Will Black and Hispanic Voters Reelect Trump?
They could well make the difference in a number of key battleground states.
by David Catron
October 20, 2020, 12:33 AM
To prevent Donald Trump from winning a second term, Joe Biden has to reach two goals that Hillary Clinton never approached in 2016. First, he must turn out minority voters in numbers comparable to the historic benchmarks set by former President Obama. Second, he must garner about 94 percent of the Black vote and roughly 72 percent of the Hispanic vote. Not even the implausible polls paid for and promoted by the media show Biden generating anywhere near the level of enthusiasm needed to produce the high turnout required. Nor do they show him reaching the vote percentages he needs among Black and Hispanic voters who actually cast a ballot.
It doesn’t seem to have occurred to the Biden campaign and their friends in the media that attacking Black men who think for themselves isn’t the best way to “woo†them.
According to the Marist poll released on October 15, for example, Biden’s lead among Black voters overall remains at an anemic 81 percent to 18 percent. This is even worse than Hillary Clinton’s losing percentage of 88 percent and 13 points below Obama’s benchmark. If Biden’s numbers are that low in the final vote tally, he’ll lose all the battleground states of the upper Midwest. In states like Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, the Democrats depend on Black voters in major urban centers to maintain their electoral edge. Biden’s 81 percent won’t cut it. Astead Herndon, writing in the New York Times, describes the 2016 debacle in Wisconsin:
In deep-blue Milwaukee County, where statewide Democrats run up the score to offset more conservative rural areas, Mrs. Clinton had one of the largest drop-offs in raw votes of any county in the country, earning more than 40,000 fewer votes than Mr. Obama did four years earlier. Pew Research estimated that in 2016, 64 percent of eligible Black women said they had voted compared with 54 percent of eligible Black men, a much larger gender gap than for white or Hispanic voters.
more
https://spectator.org/biden-black-hispanic-voters-polls/
