gets destroyed in the storm. They are crap boats in need of repair and they can't sell them. So, they tie them up where they think the storm is going to hit and hope for the best.


Whether or not this same philosophy applies to dog owners, I can't say.
Oh, I try not to underestimate stupid, but every time I think I have a handle on that, some idiot comes along and digs the bar down another notch.

You may be right about the insurance thing, but that's no way to treat your dog. Some of them may have been left to keep the looters at bay, too. Not knowing just what sort of options were available to the animals, it's hard to say.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: 240B on September 10, 2017, 11:41:58 pm

From accuweather 30 minutes ago, update.


https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/hurricane-irma-to-batter-florida-with-catastrophic-storm-surge-wind-and-rain/70002657
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: LadyLiberty on September 10, 2017, 11:56:15 pm
Weather underground shows Irma at tropical storm strength in the panhandle.  Hope it's accurate.

(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711.gif)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 11, 2017, 12:17:50 am

President Trump Delivers a Statement on Hurricane Irma 9/10/17 
.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhNxeEAt41A
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Applewood on September 11, 2017, 12:24:42 am
https://twitchy.com/jacobb-38/2017/09/10/meanwhile-in-fort-lauderdale-it-looks-as-if-looting-is-well-underway/?utm_campaign=socialflow_twitchy&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social
Meanwhile in Fort Lauderdale, it looks as if looting is well underway

video at link

Yep.  I read somewhere that a woman was caught trying to break into a sporting goods store.  Guess she really, really, really needed a new pair of Nikes.   *****rollingeyes*****
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 11, 2017, 12:37:26 am
My mom, on the east coast in Tequesta, has gotten 15" of rain so far.  Storm should be mostly heading past her by now.  We're a little further north and west.  Storm just starting to get here and seeing some winds and power flickers.  Our rain is at 6.7" now.  And outside humidity is 99%.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: ABX on September 11, 2017, 01:03:51 am
Hurricane Irma strands manatees on beach -- until Floridians come to the rescue

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2017/09/10/hurricane-irma-strands-manatees-on-beach-until-floridians-come-to-rescue.html
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 11, 2017, 01:21:16 am
oh the huge manatee
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 11, 2017, 01:29:32 am
...900 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE... ...IRMA EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT...
9:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 10
Location: 27.1°N 81.8°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 942 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 11, 2017, 01:40:22 am
The local news satellite shows the dang thing going straight north right now, so it's probably coming closer to us than we thought earlier today.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: endicom on September 11, 2017, 01:41:27 am
 Kenneth P. Vogel‏Verified account @kenvogel 49m49 minutes ago

As @CNN reporter explains how dangerous it is on the streets of Orlando, & how few people are out, 2 dudes run by in shorts & t-shirts.

https://twitter.com/kenvogel
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 11, 2017, 01:48:12 am
Rain is at 8.2" now and wind picking up.  Highest gust here is only 32 mph.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 11, 2017, 01:52:00 am
The local news satellite shows the dang thing going straight north right now, so it's probably coming closer to us than we thought earlier today.

I think that it headed for you when I stopped praying it continue west and started praying for you to be younger so maybe you should go outside and stand in the rain and see if it makes you feel younger.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 11, 2017, 01:53:01 am
This is sick..owners should be shot!


thanks for the CNN channel

I agree. My wife's cousins brought 8 birds and four dogs in addition to 13 people when they left Tampa.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 11, 2017, 01:55:17 am
I think that it headed for you when I stopped praying it continue west and started praying for you to be younger so maybe you should go outside and stand in the rain and see if it makes you feel younger.

It would make my skin smooth from a little dermabrasion anyway. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 11, 2017, 01:57:39 am
I'll say this...I think I've found my job for when I retire...I want to be a cameraman for the Weather Channel and go cover these Hurricanes.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 11, 2017, 02:04:54 am
President Trump Delivers a Statement on Hurricane Irma 9/10/17 

@Right_in_Virginia

He did a pretty good job.  Thanks for posting.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 11, 2017, 02:08:09 am
..1000 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE... ...IRMA PRODUCING WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF FLORIDA...
10:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 10
Location: 27.3°N 81.9°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 948 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: GtHawk on September 11, 2017, 02:50:53 am
I'll say this...I think I've found my job for when I retire...I want to be a cameraman for the Weather Channel and go cover these Hurricanes.
Ahhh, you're smarter than that!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 11, 2017, 04:50:51 am
Ahhh, you're smarter than that!

