Trump's Chances For Re-election Are Looking Better and Better
Victor Davis Hanson
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Posted: Feb 27, 2020 12:01 AM
Donald Trump has at least five strong historical arguments for his re-election.
One, he is an incumbent. Incumbent presidents have won 14 of 19 re-election bids since 1900.
The few who lost did not enjoy positive approval ratings. In a Gallup poll from earlier this month, Trump enjoyed his highest approval rating since his inauguration, squeezing out a 49 percent favorable rating vs. 50 percent unfavorable.
Two, the public perception of the economy usually determines any presidential election -- as incumbents Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, George H.W. Bush and Herbert Hoover learned the hard way. Currently, the U.S. is enjoying low inflation, low interest rates, positive economic growth, near-record low-unemployment, rising workers' wages, and record gas and oil production.
Three, unpopular optional wars derail incumbent presidencies.
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https://townhall.com/columnists/victordavishanson/2020/02/27/trumps-chances-for-reelection-are-looking-better-and-better-n2561939
