Author Topic: Democratic Presidential Clown Car Update for July 15, 2019  (Read 189 times)

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Democratic Presidential Clown Car Update for July 15, 2019
« on: July 16, 2019, 01:04:42 am »
Lawrence Person's BattleSwarm Blog

Biden still leads, Steyer is In, Warren, Sanders and Harris are all bunched up for second, Castro wants nothing to do with your germ-bearing meatbag spawn, and Williamson channels Neon Genesis Evangelion and raises Gravel’s campaign from the dead.

It’s your Democratic Presidential Clown Car Update!

Polls

Remember how Biden was doomed after a few bad polls? Yeah, no so much.

Fox News (South Carolina): Biden 35, Sanders 14. Harris 12, Warren 5, Booker 3, Buttigieg 2, Delany 1, Williamson 1, Yang 1.
NBC News/Wall Street Journal: Biden 26, Warren 19, Harris 13, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 7, O’Rourke 2, Yang 2. “Biden performs best among African Americans, older Democrats and those who are moderate or conservative in their political views, while Warren runs strongest with self-described liberals and those ages 18 to 49.”
Economist/YouGov (page 149): Biden 22, Warren 17, Harris 14, Sanders 11, Buttigieg 5, Gabbard 2, O’Rourke 2, Castro 2, Booker 1, Bullock 1, de Blasio 1, Hickenlooper 1, Klobuchar 1, Yang 1.
Emerson: Biden 30, Sanders 15, Harris 15, Warren 15, Buttigieg 5, O’Rourke 4, Yang 3, Gabbard 2, Booker 2, Bennet 1, Swallwell (out) 1, Klobuchar 1, Gravel 1, Bullock 1, Inslee 1.
Morning Consult (national): Biden 31, Sanders 18, Harris 14, Warren 13, Buttigieg 6, O’Rourke 3, Booker 2. “The following candidates received 1% or less of the vote: Amy Klobuchar, Andrew Yang, Kirsten Gillibrand, Julian Castro, Tim Ryan, John Hickenlooper, Tulsi Gabbard, Michael Bennet, John Delaney, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, Jay Inslee, Eric Swalwell, Seth Moulton and Marianne Williamson. ‘Someone else’ received 2%.”
Morning Consult (early states): Biden 31, Sanders 20, Harris 14, Warren 11, Buttigieg 5, Booker 5, O’Rourke 3. “The following candidates received 2% or less of the vote share: Amy Klobuchar, Tim Ryan, Andrew Yang, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Steve Bullock, Kirsten Gillibrand, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, Julian Castro, Michael Bennet, Bill de Blasio, Eric Swalwell, Seth Moulton, and Marianne Williamson. ‘Someone else’ received 2%.”
Real Clear Politics
538 polls
Election betting markets

Q2 Fundraising

Q2 numbers continue to trickle out. The Warren, Inslee and Ryan numbers are new


    Pete Buttigieg: $24.8 million
    Joe Biden: $21.5 million
    Elizabeth Warren: $19.1 million
    Bernie Sanders: $18 million (plus $6 million transferred from “other accounts”)
    Kamala Harris: $12 million
    Jay Inslee: $3 million
    Michael Bennet: $2.8 million
    Steve Bullock: $2 million
    Tim Ryan: $895,000

Warren did very well, edging Sanders, though below Buttigieg and Biden. Ryan’s numbers are, quite frankly, pathetic.

For sake of comparison, President Donald Trump raised $105 million for his reelection campaign.

Pundits, etc.
Democratic radicalism is going to reelect Trump:

    The president will be ­re-elected. Easily.

More: https://www.battleswarmblog.com/?p=41107