It's either that or chase Twisters for NOAA.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: GtHawk on September 11, 2017, 04:59:01 am
It's either that or chase Twisters for NOAA.
Now that sounds exciting, and you certainly have to use your wits so you don't take the (http://i39.tinypic.com/21err78.jpg)ride
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 11, 2017, 07:22:10 am
I'll say this...I think I've found my job for when I retire...I want to be a cameraman for the Weather Channel and go cover these Hurricanes.
Well, that didn't take long. The house full getting to you?
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: guitar4jesus on September 11, 2017, 10:31:27 am
All good here.  Waiting for first light to assess property.   :seeya:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: bigheadfred on September 11, 2017, 10:33:58 am
All good here.  Waiting for first light to assess property.   :seeya:

Thank goodness.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 11, 2017, 10:39:53 am
@Right_in_Virginia

He did a pretty good job.  Thanks for posting.

You're welcome @Suppressed   ^-^
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cripplecreek on September 11, 2017, 10:42:16 am
They staged my cousin Josh in Tampa (He's down there to cut trees) and has contacted my aunt already this morning. What she posted.

Heard from Josh about 5 this morning. He said it wasn't bad at all. He is fine and I could quit worrying now. Winds were not much more than a high wind advisory here at home. Thankfully Irma calmed down before it got there. — feeling relieved.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 11, 2017, 10:44:49 am
300 doctors, nurses and paramedics being transported via military plane to Orlando, Florida, for Hurricane #Irma response.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJalXXMW0AAXgj5.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Right_in_Virginia on September 11, 2017, 10:47:02 am
Members from various federal law enforcement agencies rest before deploying to areas affected by Hurricane Irma at Moody Air Force Base, GA

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJZ9NBIXkAIw5SX.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 11, 2017, 11:47:39 am
All good here.  Waiting for first light to assess property.   :seeya:

One broken window which fortunately was a double pane window.  Lotsa leaves and small branches.

Oh and one dog that had to pee really bad.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 11, 2017, 11:51:32 am
One broken window which fortunately was a double pane window.  Lotsa leaves and small branches.

Oh and one dog that had to pee really bad.
Poor pup! Glad you're OK!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: guitar4jesus on September 11, 2017, 12:05:58 pm
One broken window which fortunately was a double pane window.  Lotsa leaves and small branches.

Oh and one dog that had to pee really bad.

Great!

We've got a lot of branches down on the property, some large ones, but nothing near the house.  Of course the power's out.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 11, 2017, 12:13:05 pm
All good here.  Waiting for first light to assess property.   :seeya:

Hope the damage is minor, glad to hear you are safe.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 11, 2017, 12:13:38 pm
One broken window which fortunately was a double pane window.  Lotsa leaves and small branches.

Oh and one dog that had to pee really bad.


That doesn't sound to bad, glad to hear you are safe.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 11, 2017, 12:21:32 pm

That doesn't sound to bad, glad to hear you are safe.

Had a popped circuit breaker which took the internet down.  Local news showing a lot of damage but not as bad as it was further south.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Mom MD on September 11, 2017, 12:23:54 pm
Had a popped circuit breaker which took the internet down.  Local news showing a lot of damage but not as bad as it was further south.

My parents have not been able to talk to anyone from where they live in Naples yet, phones must be out.  They are hopeful no structural damage.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 11, 2017, 12:26:17 pm
Had a popped circuit breaker which took the internet down.  Local news showing a lot of damage but not as bad as it was further south.

I had a 40A breaker on the water well pressure switch that did NOT trip, even after the mud inside the switch caused it to arc so bad it burned through the wire.

Replacing that 1970's Federal Pacific Panelboard became a higher priority in the rebuild.  It was on our list before, but....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 11, 2017, 12:27:02 pm
This is all good news so far!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 11, 2017, 01:03:26 pm
I pray y'all enjoy each others' company.

