Author Topic: Can Republicans Win the House in November?  (Read 194 times)

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Offline mystery-ak

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Can Republicans Win the House in November?
« on: May 24, 2020, 04:11:38 pm »
Election 2020
Can Republicans Win the House in November?
By Rick Moran May 23, 2020 6:50 PM EST

House Republican leaders are expressing optimism about their chances to flip the House from Democrats to the GOP in November. Despite the challenges facing the party — challenges that almost all political pros from both parties agree are daunting — there may, indeed, be room for looking on the sunny side of the contest.

Most political experts dismiss Republican chances of winning back the House. They point to the 41 seats that flipped in the 2018 midterms, a record number of Republican retirements, and a big cash advantage for Democratic incumbents.

But a large number of those seats that flipped during the midterm aren’t going to be easy to defend — especially since many of those seats are in the heart of Trump country, National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) Chairman Tom Emmer (R-Minn.) explained.

The Hill:

Quote
“Just do the math. There are 43 House Democrats sitting in more Republican seats than the one we just won in California last week. And remember, we now only need 17 to reclaim the majority,” [Emmer] said. “One of the reasons the House flipped [in] 2002 was because of the momentum that was created by special election victories.”

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https://pjmedia.com/election/rick-moran/2020/05/23/are-house-republicans-justified-in-being-optimistic-about-flipping-the-house-in-november-n422918
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Can Republicans Win the House in November?
« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2020, 04:16:26 pm »
All hinges on how well the economy recovers. 

V shaped? -  Trump wins pretty nicely, especially if Biden is candidate
U shaped? - Trump loses.  Timing exceeds time left in election
W shaped?  Close election, and hinges greatly on economic indicator timing and results.
L shaped?  Huge Trump loss.
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