Republicans hopeful Trump-Biden race beginning to tighten
by W. James Antle III, Politics Editor |
| August 07, 2020 06:30 AM
President Trump still faces an uphill battle for reelection, but there are some signs that the race against Democratic challenger Joe Biden could be about to get more competitive.
“The race from my perspective as a pollster is that it is tightening,†said Republican strategist Jon Gilmore. “Most of the swing state polling shows margin-of-error leads for Biden. President Trump has got to be disciplined for these final months to appeal to the key swing state voters and the ever-important independents.â€
Biden’s lead in the RealClearPolitics national polling average is down to 6.4 points, having not long ago been above 8. In the top battleground states, Biden’s edge over Trump is 4.7 points. A Hill/HarrisX poll shows the presumptive Democratic nominee ahead by just 3 points, a margin consistent with Rasmussen. An Emerson College poll has Biden up by 4.
Trump’s numbers took a severe hit over the spring and summer as the coronavirus, a pandemic-related economic contraction, and the civil unrest following the death of George Floyd diminished public confidence in his leadership. With the peace and prosperity message that was to be the centerpiece of Trump’s reelection campaign superseded by events, Biden assumed a low profile and jumped out to a growing lead in the embattled president’s shadow.
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