@Smokin Joe they seem to like me so far.  Had a huge cookout for them yesterday at the park.


@Freya thank you.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: driftdiver on September 11, 2017, 01:08:09 pm
My parents have not been able to talk to anyone from where they live in Naples yet, phones must be out.  They are hopeful no structural damage.

The winds were pretty strong down there and the storm surge too.    Well keep praying for everyone down there.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 11, 2017, 01:15:12 pm
@Smokin Joe they seem to like me so far.  Had a huge cookout for them yesterday at the park.


@Freya thank you.
Glad to hear it! Having a sudden influx of relatives can be trying on a good day, especially a crowd (that depends on the relatives, too).  I hope all continues to be harmonious, and enjoy!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Bigun on September 11, 2017, 01:16:59 pm
All seems well so far but a few Floridians remain to be heard from.  Hopefully due to lack of power only.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 11, 2017, 01:20:13 pm
I found this interesting. I don't remember seeing this for other storms.

IRMA Graphics Archive:
3-day Forecast Track,Initial Wind Field and Watch/Warning Graphic
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2017/IRMA_graphics.php?product=3day_cone_no_line_and_wind

Watch how the prediction and actual storm path moves over the life of the storm.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 11, 2017, 01:34:01 pm
http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/350007-trump-to-visit-south-florida-in-wake-of-hurricane-irma
Trump to visit Florida in wake of Hurricane Irma
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 11, 2017, 01:46:09 pm
@Smokin Joe they seem to like me so far.  Had a huge cookout for them yesterday at the park.

Great news!
@txradioguy
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 11, 2017, 01:59:26 pm
...IRMA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM BUT STILL PRODUCING SOME WIND GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...
8:00 AM EDT Mon Sep 11
Location: 29.5°N 82.9°W
Moving: NNW at 18 mph
Min pressure: 970 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 11, 2017, 02:00:40 pm
(https://www.google.com/maps/vt/data=6xU2HibxDSkw6K2wul2yvJiqHzlndaJM8E-eEXN3pL07n72Bo9mP0fcxpkybYvcag1quBtD_hNlcMb2AG4GWHc1o6SpTIEGgt4m6tH_VwZJVEpwqQu8mxvRfiH1Q2w_bQUef9HIWjNIpSr5lfBmkYQHl7HBW5HvSDQT0KO4PZ8DYUHLMLgX8NEzG9LfOGolH_6nxZ5dN2s3tDdesBC0fbZ-_4OVqA-EeblX_XC4bBwtf75OW?scale=1&h=192&w=632)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: mystery-ak on September 11, 2017, 02:10:55 pm
(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_sat.jpg)

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/hurricane-irma-to-batter-florida-with-catastrophic-storm-surge-wind-and-rain/70002657
Irma batters Florida with catastrophic storm surge, wind and rain
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 11, 2017, 02:12:08 pm
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL112017_wind_history+png/094751_wind_history.png)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 11, 2017, 02:13:11 pm
Glad to hear it! Having a sudden influx of relatives can be trying on a good day, especially a crowd (that depends on the relatives, too).  I hope all continues to be harmonious, and enjoy!

So far so good.  A couple of the younger kids were a little upset and not handling it well...but I think running around in the park yesterday and eating some chicken and burgers calmed them down a little.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 11, 2017, 02:13:43 pm
(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_sat.jpg)

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/hurricane-irma-to-batter-florida-with-catastrophic-storm-surge-wind-and-rain/70002657
Irma batters Florida with catastrophic storm surge, wind and rain

Well that explains why it's overcast and windy here today.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: DCPatriot on September 11, 2017, 02:29:11 pm
Wondering why the networks, etc., are so lazy....they keep showing the circular animated icon as if 'IRMA' was still a hurricane even in Northern Alabama.  They just refuse to pack up an leave.

It's more like an old-fashioned Nor-Easter now, in terms of wind direction/speed.

(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_sat.jpg)

Chris Planted (WMAL630am) played a clip of a NBC 'on-the-scene' weather reporter/lab rat saying that "Irma wasn't .......bad as we hoped!"   
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: DCPatriot on September 11, 2017, 02:43:41 pm
Morning smile:

How soon is too soon to start eating
people after the power goes out?

