https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/22/never-donald-trump-campaign-turmoil-republicansIf you thought 'Never Trump' was dead, think againJamie Weinstein
Donald Trump could pick Ronald Reagan’s ghost as his vice-president and fail to win us over. The current turmoil in his campaign shows that we’re right to resist
Wednesday 22 June 2016 11.48 EDT Last modified on Wednesday 22 June 2016 12.04 EDT
Even before Monday’s Trump campaign turmoil, where campaign manager Corey Lewandowski was sent packing and a Federal Election Campaign finance report revealed Trump had less cash on hand at the end of May than some of his departed rivals, the wheels seemed to be coming off the Trump bus.
Though rumors abound of a new and improved Trump about to emerge, all that has manifested so far is the same old Donald
The House speaker, Paul Ryan, who tepidly endorsed Trump earlier this month, intimated on Sunday that he only backed The Donald for institutional reasons and that Republicans should vote according their conscience, even if their conscience tells them to oppose the presumptive Republican presidential nominee.
“The last thing I would do is tell anybody to do something that’s contrary to their conscience,” he said.
Wisconsin Republican senator Ron Johnson, who has yet to endorse Trump, said on Sunday he isn’t even sure Trump will be the Republican nominee.
“It’s been my intention to support the Republican nominee,” he told CNN Sunday. “Again, nobody can predict the outcome of this thing. I think things remain reasonably uncertain.”
Perhaps Johnson got the idea that Trump’s nomination is still up in the air from the fact that hundreds of delegates to July’s Republican convention are lining up behind a movement to try to oust the billionaire real estate mogul as the nominee.
According to the CNN-ORC poll released on Tuesday, 48% of Republicans say they wish someone other than Trump would be the Republican nominee.
While it’s remarkable that Trump has been unable to unite the party behind him since forcing his last two rivals out of the nomination contest in early May, it’s not surprising. Though rumors abound of a new and improved Donald Trump about to emerge, all that has manifested so far is the same old Donald.
Since earning the title of “presumptive” GOP presidential nominee, Trump has continued to be his bombastic self, launching a racist attack against a American-born judge of Mexican heritage, responding to the Orlando massacre by first congratulating himself, ravaging Republican politicians who he doesn’t believe have been sufficiently supportive and banning news outlets from his events whose coverage he doesn’t like. One could go on.
From the beginning, many liberals expected the Never Trump movement to fade away once Trump secured enough delegates to win the nomination. But that’s only because they have a profound misunderstanding of what the movement represents. Never Trump was never just about stopping Trump from winning the GOP nomination or coaxing an alternative candidate to run third party. Fundamentally, it’s a resistance movement to everything Trump represents.
Trump’s support within the Republican party is multifaceted. There is Trump’s base that supports him unwaveringly. There are those who support him because they fear Hillary more than Trump, but could be convinced to support a third party if a serious more conservative contender emerged. And then there are the stalwart Never Trumpers.
The Never Trump movement is not uniform. Some Never Trumpers say they will never vote for Trump or Hillary Clinton and will stay home, others say they will vote for Clinton if no serious third-party candidate emerges, while still others say they will vote for the Libertarian party contender or write in a candidate.
Some Never Trumpers oppose Trump because of his character and temperament, others oppose him because of profound domestic and foreign policy disagreements, still others oppose him because his authoritarian tendencies and the threat such predilections would pose to the American system. (Many, of course, like myself, oppose him for a combination of these reasons.)
But what separates the Never Trumpers is insignificant compared to that unites them. Simply stated, all Never Trumpers believe Donald Trump is a lying, unstable megalomaniac wholly unsuited for the presidency and they can’t in good conscience cast a presidential ballot for him.
And these aren’t the type of squishy Republicans who decided to support Barack Obama over the Republican nominees in 2008 and 2012. Most Never Trumpers I know would have sprinted to the polls to vote for someone as conservative as Ted Cruz.
If Trump weathers the current political tempests and arrives at the general election without a serious conservative third party to contend with, it is true he will probably consolidate most self-defined Republicans behind him, even many who loathe him, either out of party tribalism or out of fear of Hillary Clinton’s supreme court picks.
But there is nothing Trump can do to bring back the stalwart Never Trumpers into his camp – because he has already shown who he is as a person and a candidate. Trump could pick Ronald Reagan’s ghost as his vice-president and not win over a single Never Trumper, because there is little evidence Trump listens to anybody other than his volatile and uneducated gut.
There’s still a possibility Trump may not get that far, however. Every day brings a new scandal that pushes more Republicans toward the Never Trump camp. Could he be deposed at the convention? Unlikely, but not impossible. Could a serious conservative third-party candidate still emerge? The effort to recruit one continues apace.
But the Never Trump movement doesn’t depend on there being a Never Trump alternative candidate. It’s a resistance. It won’t go away so long as Trump remains a presidential contender.