Author Topic: THE DISASTROUS ECONOMICS OF TRYING TO POWER AN ELECTRICAL GRID WITH 100% INTERMITTENT RENEWABLES  (Read 6150 times)

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Online Hoodat

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I spoke to a geologist from Canada a few years ago.  He works in the oil industry up there.  I said I didn't believe that a bunch of ferns and trees failed to decompose, and were smashed into oil, all around the world, and pushed under sea and under thousands of feet of rock formations.  Where is this happening today!!! 

He agreed with me completely.

It was explained to me by a college professor that plants decomposed into coal while animals decomposed into oil.  How nice it is that all the plants went to Appalachia to die while all the dinosaurs headed to Texas.
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Online Hoodat

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sigh...

USING MICROFOSSILS
IN PETROLEUM EXPLORATION
https://ucmp.berkeley.edu/fosrec/ONeill.html

Using microfossils as a tool for decipher underground rock formations where oil may exist in no way indicates where that oil came from.  Simple chemical entropy bonds both carbon and hydrogen with oxygen which is the most prevalent element in living tissue.  Somehow, we are to believe that the bonds with oxygen were broken and all the oxygen was somehow driven out.  Sorry, not buying it.
If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.

-Dwight Eisenhower-


"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."

-Ayn Rand-

Offline thackney

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Using microfossils as a tool for decipher underground rock formations where oil may exist in no way indicates where that oil came from.  Simple chemical entropy bonds both carbon and hydrogen with oxygen which is the most prevalent element in living tissue.  Somehow, we are to believe that the bonds with oxygen were broken and all the oxygen was somehow driven out.  Sorry, not buying it.

Oxygen is far from the most prevalent element. 

Chemical composition of phytoplankton and Particulate
Organic Matter in the Ría de Vigo (NW Spain)
http://scimar.icm.csic.es/scimar/pdf/62/sm62n3257.pdf
See Chemical composition, page 261
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Online Hoodat

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Oxygen is far from the most prevalent element. 

Chemical composition of phytoplankton and Particulate
Organic Matter in the Ría de Vigo (NW Spain)
http://scimar.icm.csic.es/scimar/pdf/62/sm62n3257.pdf
See Chemical composition, page 261

The figures on p. 262 show 0.75 units of oxygen by mass to every 1 unit of carbon.  Where did that oxygen go?
If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.

-Dwight Eisenhower-


"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."

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Offline bigheadfred

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I spoke to a geologist from Canada a few years ago.  He works in the oil industry up there.  I said I didn't believe that a bunch of ferns and trees failed to decompose, and were smashed into oil, all around the world, and pushed under sea and under thousands of feet of rock formations.  Where is this happening today!!! 

He agreed with me completely.

Incidentally, oil companies have leaks in their steel tanks all the time.  How is it that fossil fuel is so perfectly preserved, even under pressure!  And it doesn't all leak out like our gas tanks have a tendency to do?

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And it doesn't all leak out like our gas tanks have a tendency to do?

It does and has. The Le Brea tar pits. In history surface deposits of bitumen provided people with the means to seal ships and many other useful things.

The Archaeology and History of Bitumen

 https://www.thoughtco.com/bitumen-history-of-black-goo-170085
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Offline Smokin Joe

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sigh...

USING MICROFOSSILS
IN PETROLEUM EXPLORATION
https://ucmp.berkeley.edu/fosrec/ONeill.html
Yep, the steady rain of dead things, especially plankton, foraminifera, radiolarians, diatoms, and other dead critters large and small, along with plants and poop (everything in that water poops, if it is an animal) makes those sediments organic rich, especially if there isn't a large influx of larger sediment from rivers. The environment can be anywhere from a coastal marsh to a swamp (although large plant accumulations tend to make coal, not so much oil), to an abyssal plain (deep ocean), and in extensive lakes as well (the Green River Oil Shale is lacustrine in origin).
How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.