Asking for a friend...



meme making the rounds this morning...   :laugh:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 11, 2017, 02:45:16 pm
Morning smile:

How soon is too soon to start eating
people after the power goes out?

Asking for a friend...



meme making the rounds this morning...   :laugh:

 :silly:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 11, 2017, 02:48:17 pm
No damage here.  Been out of power since around 5:30 this morning, but genny is up and running the fridge and freezer.  Ended up with about 10.5" rain total between yesterday and today.  Still overcast and blustery, but nothing horrible.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cripplecreek on September 11, 2017, 02:49:24 pm
So far so good.  A couple of the younger kids were a little upset and not handling it well...but I think running around in the park yesterday and eating some chicken and burgers calmed them down a little.

My new girlfriend has 5 kids 5 to 14. I love kids but I'm real glad she wants to keep her place for now. The younger 4 are mostly fine with coming here but the 14 year old girl hates everyone and everything and its all my fault. The oldest one did like me for a little while yesterday because I paid for her and a friend to go see "IT" and talked her mom into letting her go.

I'm real glad I ordered my lumber, doors and windows last month. When I called Lowes for delivery they told me that the prices were shooting up due to the hurricanes. What cost $2500 two weeks ago is over $3000 now. It helps that I got an 11% rebate which pays for my new garage door and I got a contractor discount for ordering it all at once.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 11, 2017, 02:50:07 pm
Oh, and I think all of our 200' tall trees weathered ok. ;P
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Weird Tolkienish Figure on September 11, 2017, 02:51:34 pm
Still waiting for word that the guy that was streaming from Marathon Florida is ok. Haven't heard from him since the storm.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: guitar4jesus on September 11, 2017, 02:54:13 pm
The winds were pretty strong down there and the storm surge too.    Well keep praying for everyone down there.

Aye.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 11, 2017, 02:54:45 pm
My new girlfriend has 5 kids 5 to 14. I love kids but I'm real glad she wants to keep her place for now. The younger 4 are mostly fine with coming here but the 14 year old girl hates everyone and everything and its all my fault. The oldest one did like me for a little while yesterday because I paid for her and a friend to go see "IT" and talked her mom into letting her go.

The two kids that are at my place are the ones that seem to be the most level headed of the bunch.  4th and 6th grade.  I think I've managed to turn the boy into a Cowboys fan to boot! :)

Quote
I'm real glad I ordered my lumber, doors and windows last month. When I called Lowes for delivery they told me that the prices were shooting up due to the hurricanes. What cost $2500 two weeks ago is over $3000 now. It helps that I got an 11% rebate which pays for my new garage door and I got a contractor discount for ordering it all at once.

Glad you were able to get the discount.  Makes me extremely mad that they raise the prices like that though to take advantage of the hurricane.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: guitar4jesus on September 11, 2017, 02:58:20 pm
 
Oh, and I think all of our 200' tall trees weathered ok. ;P

 :silly: :silly:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 11, 2017, 03:15:36 pm
No damage here.  Been out of power since around 5:30 this morning, but genny is up and running the fridge and freezer.  Ended up with about 10.5" rain total between yesterday and today.  Still overcast and blustery, but nothing horrible.

Good news, RoosGirl!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 11, 2017, 03:15:40 pm
So far so good.  A couple of the younger kids were a little upset and not handling it well...but I think running around in the park yesterday and eating some chicken and burgers calmed them down a little.
Run 'em till they are hungry, feed 'em and let them run till they zonk. They'll be fine. Little ones get more rattled when their routine is disrupted than they let on, but they adapt fast if the adults handle it in stride and don't make a big deal of things.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 11, 2017, 03:17:45 pm
...

Glad you were able to get the discount.  Makes me extremely mad that they raise the prices like that though to take advantage of the hurricane.

I talked to a guy yesterday who works at a plywood plant.  Because of the weather and infrastructure damage, they can't get trees.  Supply is limited.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 11, 2017, 03:18:48 pm
Morning smile:

How soon is too soon to start eating
people after the power goes out?

