Is Louisiana’s Dem Governor on the way out?

[mystery-ak]

Is Louisiana’s Dem Governor on the way out?

Jazz ShawPosted at 9:31 am on October 13, 2019

While it wasn’t drawing all that much press attention (given all the other drama going on), Louisiana was finishing up their latest round of elections this week. Many of the races ended up as predicted, but Governor John Bel Edwards didn’t manage to come up with a majority in the blanket primary. That means he’s heading into a runoff against a self-funded Republican opponent who has attracted the support of President Trump in a state that Trump carried by twenty points in 2016. (Associated Press)

    Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards’ quest for a second term as the Deep South’s only Democratic governor will stretch over another month, as voters denied him an outright primary win Saturday and sent him to a runoff election.

    The incumbent’s inability to top 50% of the vote in the six-candidate field raised questions about his reelection chances against a national Republican offensive that includes President Donald Trump. Trump made a last-minute appeal to Louisiana’s voters to reject Edwards.

    Edwards will compete in the Nov. 16 runoff against Eddie Rispone, a Baton Rouge businessman and longtime GOP political donor making his first bid for public office.

more
https://hotair.com/archives/jazz-shaw/2019/10/13/louisianas-dem-governor-way/

[Formerly Once-Ler]

I'd hate to be in Edwards' shoes...you know...first place.

[Right_in_Virginia]

In a word:  "yes".   

[Right_in_Virginia]

I'd hate to be in Edwards' shoes...you know...first place.

   You mean the guy who was supposed to outright win reelection last night?

[Right_in_Virginia]

Donald J. Trump
Verified accountï‚™ @realDonaldTrump 

Congratulations to the Great State of Louisiana. A big night. You will soon have a new and wonderful Governor, @EddieRispone. Your Taxes and Car Insurance Payments will go DOWN!

10:11 PM - 12 Oct 2019

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1183248760303960064

[Right_in_Virginia]

Donald J. Trump
Verified accountï‚™ @realDonaldTrump 

The Media is not talking about the big Republican victory last night in Louisiana where a sitting Democrat Governor was forced into a runoff by not getting 50%. Big upset! Now @EddieRispone, who will be a great Governor, will win!

5:31 AM - 13 Oct 2019

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1183359602089484288

[Right_in_Virginia]

In win for Trump. Democratic Louisiana governor faces runoff
Republicans, including the president, had sought to force Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards into a runoff election by keeping him under 50 percent.
NBC, Oct 12, 2019

President Donald Trump rallied on Friday in the state to support the Republican candidates on the eve of the election, calling Edwards "a liberal Democrat who has sold you out." On Saturday the president tweeted his congratulations, predicting the state would soon have businessman Eddie Rispone as a new governor.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/incumbent-governor-democrat-faces-runoff-trump-territory-n1065461

The media was forced to jettison their "the President is losing his base" dream report.   

[Formerly Once-Ler]

  You mean the guy who was supposed to outright win reelection last night?

@Right_in_Virginia
Where do you get your information?...the rats?  Out of 10 public polls over the last 2 months only one showed Edwards above 50%. 
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2019/governor/la/louisiana_governor_open_primary-6724.html

[Right_in_Virginia]

@Right_in_Virginia
Where do you get your information?...the rats?  Out of 10 public polls over the last 2 months only one showed Edwards above 50%. 

So why are you saying Edwards is in first place??

[Bigun]

Is Louisiana’s Dem Governor on the way out?

Based on my analysis of the primary results, I would say that John Belle  Edwards is toast in the general election.

[Formerly Once-Ler]

So why are you saying Edwards is in first place??

@Right_in_Virginia
Are you trolling me?  the primary was yesterday.

[Right_in_Virginia]

@Right_in_Virginia
Are you trolling me?  the primary was yesterday.

No, I'm quoting you.  You said Edwards is in first place. 

I'd hate to be in Edwards' shoes...you know...first place. 

[Formerly Once-Ler]

No, I'm quoting you.  You said Edwards is in first place.

https://www.myarklamiss.com/election-results/

See the name of the guy in first place?

John Edwards i   Democrat    626,000    47%
Eddie Rispone    Republican    368,318    27%
Eddie Rispone    Republican    368,318    27%

Why are you acting like you don't understand English?

[Right_in_Virginia]

https://www.myarklamiss.com/election-results/

See the name of the guy in first place?

John Edwards i   Democrat    626,000    47%
Eddie Rispone    Republican    368,318    27%
Eddie Rispone    Republican    368,318    27%

Why are you acting like you don't understand English?

Let's see if math skills are in your wheelhouse.  Which is better, 47% voting for you or 54% voting against you?

[FeelNoPain]

Based on my analysis of the primary results, I would say that John Belle  Edwards is toast in the general election.

He won 47% of the vote.
Last primary, he only won 39% and still won the governorship easily.

[Formerly Once-Ler]

Let's see if math skills are in your wheelhouse.  Which is better, 47% voting for you or 54% voting against you?

The last line is a typo -  should read
Ralph Abraham    Republican    317,115    24

Which one is in first, 47% voting for you or 27% voting for you or 24% voting for you?

[Fishrrman]

Edwards has the power of the incumbency behind him, but (at least as of now) perhaps not an actual majority of the voters (at least not yet).

It looks like it will be close, either way.

Too early to predict with certainty.