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Author Topic: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING  (Read 649 times)

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Offline SirLinksALot

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Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« on: July 14, 2016, 07:00:02 pm »
SOURCE: THE RIGHT SCOOP

URL: http://therightscoop.com/nate-silver-says-the-odds-of-trump-becoming-president-are-increasing/


Just a few weeks ago, Nate Silver was giving Donald Trump a 19% chance of becoming president. Today on his twitter feed though, Silver suggested that percentage has now almost doubled:

Quote

 
Nate SilverVerified account ‏@NateSilver538

Trump continues to gain in our forecast, as state & national polls trend against Clinton. Now a 34% chance to win.



CLICK THE FOLLOWING LINK FOR THE CHARTS:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

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Offline Free Vulcan

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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2016, 07:01:51 pm »
Trump's only hope is that Hillary is so bad that he is the lesser of two evils, or that particularly younger Bernie supports won't vote for her.
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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2016, 07:04:58 pm »
America weeps for its future
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Offline SirLinksALot

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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2016, 07:06:25 pm »
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Offline sinkspur

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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #4 on: July 14, 2016, 07:07:57 pm »
As Silver and most other commentators have pointed out, Hillary is losing ground, while Trump remains stagnant.   

In a month, look for it to be 24% Hillary, 23% Trump with 75% of the country refusing to vote, wanting someone else.
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Offline Suppressed

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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #5 on: July 14, 2016, 07:43:00 pm »
Quote from: SirLinksALot on July 14, 2016, 07:00:02 pm
Just a few weeks ago, Nate Silver was giving Donald Trump a 19% chance of becoming president. Today on his twitter feed though, Silver suggested that percentage has now almost doubled:

Look for it to rise even more.  People do not want to vote for Hillary.

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Offline Free Vulcan

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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #6 on: July 15, 2016, 05:19:54 pm »
Think we need a #NeitherNor or similar hashtag for all those Americans who don't want either one. The biggest demographic might be those who don't vote for either.
« Last Edit: July 15, 2016, 05:24:07 pm by Free Vulcan »
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Offline Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #7 on: July 15, 2016, 07:00:17 pm »
Quote from: sinkspur on July 14, 2016, 07:07:57 pm
As Silver and most other commentators have pointed out, Hillary is losing ground, while Trump remains stagnant.   

In a month, look for it to be 24% Hillary, 23% Trump with 75% of the country refusing to vote, wanting someone else.

I'd love for the election to end up in the HoR. It's my dream to see it in my lifetime.
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Offline Mesaclone

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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #8 on: July 15, 2016, 07:53:17 pm »
Quote from: Weird Tolkienish Figure on July 15, 2016, 07:00:17 pm
I'd love for the election to end up in the HoR. It's my dream to see it in my lifetime.

That would guarantee a Trump presidency, so I'm all in for that!

Expediency would force a straight party line vote for each of the two party nominees (those not in the race are not eligible in a House vote, FYI).
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Offline Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #9 on: July 15, 2016, 11:29:57 pm »
Quote from: Mesaclone on July 15, 2016, 07:53:17 pm
That would guarantee a Trump presidency, so I'm all in for that!

Expediency would force a straight party line vote for each of the two party nominees (those not in the race are not eligible in a House vote, FYI).

I dunno. You think Representatives would automatically choose Trump? I'm not so sure. They could choose Johnson.

Even if it was Trump I'd be cool with it.
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Offline Mesaclone

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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #10 on: July 16, 2016, 02:05:54 am »
Quote from: Weird Tolkienish Figure on July 15, 2016, 11:29:57 pm
I dunno. You think Representatives would automatically choose Trump? I'm not so sure. They could choose Johnson.

Even if it was Trump I'd be cool with it.

They'd have to all to vote for the same candidate...or the Dems would have the votes to get Hillary elected.So yes, they would stick together and vote for the GOP candidate. I agree, though, it would be very interesting to watch.
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Online Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Nate Silver says the odds of Trump becoming president are INCREASING
« Reply #11 on: July 16, 2016, 03:27:16 am »
Quote from: Weird Tolkienish Figure on July 15, 2016, 07:00:17 pm
I'd love for the election to end up in the HoR. It's my dream to see it in my lifetime.

Trump would win. 
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