Asking for a friend...



meme making the rounds this morning...   :laugh:
Wait until the fava beans are cooked and the Chianti has had a little time to breathe....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 11, 2017, 03:21:30 pm
No damage here.  Been out of power since around 5:30 this morning, but genny is up and running the fridge and freezer.  Ended up with about 10.5" rain total between yesterday and today.  Still overcast and blustery, but nothing horrible.

Good to hear, stay safe
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 11, 2017, 03:39:29 pm
Wondering why the networks, etc., are so lazy....they keep showing the circular animated icon as if 'IRMA' was still a hurricane even in Northern Alabama.  They just refuse to pack up an leave.
@DCPatriot

What icon do you mean? This symbol?

(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/--kezBiYfwy8/UF_dUa57qFI/AAAAAAAACC0/Jbdps2AR_c0/s1600/oct_hurricane.gif)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 11, 2017, 03:42:51 pm
Makes me extremely mad that they raise the prices like that though to take advantage of the hurricane.

I hope you realize that their costs are increased, and the elevated price allows for greater supply to be obtained.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Hoodat on September 11, 2017, 03:48:55 pm
(http://17663-presscdn-0-49.pagely.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/unnamed-6.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 11, 2017, 04:22:22 pm
The looting in Miami yesterday makes my blood boil. Disgusting. My brother and his family are safe, as is my son. So relieved.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 11, 2017, 04:25:02 pm
Good to hear, stay safe

Still praying for you, sir.  Y'all got it a hell of a lot worse than we did.  I will be happy to just be out power for however long it is.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: thackney on September 11, 2017, 04:36:51 pm
Still praying for you, sir.  Y'all got it a hell of a lot worse than we did.  I will be happy to just be out power for however long it is.

Thanks, we had a few surprises this weekend.  Found some personal stuff tucked away in closets we didn't think to save.  But we will be fine.  We were blessed with so much help this weekend.  And we are thinking about ways to improve the house as we rebuild. (do we really need that wall, this time the master bathroom gets a door!)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: austingirl on September 11, 2017, 04:38:11 pm
Thanks, we had a few surprises this weekend.  Found some personal stuff tucked away in closets we didn't think to save.  But we will be fine.  We were blessed with so much help this weekend.  And we are thinking about ways to improve the house as we rebuild. (do we really need that wall, this time the master bathroom gets a door!)

Still sending prayers as you rebuild. Glad to hear you have help.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 11, 2017, 05:12:17 pm
Wondering why the networks, etc., are so lazy....they keep showing the circular animated icon as if 'IRMA' was still a hurricane even in Northern Alabama.  They just refuse to pack up an leave.

It's more like an old-fashioned Nor-Easter now, in terms of wind direction/speed.

(https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_sat.jpg)

Chris Planted (WMAL630am) played a clip of a NBC 'on-the-scene' weather reporter/lab rat saying that "Irma wasn't .......bad as we hoped!"

She's still a Tropical Storm.  The round icon will become an "L" when it drops to Depression level later today.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 11, 2017, 07:09:26 pm
Ran all over looking Leesburg, VA today loolking for a small generator.   Figured I'd see what was in the stores, then research those models online.  I bought the ONE that I found. If I don't like it, I'm sure someone will be happy to buy it from me when I get home.  Electric company site shows 55% of its customers have power.

Ten minutes later the neighbor texts. Have power and no damage. 

Long, expensive trip the last couple days, but worth it. I made a few mistakes and learned from them.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 11, 2017, 07:15:06 pm
Graphic showing prediction vs path for Irma
http://i.imgur.com/Dh6g07r.mp4
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Suppressed on September 11, 2017, 07:59:15 pm
Volunteers rescue Air Jordan's from Foot Locker during Hurricane Irma.
by OctopussSevenTwo    5 hr

http://i.imgur.com/ZGPLYi4.mp4
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: TomSea on September 11, 2017, 08:07:38 pm
Cuba's old Spanish cities got it, unreal.

