Coming to Terms with Anticipatory Intelligence
Josh Kerbel
August 13, 2019
If the U.S. intelligence community has one unifying cultural principle, it is “mission first.†But for all the benefits that principle confers, it also comes with some potentially significant downsides. These include, a tendency to act hastily — before the situation is well understood — and the ensuing waste of precious time that such haste often begets. No better example of this tendency exists than in the intelligence community’s approach to anticipatory intelligence.
What is anticipatory intelligence? It is a relatively new type of intelligence that is distinct from the “strategic intelligence†that the intelligence community has traditionally focused on. It was born from recognition that the spiking global complexity (interconnectivity and interdependence, both virtual and physical) that characterizes the post–Cold War security environment, with its proclivity to generate emergent (nonadditive or nonlinear) phenomena, is essentially new. And as such, it demands new approaches.
https://warontherocks.com/2019/08/coming-to-terms-with-anticipatory-intelligence/