C S Lewis

Offline Joe Wooten

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Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Yep, the steady rain of dead things, especially plankton, foraminifera, radiolarians, diatoms, and other dead critters large and small, along with plants and poop (everything in that water poops, if it is an animal) makes those sediments organic rich, especially if there isn't a large influx of larger sediment from rivers. The environment can be anywhere from a coastal marsh to a swamp (although large plant accumulations tend to make coal, not so much oil), to an abyssal plain (deep ocean), and in extensive lakes as well (the Green River Oil Shale is lacustrine in origin).
What geologists understand and most of the rest of us have difficulty with is the enormity of time that passes to make changes.  Millions of years, hundreds of millions of years, things change, and change a lot.  Continents drift around the globe, mountains are created then destroyed, weather patterns completely change then go back again, atmosphere metamorphs, steady drip of water or wind over time transform.

These are significant but can take a long, long time.  Same with petroleum.
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Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Interesting slide.  Demonstrates that the most 'unnatural' energy type to construct is solar, followed by wind, the two the enviro nuts promote as the 'healthiest to nature'.  I suggest concrete is the most natural material, which means nuclear and hydro are the most 'natural'.  I wonder how petroleum would fare there?
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Offline Smokin Joe

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What geologists understand and most of the rest of us have difficulty with is the enormity of time that passes to make changes.  Millions of years, hundreds of millions of years, things change, and change a lot.  Continents drift around the globe, mountains are created then destroyed, weather patterns completely change then go back again, atmosphere metamorphs, steady drip of water or wind over time transform.

These are significant but can take a long, long time.  Same with petroleum.
Yep. A million years is 12,500  eighty-year lifespans. Most people don't know a lifespan's worth of history, and have to be goaded to recall how things were a couple of decades ago. Yet the age of the most common source rocks for petroleum is between 65 and 220 million years (Cretaceous to Mississippian), and some are older, by over twice that.

It provides a different perspective on all the "Earth is Dying" stuff, especially considering few would recognize the megafauna of North America from 40 million years ago, now extinct, for the most part. Life finds a way, the Earth goes on. Humans get to choose whether or not they survive, and if they choose wisely, they might (no guarantees, one cosmic extinction level event and it's over--unless we learn to live off planet).
How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.

C S Lewis

Offline thackney

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The figures on p. 262 show 0.75 units of oxygen by mass to every 1 unit of carbon.  Where did that oxygen go?

Mostly it becomes water and CO2, which is typically trapped with the oil.  But don't measure by mass, just number of atoms forming different molecules.  Two hydrogen have far less mass than oxygen but still form the most stable bond.  With the heat and pressure, the long chain hydrocarbon molecules oxides, until no free oxygen is left.
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Offline thackney

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Note: Oil fields have a LOT of water down in the same reservoir.  Production companies go to a lot of effort to minimize the produced water, water brought up the well with oil.

In spite of those efforts, typically oil field produces a lot more water than oil over the commercial life of the play.

This water is contaminated salt water and is typically sent down a disposal well.  Often the end of a field is when handling the water exceeds the profit of the oil.

For example, in the relatively new shale fields:

https://www.oilandgas360.com/water-handling-in-oilfield-operations/
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Offline Bigun

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Note: Oil fields have a LOT of water down in the same reservoir.  Production companies go to a lot of effort to minimize the produced water, water brought up the well with oil.

In spite of those efforts, typically oil field produces a lot more water than oil over the commercial life of the play.

This water is contaminated salt water and is typically sent down a disposal well.  Often the end of a field is when handling the water exceeds the profit of the oil.

For example, in the relatively new shale fields:

https://www.oilandgas360.com/water-handling-in-oilfield-operations/

And woe be unto the water flooder who does not pay close attention to the nature of the water already in place.
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Offline Joe Wooten

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Interesting slide.  Demonstrates that the most 'unnatural' energy type to construct is solar, followed by wind, the two the enviro nuts promote as the 'healthiest to nature'.  I suggest concrete is the most natural material, which means nuclear and hydro are the most 'natural'.  I wonder how petroleum would fare there?

Probably even better than the nukes. Not too much concrete in a gas fired combined cycle as compared to a nuclear plant. As far as oil goes, no concrete in cars but the highways use a lot.

Online Hoodat

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Mostly it becomes water and CO2, which is typically trapped with the oil.  But don't measure by mass, just number of atoms forming different molecules.  Two hydrogen have far less mass than oxygen but still form the most stable bond.  With the heat and pressure, the long chain hydrocarbon molecules oxides, until no free oxygen is left.

