October Surprise: This Race Is Over

[mystery-ak]

November 2, 2020
October Surprise: This Race Is Over
By Jerry Cave and Bill Thomas

We now know -- thanks to October -- who will win on November 3. The reason we know is found in early voting data.

October voting is no longer the exclusive domain of the Democratic Party. Both parties vote early and in ever-increasing numbers. Which makes the October vote an early “action report” on the election outcome that’s more reality based than the polls or the mainstream media.

Who you vote for is a secret. When, where, and how many voters cast their ballots is not. It’s data. In this case, data in its most meaningful form: the number of early votes by registered Democrats and the number of early votes by registered Republicans.

Convincing the other party’s voters to vote for your candidate is a long shot. Getting your voters to turn out for your candidate is how elections are won. It’s called GOTV, for Get Out The Vote.

GOTV plus voter enthusiasm invariably equals winning results at the polls.

more
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/11/october_surprise_this_race_is_over_.html

[skeeter]

Encouraging analysis.

[Victoria33]

@skeeter
@mystery-ak
@libertybele

Some states do not have registration to be a Dem or Rep.  Texas is one of them.  No one knows, in an election, who is a Dem or who is a Rep.

In a Primary, in Texas, if you vote in the Republican primary, you are a Rep.  If you vote in the Democrat primary, you are a Dem., but there is no actual registration as a Dem or Rep., so in a general election, since there is no registration, no one knows who is a Dem or Rep.  One would have to look up the name of a voter, to see if this voter voted in the Dem Primary or Rep Primary.

So these type states are not included in this survey of Dems or Reps who voted.

[Cyber Liberty]

@skeeter
@mystery-ak
@libertybele

Some states do not have registration to be a Dem or Rep.  Texas is one of them.  No one knows, in an election, who is a Dem or who is a Rep.

In a Primary, in Texas, if you vote in the Republican primary, you are a Rep.  If you vote in the Democrat primary, you are a Dem., but there is no actual registration as a Dem or Rep., so in a general election, since there is no registration, no one knows who is a Dem or Rep.  One would have to look up the name of a voter, to see if this voter voted in the Dem Primary or Rep Primary.

So these type states are not included in this survey of Dems or Reps who voted.

I didn't know TX is an "Open Primary" state.  How disappointing.   

[skeeter]

@skeeter
@mystery-ak
@libertybele

Some states do not have registration to be a Dem or Rep.  Texas is one of them.  No one knows, in an election, who is a Dem or who is a Rep.

In a Primary, in Texas, if you vote in the Republican primary, you are a Rep.  If you vote in the Democrat primary, you are a Dem., but there is no actual registration as a Dem or Rep., so in a general election, since there is no registration, no one knows who is a Dem or Rep.  One would have to look up the name of a voter, to see if this voter voted in the Dem Primary or Rep Primary.

So these type states are not included in this survey of Dems or Reps who voted.

Thanks, but I prefer being encouraged.

[Jazzhead]

The true October Surprise may well be the increasing likelihood that if Biden is elected the economy will be shut down again.  I can't believe that's a winner for Biden.  We all know the steps we need to take to protect ourselves from the Covid virus.  But few of want to face the uncertainty of the government arbitrarily taking our livelihoods away.

[jafo2010]

If you heard Bernie Sanders today, you have reason to fear a Biden presidency.  He said we will definitely move forward on the Green New Deal, Medicare for all, and have all those folks making $400,000+ pay their FAIR SHARE!

I am so sick of hearing about people WORKING paying their fair share, when I know an architect, who is now in his 70s, and he made a six figure income most of his life and NEVER FILED A TAX RETURN WITH THE IRS.  NEVER!!!

I know a hair dresser/prostitute who makes more money in cash than my wife's net income(she is a physician with the CDC), and she lives in a $500,000 home, just bought a new BMW, pays virtually nothing in taxes each year, and pays ONLY $10 per month in premium for her Obamacare.  Yes, she is on Obamacare!!!

None of the changes the stinking Democommies plan to make will have these two paying one dime more in taxes.  Not a dime.

Fair with our tax policies just does not exist.  I am sick of hearing working people need to pay more in taxes when so many that pay nothing get away with what they do.

[Weird Tolkienish Figure]

The punditry seems pretty confident? Across the board.