Author Topic: News Analysts explain why Democrats are no lock to flip the House  (Read 294 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline mystery-ak

  • Owner
  • Administrator
  • ******
  • Posts: 282,695


News
Analysts explain why Democrats are no lock to flip the House

By Bob Fredericks

October 29, 2018 | 10:53pm | Updated

Most polling suggests that Democrats should flip the House of Representatives in the midterm elections — but some analysts warned that nothing is certain a week before the pivotal contests.

“Our current hard count in the House is 212 D, 202 R, 21 toss-ups. Neither party is over 218, a majority. Democrats have the better chance to go over the top, since 20 of 21 tossups are currently held by the GOP. That doesn’t guarantee that the Democrats actually will,” Larry Sabato, head of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, emailed The Post on Monday.

But another analysis on Monday predicted that Democrats had an 86.4 percent chance of capturing the House, while Republicans had only a 13.6 chance of keeping their majority.

Democrats, who would need to pick up 23 seats to gain control, reportedly plan to spend $143 million on TV ads in House races, compared to about $86 million for Republicans.

And even White House officials were pessimistic about their chances, with Bill Stepien, director of political affairs, already laying the groundwork to shift blame away from President Trump should the party lose the House.

more
https://nypost.com/2018/10/29/no-guarantee-democrats-will-take-the-house-experts/
Support the USO
Democrat Party...the Party of Infanticide
STFU Rudy

Offline edpc

  • TBR Contributor
  • *****
  • Posts: 14,879
  • Professional Misanthrope - Briefer and Boxer
Re: News Analysts explain why Democrats are no lock to flip the House
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 09:46:53 AM »
“Our current hard count in the House is 212 D, 202 R, 21 toss-ups. Neither party is over 218, a majority. Democrats have the better chance to go over the top, since 20 of 21 tossups are currently held by the GOP. That doesn’t guarantee that the Democrats actually will,” Larry Sabato, head of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, emailed The Post on Monday.



OK, but, by those numbers, the Dems could lose 2/3 of the toss-up races and still take the House majority.  That’s not good news.
I disagree.  Circle gets the square.


Share me

Digg  Facebook  SlashDot  Delicious  Technorati  Twitter  Google  Yahoo
Smf