(http://babalublog.com/wpr/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/BN-VA475_3do2c_M_20170909211017.jpg)

(http://babalublog.com/wpr/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/irma-cuba-flooded-streets-ap-ps-170910_4x3_992.jpg)

(http://babalublog.com/wpr/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/main_900.jpg)

Phone or electrical lines, down.
(http://babalublog.com/wpr/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/170909174358-03-irma-cuba-0909-super-169.jpg)

(http://babalublog.com/wpr/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/DJXYABaVoAEpNef-1.jpg)

http://babalublog.com/
http://babalublog.com/page/2/
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 11, 2017, 08:15:45 pm
Cuba's old Spanish cities got it, unreal.

(http://babalublog.com/wpr/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/BN-VA475_3do2c_M_20170909211017.jpg)

(http://babalublog.com/wpr/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/irma-cuba-flooded-streets-ap-ps-170910_4x3_992.jpg)

(http://babalublog.com/wpr/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/main_900.jpg)

Phone or electrical lines, down.
(http://babalublog.com/wpr/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/170909174358-03-irma-cuba-0909-super-169.jpg)

(http://babalublog.com/wpr/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/DJXYABaVoAEpNef-1.jpg)

http://babalublog.com/
http://babalublog.com/page/2/

That's painful to look at.  Especially the last one.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 11, 2017, 08:19:11 pm
To bad Irma didn't take the Castro's with her as she passed by.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: GtHawk on September 11, 2017, 08:36:08 pm
To bad Irma didn't take the Castro's with her as she passed by.
Cuban, Texan or both(http://i43.tinypic.com/313q1xl.jpg)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: txradioguy on September 11, 2017, 08:54:50 pm
Cuban, Texan or both(http://i43.tinypic.com/313q1xl.jpg)

Right now I'd settle or the Cuban Castro's.  I'd really like to visit the country...but I refuse to put one Peso into the pockets of that regime. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 11, 2017, 09:00:04 pm
Right now I'd settle or the Cuban Castro's.  I'd really like to visit the country...but I refuse to put one Peso into the pockets of that regime.

That's true for a lot of us.  The only fools I see going there as tourists now are raving leftist barking moonbats.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Smokin Joe on September 11, 2017, 10:06:51 pm
That's true for a lot of us.  The only fools I see going there as tourists now are raving leftist barking moonbats.
Makes me wonder if they wear Che T-shirts?  :whistle:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: cato potatoe on September 11, 2017, 11:45:00 pm
Still waiting for word that the guy that was streaming from Marathon Florida is ok. Haven't heard from him since the storm.

From what I heard, the worst damage accompanied the eye wall between Key West and Marathon.  Big Pine Key was obliterated.  Roads are gouged by storm surge and bridges may be unsound.  They may have to evacuate people, as the infrastructure will take a LONG time to rebuild. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 12, 2017, 02:03:29 am
@Wingnut - I forgive your language- I just want you to be safe. You too @RoosGirl
(http://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21617940_10101623053564805_6753649531632984092_n.jpg?oh=afa452a0400e6f92570cb1179a54837e&oe=5A46086C)

3 hours ago.   A picture over our hood As the last bands headed north!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=2&v=zKvmlj2k_fM

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Sanguine on September 12, 2017, 02:52:52 am
(http://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21617940_10101623053564805_6753649531632984092_n.jpg?oh=afa452a0400e6f92570cb1179a54837e&oe=5A46086C)

3 hours ago.   A picture over our hood As the last bands headed north!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=2&v=zKvmlj2k_fM

That's great, @Wingnut!

And, you live in such a nice, normal neighborhood.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 12, 2017, 02:58:35 am
That's great, @Wingnut!

And, you live in such a nice, normal neighborhood.

@Wingnut

Pretty shocking, if you ask me.  They have grass in their lawns and everything.   :tongue2:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 12, 2017, 03:02:33 am
No doubt, I totally expected this lady to be his neighbor.

(https://farm3.staticflickr.com/2440/3956833361_b206a907a5.jpg)

Not that there's anything wrong with that.  ^-^
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 12, 2017, 03:06:39 am
That's great, @Wingnut!

And, you live in such a nice, normal neighborhood.