@thackney

Far more CO2 than water.  Here's the stoichiometry.  It maximizes HC output and assumes a C-H hydrocarbon ratio of 4:9, the same as 3-methyl heptane (or octane)

From p. 262:  C =  106, H = 177.1, O = 59

Output:  C-H  →  [C = 77.3, H = 173.9], CO2 = 28.7, H2O = 3.2  - (a ratio of 3 moles CO2 per one mole C8H18)

This is definitely doable with the algae composition provided.  But the next question is where did all the CO2 go?  Wouldn't one expect all that CO2 would end up at the same place as CH4?

We are in a gas-poor field, yet we bring up more than enough to run our generators and push the remainder into the pipeline.  If it was CO2-rich, the generators wouldn't run.

And finally, if all this algae and phytoplankton piled up on the ocean floor, then why are there no such deposits existing today?  Think of the Gulf floor now.  How is it possible that hundreds or thousands of feet of phytoplankton was able to pile up on the ocean floor, and then was covered with sandstone formations without releasing any of its carbon content (or oxygen content for that matter since it was needed to bind the carbon in place).  And eventually, enough rock was built on top of the organic matter to 'cook' it into oil, releasing all its oxygen in the form of CO2, and then somehow the CO2 was able to escape through the rock layer leaving methane trapped behind.  And this only happened in select parts of the world.

Sorry, I just find that hard to swallow.  I find it much more likely that the earth was bombarded by meteors and comets that were hydrocarbon rich.
If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.

-Dwight Eisenhower-


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-Ayn Rand-

Offline Smokin Joe

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@thackney

Far more CO2 than water.  Here's the stoichiometry.  It maximizes HC output and assumes a C-H hydrocarbon ratio of 4:9, the same as 3-methyl heptane (or octane)

From p. 262:  C =  106, H = 177.1, O = 59

Output:  C-H  →  [C = 77.3, H = 173.9], CO2 = 28.7, H2O = 3.2  - (a ratio of 3 moles CO2 per one mole C8H18)

This is definitely doable with the algae composition provided.  But the next question is where did all the CO2 go?  Wouldn't one expect all that CO2 would end up at the same place as CH4?

We are in a gas-poor field, yet we bring up more than enough to run our generators and push the remainder into the pipeline.  If it was CO2-rich, the generators wouldn't run.

And finally, if all this algae and phytoplankton piled up on the ocean floor, then why are there no such deposits existing today?  Think of the Gulf floor now.  How is it possible that hundreds or thousands of feet of phytoplankton was able to pile up on the ocean floor, and then was covered with sandstone formations without releasing any of its carbon content (or oxygen content for that matter since it was needed to bind the carbon in place).  And eventually, enough rock was built on top of the organic matter to 'cook' it into oil, releasing all its oxygen in the form of CO2, and then somehow the CO2 was able to escape through the rock layer leaving methane trapped behind.  And this only happened in select parts of the world.

Sorry, I just find that hard to swallow.  I find it much more likely that the earth was bombarded by meteors and comets that were hydrocarbon rich.
Rather than paraphrase or copy this, I thought I'd just provide the link. https://www.britannica.com/science/petroleum/Origin-of-hydrocarbons

Considering that much of the water present on the planet may have come from bombardment by cometary ice, I wouldn't rule out some methane rich bolides, either. That might give a better explanation of something like the Tunguska event as well.
« Last Edit: August 17, 2019, 09:02:55 am by Smokin Joe »
How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.

C S Lewis

Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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I get your point on hydrocarbons, but I don't buy in to the 'oil came from dinosaurs' mantra.
Looks like in addition to eradicating cows to stop methane emanating from cow farts, we need to cut down our trees as they are emitting methane.
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Methane emissions from trees
Tree trunks act as methane source in upland forests


A new study is one of the first in the world to show that tree trunks in upland forests actually emit methane rather than store it, representing a new, previously unaccounted source of this powerful greenhouse gas.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/03/170330190304.htm
No punishment, in my opinion, is too great, for the man who can build his greatness upon his country's ruin~  George Washington