Local issues, as well as the continuing unpopularity of Trump in the west continue to drag the Republican candidates underwater. Ward and McSally trail by 8 points. Both have unusually weak numbers among the elderly, white, and independent voter classes.
Both sitting GOP senators are reviled by conservatives. Liberals are still in love with McCain, however.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0ByVu4fDHYJgVUElwcTJVSEdmc0VvOG41TGUzd0U0ZFpyS1o0/view