I like to think of it as the Fort Worth of The Panhandle of Fl.    Without the mobile homes. 
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 12, 2017, 03:08:20 am
@Wingnut

Pretty shocking, if you ask me.  They have grass in their lawns and everything.   :tongue2:

Unlike Arizona.   :beer:  LOL
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 12, 2017, 03:13:06 am
No doubt, I totally expected this lady to be his neighbor.

Not that there's anything wrong with that.  ^-^

That kinda looks like my neighbor, except he's a dude.
Next year I am getting a flock of plastic pink flamingos and one of those plywood 'Ol lady bloomers bent over in the garden' Just to piss off the neighbors across the highway.

Someone turned me in for having a horse in my yard... Wasn't my horse... He was out loose and I shut him up. Since my yard is fenced with tbar and cattle panels, it was the only yard ready made to hold him...

Didn't matter none... No covenants where I am. I can do as I damn well please.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJixs2FoZ_Y
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 12, 2017, 03:17:35 am
Well, I kinda felt like a shit after I posted that pic, but it's what I could find quickly.  I was more interested in the trailer and the astroturf  yard. :)  Though I do think that marijuana on top of the battle flag is some kind of off.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 12, 2017, 03:18:07 am
See you all next Saturday.   Behave.  Peace out.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 12, 2017, 03:24:06 am
Well, I kinda felt like a shit after I posted that pic, but it's what I could find quickly.  I was more interested in the trailer and the astroturf  yard. :)  Though I do think that marijuana on top of the battle flag is some kind of off.

Nah... Don't worry about it none. Rednecks pokin fun at rednecks is par for the course.  :beer:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 12, 2017, 03:32:55 am
Nah... Don't worry about it none. Rednecks pokin fun at rednecks is par for the course.  :beer:

Haha, true.  On my own time the redneck I poke the most fun at is myself. :)
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 12, 2017, 03:39:54 am
Unlike Arizona.   :beer:  LOL

Imagine my shock when I first got here....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 12, 2017, 03:45:34 am
Haha, true.  On my own time the redneck I poke the most fun at is myself. :)

Well, at least that gives you a lot of material to work with  :beer: :seeya:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 12, 2017, 03:52:57 am
Well, I kinda felt like a shit after I posted that pic, but it's what I could find quickly.  I was more interested in the trailer and the astroturf  yard. :)  Though I do think that marijuana on top of the battle flag is some kind of off.

I thought she was cute....
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 12, 2017, 04:02:51 am
Well, at least that gives you a lot of material to work with  :beer: :seeya:

LOL.  Truth!  And has helped me hone my skill to a master's level.   :tongue2:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 12, 2017, 04:05:51 am
[...] my skill to a master's level.

Well no matter how that happened, that much right there is dead-on right, I'll tell you what.
 :beer:
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: RoosGirl on September 12, 2017, 04:08:21 am
Well no matter how that happened, that much right there is dead-on right, I'll tell you what.
 :beer:

Sir, you are a treat!
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 12, 2017, 04:08:33 am
Imagine my shock when I first got here....

@Cyber Liberty.  They say,,,, There is no turning back.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 12, 2017, 04:11:21 am
@Cyber Liberty.  They say,,,, There is no turning back.

Once you have gravel for a yard, it's tough going anywhere.  Geesh I hated mowing lawns.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Frank Cannon on September 12, 2017, 04:12:05 am
Geez. 30 pages about Irma and her blow job. Things must be damn slow around here.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Cyber Liberty on September 12, 2017, 04:15:19 am
Geez. 30 pages about Irma and her blow job. Things must be damn slow around here.

It just seems that way when you and Wingnut aren't around.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: roamer_1 on September 12, 2017, 04:21:21 am
Sir, you are a treat!

And you darlin, are too modest by half.
 888high58888
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 12, 2017, 04:32:13 am
The looting in Miami yesterday makes my blood boil. Disgusting. My brother and his family are safe, as is my son. So relieved.

Ohh hurray. I'm behind with my 24 hour 9/11  media blackout.

Reading to see how people are doing.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Wingnut on September 12, 2017, 04:55:46 am
Geez. 30 pages about Irma and her blow job. Things must be damn slow around here.

