As to the first point: fair enough; however, if some nut job presents the democrats with a suitable tragedy to exploit, they will, and then nothing will stand in their way.
New Zealand, Australia, UK and a host of other countries proved that tragedy will be exploited for political gain. "Never let a good crisis go to waste."
The Second will not be repealed, but the advocates of "reasonable regulation" will chip away at that Amendment every chance they get by plying the population with emotional arguments. Been that way since the dawn of time. It's pretty obvious stuff for spectators of this "sport."