Rasmussen's final turnout model is D/R/I of 39/37/24 or a D+2
Here is what I posted in another thread this morning
Using the D/R/I split of 39/37/24 that Scott put out yesterday, here are the raw numbers:
Gov Romney = (11*0.39)+ (86*0.37)+(53*0.24) = 48.83
Pres Obama = (89*0.39)+ (12*0.37)+(38*0.24) = 48.27
Now, let me re-do them with the Governor getting 95% of Republican support and the President thus getting 5% with NO other change
Gov Romney = (11*0.39)+ (95*0.37)+(53*0.24) = 52.16
Pres Obama = (89*0.39)+ (05*0.37)+(38*0.24) = 45.68
In other words: R:52 O:46