@FrankCannon.  It really is just a case of not trying to buck a duck, or trying to sell a bucked up duck to a mother duck hunter.
Other than that  your are right.  It is slow.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: musiclady on September 13, 2017, 01:02:12 am
It just seems that way when you and Wingnut aren't around.

 888high58888
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 13, 2017, 05:39:57 pm
Guess I should have left a little earlier.  301 was okay at first, but it took six hours to get to Jax. Sea of FL cars from there until I26 in SC where they disappeared.

An observation for those in FL who might choose to evac up I95.

I was on the way home last night.  Traffic running smoothly on I-95 South at about 85 until a few miles north of I-26.  From there it was stop and wait and wait and go a little all the way to Jacksonville (at least, that's as far as I cared about).  That traffic that disappeared there on the way up reappeared there on the way down, and this time they brought all their friends.

I'll remember this in the future.  If the storm looks like it may follow me up 95, I'll stay north of 26.  If not, and I'm primarily concerned about getting home quickly, I'll stay far enough south of 26 to get the jump on a lot of that traffic.

I'm also going to research alternate routes (such as US17, which kind of stalks I95 and was, except in one place I had to route way around, virtually empty).  Sucks trying to come up with a long route using minor highways while using a phone as a map, and Siri was in complete schitzo mode last night, changing her mind faster than I could react.
Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Elderberry on September 14, 2017, 12:49:46 pm
Quote
Harvey’s hit to mortgages could be four times worse than predicted—and then there’s Irma
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/13/hurricanes-harvey-and-irma-could-hit-mortgages-more-than-predicted.html (https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/13/hurricanes-harvey-and-irma-could-hit-mortgages-more-than-predicted.html)


    As many as 300,000 borrowers could become delinquent on their loans after Hurricane Harvey, Black Knight Financial Services says.
    That is four times the original prediction because new disaster zones were designated and more homes flooded.
    The sheer volume of homes hit by Hurricane Irma will likely cause an increase in mortgage delinquencies as well, though the storms are difficult to compare.

As homeowners in Houston struggle to dry out and rebuild, they may also struggle to make payments on their mortgages.

New estimates suggest as many as 300,000 borrowers could become delinquent on their loans and 160,000 could become seriously delinquent, that is, more than 90 days past due, when banks initiate foreclosure proceedings. This from Black Knight Financial Services, which compared mortgaged properties in the FEMA-designated disaster areas in Houston to those in Hurricane Katrina, and the resulting delinquencies in the four months following Katrina.

That is four times the original prediction because new disaster zones were designated and more homes flooded when officials released water from reservoirs to protect dams. The total number of mortgaged properties in disaster zones is 1.18 million. Houston disaster zones contain twice as many mortgaged properties than Katrina zones, with four times the unpaid principal balance.

After Hurricane Katrina, mortgage delinquencies in Louisiana and Mississippi disaster areas spiked 25 percentage points. The same could happen in Houston, as borrowers without flood insurance weigh their options. They will get some federal relief, but if rebuilding would cost more than the principal in their homes, they could decide to walk away.

In Florida, the sheer volume of homes hit by Hurricane Irma will likely cause an increase in mortgage delinquencies, but the comparison with Katrina does not work because of the different natures of the storms. Florida did not see sustained flooding, although there was considerable wind damage, especially in the Keys.

There are 2.08 million mortgaged properties in Irma-related FEMA disaster areas, more than four times that of Katrina and twice as many as Harvey. Total unpaid mortgage balances for Irma areas are $370 billion. If the correlation worked, there could have been half a million mortgage delinquencies in Florida, but, again, the storms were different. This is not to say, however, that Florida will not see a hit to mortgages in the coming months. It is just harder to quantify how many.

Title: Re: Live Thread: Hurricane Irma Is Heading Towards The Gulf Of Mexico
Post by: Gefn on September 15, 2017, 10:39:03 am
I found out last night my best friend and godson are fine, their house had minimal damage. No electricity,   But they have a generator. 

And my godson is happy because no school this week!!

A picture I found- I hope it's ok if I post it.  It's very much me, even if it's a little late.

[attachment deleted by admin]